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..精品精品.精品16個(gè)經(jīng)營(yíng)指標(biāo)避免掉坑摘要:財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo)并不是做判斷時(shí)的決定性因素,但的確是重要的投資標(biāo)的質(zhì)量對(duì)比指標(biāo)。比如說(shuō),O2O公司在一定的時(shí)期里可能的確需要通過(guò)燒錢來(lái)擴(kuò)大市場(chǎng)份額,但到了一定的階段之后以收入為代表的財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo)會(huì)說(shuō)明很多問(wèn)題。本文原文由A16Z多位投資人集體創(chuàng)作。A16Z是世界知名的頂級(jí)風(fēng)投公司,Skype,Facebook,Instagram,Twitter,Foursquare,Pinterest,Airbnb,Zynga,GitHub,Jawbone,Lyft,Oculus,Slack,Zenefit等等都是其被投企業(yè)。A16Z的合伙人之一AndreessenHorowitz是暢銷書《創(chuàng)業(yè)維艱》一書的作者。英文原文有些地方的表述并不準(zhǔn)確,所以我們的中文解說(shuō)未必與其一致。本文里的很多指標(biāo)適用于SaaS類的2B服務(wù)公司。有一句話說(shuō)的好:Youcan’tmanagewhatyoudon’tmeasure.我們看到各種各樣的初創(chuàng)企業(yè),似乎大家都拿到了錢而且活的不錯(cuò)。但,真實(shí)情況是怎樣的?..精品精品.精品其實(shí)需要回答的問(wèn)題是:如何衡量一家初創(chuàng)企業(yè)的真實(shí)情況?一篇文章很難說(shuō)清楚這件事,我們只能粗略說(shuō)一下用來(lái)衡量真實(shí)情況可能會(huì)用到的工具。具體運(yùn)用需要區(qū)分行業(yè)、運(yùn)營(yíng)模式、業(yè)務(wù)發(fā)展階段并結(jié)合未來(lái)戰(zhàn)略布局才有價(jià)值。本文分為三部分:A)業(yè)務(wù)與財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo);B)產(chǎn)品與用戶指標(biāo);C)指標(biāo)的展示形式在使用它們時(shí):首先,使用者需要知道應(yīng)該選擇哪個(gè)指標(biāo),這需要根據(jù)業(yè)務(wù)的實(shí)質(zhì)來(lái)進(jìn)行選擇;其次,使用者要明白所使用的指標(biāo)背后所代表的真實(shí)情況是什么,這包括過(guò)去、現(xiàn)在和未來(lái)的情況;最后,使用者根據(jù)指標(biāo)所反映的真實(shí)情況決定進(jìn)一步的投資、戰(zhàn)略或者運(yùn)營(yíng)動(dòng)作。這里,“使用者”基本上指的是(潛在)投資人和創(chuàng)業(yè)公司的管理層。Wehavetheprivilegeofmeetingwiththousandsofentrepreneurseveryyear,andinthecourseofthosediscussionsarepresentedwithallkindsofnumbers,measures,andmetricsthatillustratethepromiseandhealthofaparticularcompany.Sometimes,however,themetricsmaynotbethebestgaugeofwhat’sactuallyhappeninginthebusiness,orpeoplemayusedifferentdefinitionsofthesamemetricinawaythatmakesithardtounderstandthehealthofthebusiness...精品精品.精品So,whilesomeofthismaybeobvioustomanyofyouwholiveandbreathethesemetricsalldaylong,wecompiledalistofthemostcommonorconfusingones.Whereappropriate,wetriedtoaddsomenotesonwhyinvestorsfocusonthosemetrics.Ultimately,though,goodmetricsaren’taboutraisingmoneyfromVCs—they’reaboutrunningthebusinessinawaywherefoundersknowhowandwhycertainthingsareworking(ornot)…andcanaddressoradjustaccordingly.第一部分:業(yè)務(wù)與財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo)對(duì)于多數(shù)早期創(chuàng)業(yè)公司而言,財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo)并不是做判斷時(shí)的決定性因素,但的確是重要的投資標(biāo)的質(zhì)量對(duì)比指標(biāo)。比如說(shuō),O2O公司在一定的時(shí)期里可能的確需要通過(guò)燒錢來(lái)擴(kuò)大市場(chǎng)份額,但到了一定的階段之后以收入為代表的財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo)會(huì)說(shuō)明很多問(wèn)題。