意大利主要經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)分析報(bào)告（英文版）-2024年1月上傳培訓(xùn)課件

POLITICS

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SOCIETYKeyeconomicindicatorsofItalyCHAPTER

01GrossDomesticProductGrossDomesticProduct(GDP)ofItalyfrom2010to2022(inmillioneuros)GDPofItaly2010-20222,000,0001,946,479.11,950,0001,900,0001,850,0001,800,0001,750,0001,700,0001,650,0001,600,0001,550,0001,822,344.51,796,648.51,771,391.21,736,592.81,695,786.81,661,239.81,655,35520151,648,755.820111,627,405.620141,624,358.720121,611,279.420101,612,751.3201320162017201820192020202120223Description:Italy'sGDPamountedtoabout1.95trillioneurosin2022.TheItalianeconomywasgrowingatlowratesoverthepastyears,butthecountry'sGDPdroppedduring2020.Theconsequencesofthepandemicontheglobaleconomyhavebeenenormous.AsoneofthemostaffectedcountriesintheEuropeandintheworld,theimpactofCOVID-19hastouchedallsectorsandaspectsofItalians'life.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2010to2022Source(s):IstatItaly:Realgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)growthratefrom2018to2028(comparedtothepreviousyear)Grossdomesticproduct(GDP)growthrateinItaly20288%6.99%6%4%3.72%2%1.04%1.09%1.03%0.93%0.89%0.67%0.66%0.48%0%-2%-4%-6%-8%-10%-8.98%202020182019202120222023*2024*2025*2026*2027*2028*4Description:Thisstatisticshowstherealgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)growthrateinItalyfrom2018to2022,withprojectionsupuntil2028.GDPreferstothetotalmarketvalueofallgoodsandservicesthatareproducedwithinacountryperyear.Itisanimportantindicatoroftheeconomicstrengthofacountry.RealGDPisadjustedforpricechangesandisthereforeregardedasakeyindicatorforeconomicgrowth.In2022,Italy'srealGDPincreasedbyabout3.72percentcomparedtothe[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;*Estimate.Valueshavebeenroundedtoprovideabetterunderstandingofthestatistic.ReadmoreSource(s):IMFItaly:Distributionofgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)acrosseconomicsectorsfrom2012to2022Distributionofgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)acrosseconomicsectorsinItaly2022AgricultureIndustryServices100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%201220132014201520162017201820192020202120225Description:Thisstatisticshowsthedistributionofthegrossdomesticproduct(GDP)acrosseconomicsectorsinItalyfrom2012to2022.In2022,agriculturecontributedaround1.96percenttotheGDP,23.03percentcamefromtheindustryand64.79percentfromtheservicesector.ReadmoreNote(s):ItalySource(s):WorldBankGrossdomesticproduct(GDP)inItalyin2021,byregion(inmillioneuros)Grossdomesticproduct(GDP)inItaly2021,byregionGDPinmillioneuros050,000100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000450,000LombardyLazio405,266.8197,709.9VenetoEmilia-RomagnaPiedmont164,392.2163,652.1136,280.8TuscanyCampaniaSicily114,925.7110,124.688,370.1Apulia76,316.3Liguria48,761.2Trentino-SouthTyrolMarche47,281.342,256.9Friuli-VeneziaGiulia39,104.16Description:In2021,thehighestregionalGrossDomesticProductinItalywasregisteredintheNorthernregionofLombardy(roughly405billioneuros),followedbyLazio(about200billioneuros)andVeneto(165billioneuros).ThelowestGDPwasrecordedinAostaValley,intheNorth,andinMolise,intheSouthofItaly.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2021Source(s):IstatGrossDomesticProduct(GDP)percapitainItalyfrom2009to2020(ineuros)GrossDomesticProduct(GDP)percapitainItaly2009-202035,00030,00029,98029,59028,94028,21027,78027,45027,48026,93026,92026,98026,47026,59025,00020,00015,00010,0005,00002009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920207Description:In2020,theGrossDomesticProduct(GDP)percapitainItalywas27.8thousandeuros.Between2009and2019,theGDPincreased,goingfrom26.5thousandeurosto30thousandeuros,whileitdroppedin2020.

ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2006to2020Source(s):EurostatCHAPTER

02InflationandpricesInflationrateinItalyfrom2004to2022InflationrateinItaly2004-2022Inflationrate-1%0%1%1%2%2%3%3%4%20042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162.2%2%2.1%1.8%3.3%0.8%1.5%2.8%3%1.2%0.2%0%-0.1%9Description:In2022,Italyexperiencedaninflationrateofovereightpercentcomparedtothepreviousyear,thehighestduringtheperiodunderconsideration.2022wascharacterizedbyhighinflationratesallaroundtheworldfollowingtheCOVID-19pandemicandRussianinvasionofUkraine.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2004to2022Source(s):OECDConsumerpriceindex(CPI)inItalyfrom2000to2022ConsumerpriceindexinItaly2000-20221201151101051009590858075702000

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202210Description:In2022,theConsumerIndexPriceinItalystoodat113.2,asignificantincreasecomparedtothepreviousyears.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2000to2022Source(s):OECDMonthlyconsumerpriceindex(CPI)inItalyfromJanuary2020toJune2023MonthlyconsumerpriceindexinItaly2020-2023125120115110105119.1719.7119.3

119.3119119.1118.7118.1118.8114.2113.9113112.5111.2110.1410.3109.3108.3106.6106.2105.6105.1104.9104.7104.1104.1104.2103.7103.1303.4102.6102.1902.1802.9103102.1802.9

103102.7102.1502.4102.310011Description:InJune2023,theconsumerpriceindex(CPI)inItalystoodat119.7.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;January2020toJune2023Source(s):OECDConsumerPricesIndex(CPI)inItalyin2021,byregionConsumerPricesIndexinItaly2021,byregionInflationrate020406080100120Trentino-SouthTyrolAbruzzo108105.8SicilyLiguriaCalabria105.7105.6105.3105.3105.2105.1104.9104.9104.6104.5104.4CampaniaFriuli-VeneziaGiuliaApuliaTuscanyEmilia-RomagnaUmbriaPiedmontVeneto12Description:In2021,theConsumerPriceIndexintheNorthItalianregionofTrentino-SouthTyrolwas108.Thenationaveragestoodat104.7.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2021Source(s):IstatCHAPTER

03EmploymentUnemploymentrateinItalyfrom2008to2022UnemploymentrateinItaly2008-202214.0%12.7%13.0%12.0%11.0%10.0%9.0%12.1%11.9%11.7%11.2%10.7%10.5%10%9.5%9.3%8.4%20108.4%20118.2%20227.8%20098.0%6.7%20087.0%6.0%201220132014201520162017201820192020202114Description:Italy'sunemploymentratealmostreached8.2percentin2022,thelowestvaluesince2009.TheregionswiththehighestunemploymentratesweresituatedintheSouth.Sicily,Campania,andCalabriaregisteredratesfrom16.5percentto17.8percent,alargedifferencewhencomparedtotheNorthernregions.Forinstance,4.9percentofpeopleinTrentinoSouth-Tyrolwereunemployed,thelowestsharenationwide.

ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2008to2022Source(s):Bancad'ItaliaUnemploymentrateinItalyin2022,byregionUnemploymentrateinItaly2022,byregionUnemploymentrate0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%18%CampaniaSicily17.1%16.6%CalabriaApulia14.6%12.1%SardiniaMolise11.5%10.5%AbruzzoLazio9.4%7.7%UmbriaBasilicataLiguria7.1%7.1%7%PiedmontMarche6.5%6.2%15Description:BetweenOctoberandDecember2020,thehighestunemploymentratewasregisteredintheSouthofItaly.Sicily,Campania,andCalabriathethreeregionswherethesharesofcitizenswithoutajobrangedfrom16.5percentto17.8percent.Thedisparitiesinunemploymentindicatorscanbeobservednotonlyontheregionallevel,butalsoamonggenders.In2019,almostoneinfourwomeninCalabriawerewithoutajob,whereastheshareofunemployedmaleswasof20.2percent.The[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2022;15-74yearsSource(s):IstatYouthunemploymentrateinItalyfrom2004to2023YouthunemploymentrateinItaly2004-202345%40%35%30%25%20%15%10%5%0%2004

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2023*16Description:InMay2023,theyouthunemploymentrateinItalywas21.7percent.TheproblemofunemploymentinItalybecamecriticalinthefirstyearsofthefinancialcrisiswhichstartedin2008.AlthoughthelabormarketcrisisseriouslyaffectedtheentireItalianworkingpopulation,itparticularlyimpactedtheyoungestpartofthelaborforce.Between2008and2014alone,theshareofunemployedindividualsagedbetween15and24yearsincreasedbymorethan15percentagepoints.Despitea[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2004toMay2023;*May2023ReadmoreSource(s):IstatEconomicinactivityrateinItalyfromJanuary2019toMay2023,bygenderEconomicinactivitymonthlyrateinItaly2019-2023,bygenderMaleFemale50%45%40%35%30%25%20%17Description:InItaly,economicallyinactivewomenarealmostdoublethatofmen.AsofMay2023,24.5percentofmaleand42.8percentfemalepopulationwaseconomicallyinactive.Economicallyinactivepeoplearenotclassifiedinthelabourforce,whichmeansthatthispartofpoplationisnotclassifiedneitherasemployednorasunemployed.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;January2019toMay2023;15-64yearsSource(s):IstatLaborforceinItalyfromthesecondquarterof2022tothesecondquarterof2023(in1,000individuals)Laborforceaged15yearsandmoreinItaly2022-202330,00025,00020,00015,00010,0005,0000Q22022Q32022Q42022Q12023Q2202318Description:Betweenthesecondquarterof2022andthesecondquarterof2023,Italy'slaborforceexperiencedaslightincrease.Inthesecondquarterof2023,thelaborforceinthecountryamountedto25.5millionpeople.

ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;Q22022toQ22023;15yearsandolderSource(s):IstatCHAPTER

04TradeTradebalanceinItalyfrom2010to2022(inmillioneuros)TradebalanceinItaly2010-202280,00063,289.4956,115.8660,00040,00020,000051,497.7947,641.8441,931.57

41,806.9140,333.7139,279.7429,230.389,889.61-20,000-40,000-25,523.882011-30,043.522010-30,718.52022*201220132014201520162017201820192020202120Description:Italy'stradebalancereachedin2021asurplusofslightlyover40billioneuros.Thetradebalancemeasuresthedifferencebetweenacountry'sexportsandimports.Asurplusindicatesthatanationexportsmorethanitexports,whileadeficitmeansthatimportsarehigherthanexports.In2022,Italyrecordedadeficitof30billioneuros.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2010to2022;*ProvisionaldataReadmoreSource(s):IstatExportvalueinItalyfrom2013to2022(inmillioneuros)ExportvalueinItaly2013-2022800,000700,000709,243.2584,451.9600,000500,000400,000300,000200,000100,0000567,784.4555,394.1533,719.8497,338.5491,905488,940.7473,718.7461,783201320142015201620172018201920202021202221Description:In2022,exportsfromItalywereworthover709billioneuros,increasingconsiderablycomparedtothepreviousyear.Between2010and2019,thevalueofItalianexportsexperiencedaconstantincrease.

ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2013to2022;*ProvisionaldataReadmoreSource(s):IstatImportvalueintoItalyfrom2013to2022(inmillioneuros)ImportvalueinItaly2013-2022800,000700,000600,000738,658.5543,726.7512,817.7508,030.4483,996.1500,000400,000300,000200,000100,0000442,016.1441,578426,596.5429,155.2423,094.6201320142015201620172018201920202021202222Description:In2022,importsintoItalywereworthover735billioneuros,aconsiderableincreasewhencomparedtothepreviousyear.Between2010and2019,thevalueofimportshasbeenfluctuating.

ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2013to2022Source(s):IstatGrowthrateofItalianexportsoftradegoodsinSeptember2023,byindustryGrowthrateofexportsoftradegoodsinItaly2023,byindustryExport

growth20.3%5.4%VehiclesMachineryandequipmentOthermanufacturingindustries-0.7%Food,Beverages&Tobacco-1.2%Cokeandrefinedpetroleumproducts-2.8%ElectricalEquipment,Appliances&Components-5%Pharmaceutical&MedicineProducts,MedicinalChemicals&BotanicalProducts-8.4%Clothing-9.5%Furniture-9.8%Textiles-9.8%Rubberandplasticproducts,othermineralproducts-10.3%23Description:InSeptember2023,mostsectorsoftheItalianexportsexperiencedadecreasecomparedtoSeptember2022.Exportofvehiclesgrewby20.3percent,thelargestincreaseamongthedifferentsectors.

ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;September2023Source(s):IstatCHAPTER

