居民消費水平的影響因素分析

#2.Eviews軟件結(jié)果x1、x2、x3分別與y之間關(guān)系的散點圖:240,000200,000160,000120,00080,00040,000240,000200,000160,000120,00080,00040,0001312111013121110取對數(shù)后Xi、x2、x3分別與y之間關(guān)系的散點圖:8765567891011121314LNX1變量取對數(shù)后的回歸模型DependentVariable:LOG(Y)Method:LeastSquaresDate:06/21/15Time:16:56Sample:19782012Includedobservations:35VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.CLNX1LNX2LNX3MeandependentR-squaredvarAdjustedR-squared.dependentvarAkaikeinfo.ofregressioncriterionSumsquaredresidSchwarzcriterionHannan-QuinnLoglikelihoodcriter.Durbin-WatsonF-statisticstatProb(F-statistic)剔除Inx2的回歸模型

DependentVariable:LOG(Y)Method:LeastSquaresDate:06/21/15Time:18:41Sample:19782012Includedobservations:35VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.CLNX1LNX3R-squaredAdjustedR-squaredR-squaredAdjustedR-squared.ofregressionSumsquaredresidLoglikelihoodF-statisticProb(F-statistic).dependentvarAkaikeinfocriterionSchwarzcriterionHannan-Quinncriter.Durbin-Watsonstat對殘差列的檢驗DependentVariable:RESMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/21/15Time:18:38Sample(adjusted):19792012

Includedobservations:34afteradjustmentsVariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.RES(-1)R-squaredMeandependentvarAdjustedR-squared.dependentvarAkaikeinfo.ofregressioncriterionSumsquaredresidSchwarzcriterionHannan-QuinnLoglikelihoodcriter.Durbin-WatsonstatDependentVariable:RESMethod:LeastSquaresDate:06/21/15Time:18:38Sample(adjusted):19802012Includedobservations:33afteradjustmentsVariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.RES(-1)RES(-2)R-squaredMeandependentvarAdjustedR-squared.dependentvarAkaikeinfoAkaikeinfoofregressionSumsquaredresidSchwarzcriterionSumsquaredresidSchwarzcriterionHannan-QuinnLoglikelihoodcriter.Durbin-Watsonstat加入AR(1)項后的回歸模型DependentVariable:LOG(Y)Method:LeastSquaresDate:06/21/15Time:18:41Hannan-QuinnLoglikelihoodcriter.Durbin-Watsonstat加入AR(1)項后的回歸模型DependentVariable:LOG(Y)Method:LeastSquaresDate:06/21/15Time:18:41Sample(adjusted):19792012Includedobservations:34afteradjustmentsConvergenceachievedafter6iterationsVariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.LNX1LNX3AR(1)R-squaredMeandependentvarAdjustedR-squareddependentvarAkaikeinfoofregressionSumsquaredresidSchwarzcriterionSumsquaredresidSchwarzcriterionLoglikelihoodHannan-QuinnLoglikelihoodHannan-Quinncriter.F-statisticDurbin-Watsonstatcriter.F-statisticDurbin-WatsonstatProb(F-statistic)InvertedARRoots.67InvertedARRoots.67剔除常數(shù)項的回歸模型DependentVariable:LOG(Y)Method:LeastSquaresDate:06/21/15Time:18:41Sample(adjusted):19792012Includedobservations:34afteradjustmentsConvergenceachievedafter9iterationsVariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.LNX1LNX3AR(1)R-squaredMeandependentvarR-squared.dependentvar.dependentvarAkaikein