很多人并不清楚業(yè)務(wù)數(shù)字和財(cái)務(wù)數(shù)字之間的差別。兩者的區(qū)別非常清楚,不可混淆。財(cái)務(wù)數(shù)字是在會(huì)計(jì)的語(yǔ)言體系下對(duì)公司過(guò)去業(yè)務(wù)成果進(jìn)行的描述。要對(duì)公司的實(shí)際情況加以了解,財(cái)務(wù)和業(yè)務(wù)數(shù)字的互相印證是不可缺少的。..精品精品.精品第一、簽約合同金額vs.收入(Bookingsvs.Revenue)我們可以把booking理解為簽約記錄。在一個(gè)會(huì)計(jì)期間(通常為一年)里跟誰(shuí)簽了銷售合同,合同的簽約金額是多大,公司會(huì)拿個(gè)小本本記錄(book)下來(lái)。在把這些簽約金額累加在一起之后就構(gòu)成了本年度公司記錄的新簽約合同金額(bookings)。它并不屬于會(huì)計(jì)概念,這個(gè)數(shù)字過(guò)于粗糙,對(duì)于分析公司的真實(shí)情況通常沒(méi)有太大的借鑒意義。收入(Revenue)則是按照會(huì)計(jì)準(zhǔn)則對(duì)合同金額進(jìn)行確認(rèn)并計(jì)量的會(huì)計(jì)要素。按照會(huì)計(jì)語(yǔ)言的定義,收入是指企業(yè)在日?;顒?dòng)中所形成的、會(huì)導(dǎo)致所有者權(quán)益增加的、非所有者投入資本的經(jīng)濟(jì)利益的總流入。一般而言,收入只有在經(jīng)濟(jì)利益很可能流入從而導(dǎo)致企業(yè)資產(chǎn)增加或者負(fù)債減少,且經(jīng)濟(jì)利益的流入額能夠可靠計(jì)量時(shí)才能予以確認(rèn)。之所以這樣規(guī)定是為了滿足財(cái)務(wù)報(bào)表的謹(jǐn)慎性原則,盡量減少夸大公司業(yè)務(wù)優(yōu)勢(shì)對(duì)投資者形成的決策誤導(dǎo)。收入是企業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)利益流入的主要入口??词杖氲慕^對(duì)值和增長(zhǎng)率是投資人最初要看的數(shù)字之一。這個(gè)指標(biāo)本身有其內(nèi)涵,但在一開(kāi)始只能起到一個(gè)過(guò)濾器的作用,對(duì)于變現(xiàn)模式清晰的公司,如果收入表現(xiàn)不達(dá)標(biāo)是很少會(huì)有人會(huì)繼續(xù)分析的。..精品精品.精品另外,稍微普及一下,會(huì)計(jì)要素一共有6個(gè),分別是利潤(rùn)表里的收入、費(fèi)用、利潤(rùn)和資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表里的資產(chǎn)、負(fù)責(zé)和所有者權(quán)益。會(huì)計(jì)準(zhǔn)則對(duì)于這些要素的確認(rèn)和計(jì)量方式都有明確的規(guī)定。Acommonmistakeistousebookingsandrevenueinterchangeably,buttheyaren’tthesamething.Bookingsisthevalueofacontractbetweenthecompanyandthecustomer.Itreflectsacontractualobligationonthepartofthecustomertopaythecompany.Revenueisrecognizedwhentheserviceisactuallyprovidedorratablyoverthelifeofthesubscriptionagreement.HowandwhenrevenueisrecognizedisgovernedbyGAAP.Lettersofintentandverbalagreementsareneitherrevenuenorbookings.第二、經(jīng)常性收入vs.總收入(RecurringRevenuevs.TotalRevenue)Recurring的字面意思是“重復(fù)出現(xiàn)的”,我們可以將其理解為由日常業(yè)務(wù)產(chǎn)生的經(jīng)常性收入。這個(gè)財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo)衡量的是一家公司的常規(guī)業(yè)務(wù)創(chuàng)造經(jīng)濟(jì)利益流入的能力。..精品精品.精品在投資人進(jìn)行財(cái)務(wù)盡職調(diào)查時(shí),非經(jīng)常性收入通常都是會(huì)被剔除在外的。典型的非經(jīng)常性收入包括資產(chǎn)處置、資產(chǎn)盤盈、補(bǔ)貼收入、稅收優(yōu)惠、有失公允的關(guān)聯(lián)交易等等。A16Z的投資人在此提出了三個(gè)經(jīng)常性收入指標(biāo):1)ARR(年度經(jīng)常性收入)是做業(yè)務(wù)分析時(shí)最基本的經(jīng)常性收入指標(biāo),它是名副其實(shí)的“主營(yíng)業(yè)務(wù)收入”。2)ARRpercustomer(單個(gè)用戶ARR)衡量的是從單個(gè)用戶身上獲取的年度經(jīng)常性收入。分析時(shí)可以對(duì)用戶區(qū)分類別,看不同類別單個(gè)用戶ARR同比/環(huán)比變動(dòng)情況。這可以判斷對(duì)單個(gè)用戶進(jìn)行upselling(向上銷售,在基礎(chǔ)銷售項(xiàng)目上銷售升級(jí)版產(chǎn)品)或cross-selling(交叉銷售,提供與被銷售項(xiàng)目相關(guān)的其他銷售項(xiàng)目)的效果。