05ShadoweconomyTotalvalueoftheshadow(untaxed)economyinItalyfrom2013to2021(inmillioneuros)ShadoweconomyinItaly2013-2021250,000195,558194,965191,145200,000150,000100,00050,0000189,941189,392188,931183,893173,886157,34620132014201520162017201820192020202125Description:In2021,thetotalvalueoftheshadoweconomyinItalyamountedto173billioneuros.Accordingtodata,thevalueofuntaxedeconomypeakedin2014atroughly196billioneuros.In2021,theshadoweconomyrelatedtoillicitworkgeneratedavalueofabout68billioneuros.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2013to2021Source(s):IstatTotalvalueoftheshadow(untaxed)economyfromunder-declarationinItalyfrom2013to2021(inmillioneuros)Shadoweconomyfromunder-declarationinItaly2013-2021120,00099,44498,55898,473100,00080,00060,00040,00020,000095,02093,91093,95391,37890,39779,71320132014201520162017201820192020202126Description:Between2013and2020,thetotalvalueoftheshadoweconomyfromunder-declarationinItalydecreased.Accordingtodata,thevalueoftheuntaxedeconomyreachedroughly79billioneurosin2020.Inthesameyear,thetotalvalueofuntaxedeconomyinItalywasequaltoabout157billioneuros.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2013to2021Source(s):IstatValueoftheshadow(untaxed)economyfromillicitworkinItalyfrom2013to2021(inmillioneuros)ShadoweconomyfromillicitworkinItaly2013-202190,00080,89480,23479,72978,40378,03477,03380,00070,00060,00050,00040,00030,00020,00010,000072,29968,12462,40720132014201520162017201820192020202127Description:Between2013and2021,thevalueoftheshadoweconomyfromillicitworkinItalyfluctuated.Accordingtodata,thevalueofuntaxedeconomyfromillicitworkpeakedin2014atabout80.9billioneuros.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2013to2021Source(s):IstatRatiooftheundergroundeconomytoGDPinItalyfrom2011to2021Undergroundeconomy′simpactontheGDPinItaly2011-202113.5%13%12.9%13.0%12.5%12.0%11.5%11.0%10.5%10.0%12.7%12.6%12.4%12.3%12.2%11.8%11.3%10.5%202010.5%202120112012201320142015201620172018201928Description:Between2011and2021,theratiooftheundergroundeconomytogrossdomesticproduct(GDP)inItalydecreased.Accordingtodata,thevalueoftheeconomygeneratedbybothshadoweconomy(under-declaration,illicitwork,etc.)andillegalactivitiesrepresented10.5percentofgrossdomesticproductin2021.ReadmoreNote(s):2011to2021Source(s):IstatRatiooftheundergroundeconomytovalueaddedinItalyin2021,bysectorUndergroundeconomy'simpactonthevalueaddedinItaly2021,bysectorRatioofundergroundeconomytovalueadded0%

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10%15%20%25%30%35%34.6%40%OtherpersonalservicesWholesaleandretail,transportandwarehouselogistics,accommodationandfoodserviceactivities20.9%18.2%15.7%13.6%11.1%ConstructionAgriculture,forestryandfishingProfessionalactivitiesManufacturingofconsumergoodsandfoodEducation,healthandsocialassistanceOtherbusinessservices6.9%5.2%3.4%1.5%ProductionofinvestmentgoodsProductionofintermediategoods,energyandwaste29Description:Accordingtodata,theimpactoftheshadoweconomyontheoverallvalueaddedinItalywasparticularlyrelevantinthesectorofpersonalservices.Moreover,alargeimpactwasobservedalsointhesectorsoftrade,transport,accommodation,andfoodaswellasintheconstructionsector.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2021Source(s):IstatCHAPTER

06ImpactofCOVID-19EconomicSentimentIndicator(ESI)inItalyfromNovember2022toOctober2023EconomicSentimentIndicatorinItaly2022-2023120104.4104.5102.6102.6102.2100.9101101.110010097.896.9100806040200Nov'22Dec'22Jan'23Feb'23Mar'23Apr'23May'23Jun'23Jul'23Aug'23Sep'23Oct'2331Description:BetweenAprilandOctober2023,theEconomicSentimentIndicatorinItalydroppedsignificantly.AsofOctober2023,itstoodatlessthan100.TheEconomicSentimentIndicatorisacompositeindicatorconsistingoffiveconfidenceindicators:industrialconfidence,servicesconfidence,consumerconfidence,constructionconfidence,andretailtradeconfidenceindicator.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;November2022toOctober2023Source(s):EurostatGDPgrowthforecastandactualresultsfor2020accordingtodifferentsourcesinItalyGDPgrowthforecastfor2020accordingtodifferentsourcesinItalyGDP

growth-8.9%0.6%Bancad'Italia(May2021)*Istat(December2019)OxfordEconomics(March2020)Confindustria(March2020)EuropeanCommission(May2020)Confindustria(May2020)IMF(June2020)-3%-6%-9.5%-9.6%-12.8%-11.2%-9.3%-10.6%-9.9%-8.9%-8.8%EuropeanCommission(July2020)REFRicerche(October2020)IMF(October2020)EuropeanCommission(November2020)Istat(December2020)REFRicerche(January2021)32Description:DifferentestimationsonItaly'sGDPgrowthfor2020havebeenpublishedsincetheoutbreakofthecoronaviruspandemic.Themostpessimisticforecastsestimatedacontractionofthecountry'sGrossDomesticProductofalmost13percent.Theactualdata,publishedduringtheSpring2021,revealedthatItaly'sGDPdecreasedby8.9percentoverthecourseof2020.ReadmoreNote(s):Italy;2019to2021;*ActualGDPgrowth.Datahasbeencompiledbyusingthefollowingsources:-RelazioneAnnualesul2020,Bancad'Italia

-Summer2020(interim)forecastEuropeanCommission

-WorldEconomicOutlook,June[...]

ReadmoreSource(s):VarioussourcesPercentagechangeinindustrialproductioninItalyfromJanuary2020toOctober2021PercentagechangeinindustrialproductioninItaly2020-2021100%80%60%40%74.1%43.1%24.9%14%20%5%

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