3)MRR(月度經(jīng)常性收入)是以月度為頻率的經(jīng)常性收入,它是對(duì)SaaS公司進(jìn)行業(yè)務(wù)分析時(shí)的重要指標(biāo)。需要注意的地方有,不要把非經(jīng)常性收入算進(jìn)來(lái);不要把合同金額當(dāng)成收入。Investorsmorehighlyvaluecompanieswherethemajorityoftotalrevenuecomesfromproductrevenue(vs.fromservices).Why?Servicesrevenueisnon-recurring,hasmuchlowermargins,andislessscalable.Productrevenueisthewhatyougeneratefromthesaleofthesoftwareorproductitself...精品精品.精品ARR(annualrecurringrevenue)isameasureofrevenuecomponentsthatarerecurringinnature.Itshouldexcludeone-time(non-recurring)feesandprofessionalservicefees.ARRpercustomer:Isthisflatorgrowing?Ifyouareup-sellingorcross-sellingyourcustomers,thenitshouldbegrowing,whichisapositiveindicatorforahealthybusiness.MRR(monthlyrecurringrevenue):Often,peoplewillmultiplyonemonth’sall-inbookingsby12togettoARR.Commonmistakeswiththismethodinclude:(1)countingnon-recurringfeessuchashardware,setup,installation,professionalservices/consultingagreements;(2)countingbookings(see#1).第三、毛利潤(rùn)(GrossProfit)毛利潤(rùn)=銷售收入-銷售成本。毛利潤(rùn)(率)衡量了主營(yíng)業(yè)務(wù)在發(fā)生期間費(fèi)用之前的銷售獲利水平。在確定毛利潤(rùn)的過(guò)程中,最重要的是需要把銷售成本的組成部分拎清楚。銷售成本內(nèi)所包含的成本項(xiàng)目是和銷售商品及提供服務(wù)直接相關(guān)的成本項(xiàng)目。在看銷售成本組成時(shí),需要注意的是公司在進(jìn)行料工費(fèi)的分配時(shí)是否符合會(huì)計(jì)上“制造成本”法的要求。..精品精品.精品通常,制造業(yè)的毛利率會(huì)偏低,而軟件、快消品行業(yè)的毛利率保守的講也至少在60%以上。實(shí)際上,投資人在進(jìn)行財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo)衡量時(shí)未必是嚴(yán)格按照會(huì)計(jì)規(guī)定進(jìn)行項(xiàng)目調(diào)整的,行業(yè)慣例及其所反映的經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)質(zhì)才是做報(bào)表調(diào)整背后的原因。Whiletop-linebookingsgrowthissuperimportant,investorswanttounderstandhowprofitablethatrevenuestreamis.Grossprofitprovidesthatmeasure.What’sincludedingrossprofitmayvarybycompany,butingeneralallcostsassociatedwiththemanufacturing,delivery,andsupportofaproduct/serviceshouldbeincluded.Sobepreparedtobreakdownwhat’sincludedin—andexcluded—fromthatgrossprofitfigure.第四、合同總價(jià)值vs.年度合同價(jià)值(TotalContractValue(TCV)vs.AnnualContractValue(ACV))合同總價(jià)值(TCV),指的是一份商業(yè)合同的簽約金額,無(wú)論合同的服務(wù)期限是一個(gè)月、幾個(gè)月或長(zhǎng)于一年。年度合同價(jià)值(ACV),指的是經(jīng)過(guò)年化處理后的合同金額。通常而言,會(huì)以單個(gè)用戶的平均ACV對(duì)銷售能力和用戶的接受度進(jìn)行分析。這是SaaS業(yè)務(wù)的常用分析指標(biāo)。..精品精品.精品需要指出的是,對(duì)ACV的分析不能離開(kāi)下文提到的CAC(獲客成本)分析,這兩者結(jié)合在一起才能看出業(yè)務(wù)的優(yōu)劣。TCV(totalcontractvalue)isthetotalvalueofthecontract,andcanbeshorterorlongerinduration.MakesureTCValsoincludesthevaluefromone-timecharges,professionalservicefees,andrecurringcharges.ACV(annualcontractvalue),ontheotherhand,measuresthevalueofthecontractovera12-monthperiod.QuestionstoaskaboutACV:Whatisthesize?Areyougettingafewhundreddollarspermonthfromyourcustomers,orareyouabletocloselargedeals?Ofcourse,thisdependsonthemarketyouaretargeting(SMBvs.mid-marketvs.enterprise).Isitgrowing(andespeciallynotshrinking)?Ifit’sgrowing,itmeanscustomersarepayingyoumoreonaverageforyourproductovertime.Thatimplieseitheryourproductisfundamentallydoingmore(addingfeaturesandcapabilities)towarrantthatincrease,orisdeliveringsomuchvaluecustomers(improvedfunctionalityoveralternatives)thattheyarewillingtopaymoreforit.第五、獲客成本/CAC(CustomerAcquisitionCost)…(Blendedvs.Paid,Organicvs.Inorganic)..精品精品.精品獲客成本(CAC)這一項(xiàng)在原文中是第八條,由于它的重要性,我們將其提前至第五條。CAC是獲取單個(gè)新用戶所需花費(fèi)的全部成本。其計(jì)算公式為:CAC=銷售費(fèi)用總額/期間新增用戶數(shù)。在確定CAC時(shí),總體上要遵循謹(jǐn)慎性原則:首先,需要遵循完整性原則把在經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)質(zhì)上歸屬于獲取新客戶的所有費(fèi)用都包括進(jìn)來(lái)(銷售行為中的打折、返點(diǎn)都屬于此類)。其次,必須將來(lái)自不同渠道的新客戶進(jìn)行區(qū)分。來(lái)自不同渠道的用戶所對(duì)應(yīng)的CAC可能是不同的。另外,因?yàn)榭倳?huì)有一部分用戶是自己找過(guò)來(lái)而不是通過(guò)你的市場(chǎng)投入吸引過(guò)來(lái)的,這一類用戶不可以進(jìn)入CAC計(jì)算公式的分母項(xiàng)。所以,嚴(yán)格意義上的CAC是所謂的paidCAC,即,通過(guò)付出市場(chǎng)費(fèi)用而獲取的用戶所對(duì)應(yīng)的CAC。把來(lái)自不同獲客渠道的用戶所對(duì)應(yīng)的ARR和paidCAC進(jìn)行對(duì)比可以看出特定類別用戶的利潤(rùn)貢獻(xiàn)度以及市場(chǎng)投入的可行性。另外,對(duì)特定市場(chǎng)渠道加大投入可能會(huì)引起該渠道paidCAC的變化,其變化情況和背后的原因可能非常重要。CustomeracquisitioncostorCACshouldbethefullcostofacquiringusers,statedonaperuserbasis.Unfortunately,CACmetricscomeinallshapesandsizes...精品精品.精品OnecommonproblemwithCACmetricsisfailingtoincludeallthecostsincurredinuseracquisitionsuchasreferralfees,credits,ordiscounts.AnothercommonproblemistocalculateCACasa“blended”cost(includingusersacquiredorganically)ratherthanisolatingusersacquiredthrough“paid”marketing.WhileblendedCAC[totalacquisitioncost/totalnewcustomersacquiredacrossallchannels]isn’twrong,itdoesn’tinformhowwellyourpaidcampaignsareworkingandwhetherthey’reprofitable.ThisiswhyinvestorsconsiderpaidCAC[totalacquisitioncost/newcustomersacquiredthroughpaidmarketing]tobemoreimportantthanblendedCACinevaluatingtheviabilityofabusiness—itinformswhetheracompanycanscaleupitsuseracquisitionbudgetprofitably.Whileanargumentcanbemadeinsomecasesthatpaidacquisitioncontributestoorganicacquisition,onewouldneedtodemonstrateproofofthateffecttoputweightonblendedCAC.Manyinvestorsdolikeseeingboth,however:theblendednumberaswellastheCAC,brokenoutbypaid/unpaid.Wealsolikeseeingthebreakdownbydollarsofpaidcustomeracquisitionchannels:forexample,howmuchdoesapayingcustomercostiftheywereacquiredviaFacebook?..精品精品.精品Counterintuitively,itturnsoutthatcoststypicallygoupasyoutryandreachalargeraudience.Soitmightcostyou$1toacquireyourfirst1,000users,$2toacquireyournext10,000,and$5to$10toacquireyournext100,000.That’swhyyoucan’taffordtoignorethemetricsaboutvolumeofusersacquiredviaeachchannel.第六、用戶生命周期總價(jià)值/LTV(LifeTimeValue)嚴(yán)格來(lái)講,LTV的定義是:特定用戶對(duì)公司貢獻(xiàn)的未來(lái)所有期間凈利潤(rùn)的現(xiàn)值?,F(xiàn)值是一個(gè)財(cái)務(wù)管理上的概念,簡(jiǎn)單的講,未來(lái)的錢沒(méi)有現(xiàn)在的錢值錢,所以,折現(xiàn)就是要把未來(lái)經(jīng)濟(jì)利益的面值折算成為現(xiàn)在的價(jià)值。我們不在此向讀者具體展示和說(shuō)明LTV的計(jì)算公式,僅僅說(shuō)明一下LTV的用途以及需要注意的事項(xiàng)。對(duì)于初創(chuàng)企業(yè),LTV的主要用途是用于衡量公司(特別是SaaS公司)市場(chǎng)支出的有效性并用以決定是否需要進(jìn)入加速擴(kuò)大市場(chǎng)支出的階段。理想而言,SaaS公司LTV/CAC的經(jīng)驗(yàn)比率數(shù)字應(yīng)該大于3。與LTV相關(guān)的因素主要有:ARPU(平均單個(gè)用戶收入)、用戶流失率(其倒數(shù)為用戶生命周期)、服務(wù)單個(gè)用戶成本、CAC(獲客成本)。這幾個(gè)因素之間是相互影響的,它們的背后實(shí)質(zhì)是公司行為和用戶行為之間的互動(dòng)結(jié)果。因此,在計(jì)算LTV時(shí)所使用的假設(shè)應(yīng)該是基于業(yè)務(wù)實(shí)際情況進(jìn)行的謹(jǐn)慎且合理的推斷。投資人和管理層的出發(fā)點(diǎn)在有些時(shí)候可能不同,投資人需要減少風(fēng)險(xiǎn),創(chuàng)業(yè)者需要加大投入推進(jìn)業(yè)務(wù)。這就造..精品精品.精品成大家所使用的假設(shè)可能不同,假設(shè)的合理性與否就要看各自的職業(yè)判斷能力了。實(shí)際上,計(jì)算LTV并不需要得到特別精確的數(shù)字,只要平衡謹(jǐn)慎性和合理性原則對(duì)各個(gè)參數(shù)進(jìn)行假設(shè)得到有價(jià)值的決策結(jié)果即可。Lifetimevalueisthepresentvalueofthefuturenetprofitfromthecustomeroverthedurationoftherelationship.Ithelpsdeterminethelong-termvalueofthecustomerandhowmuchnetvalueyougeneratepercustomerafteraccountingforcustomeracquisitioncosts(CAC).AcommonmistakeistoestimatetheLTVasapresentvalueofrevenueorevengrossmarginofthecustomerinsteadofcalculatingitasnetprofitofthecustomeroverthelifeoftherelationship.Reminder,here’sawaytocalculateLTV:Revenuepercustomer(permonth)=averageordervaluemultipliedbythenumberoforders.Contributionmarginpercustomer(permonth)=revenuefromcustomerminusvariablecostsassociatedwithacustomer.Variablecostsincludeselling,administrativeandanyoperationalcostsassociatedwithservingthecustomer...精品精品.精品Avg.lifespanofcustomer(inmonths)=1/byyourmonthlychurn.LTV=Contributionmarginfromcustomermultipliedbytheaveragelifespanofcustomer.Note,ifyouhaveonlyfewmonthsofdata,theconservativewaytomeasureLTVistolookathistoricalvaluetodate.Ratherthanpredictingaveragelifespanandestimatinghowtheretentioncurvesmightlook,weprefertomeasure12monthand24monthLTV.AnotherimportantcalculationhereisLTVasitcontributestomargin.ThisisimportantbecausearevenueorgrossmarginLTVsuggestsahigherupperlimitonwhatyoucanspendoncustomeracquisition.ContributionMarginLTVtoCACratioisalsoagoodmeasuretodetermineCACpaybackandmanageyouradvertisingandmarketingspendaccordingly.第七、總成交額vs.收入(GrossMerchandiseValue(GMV)vs.Revenue)這是非常傳統(tǒng)的電商和交易平臺(tái)指標(biāo),在撮合交易平臺(tái)上適用。GMV通常是針對(duì)交易平臺(tái)而言的,它衡量的是特定期間里平臺(tái)上發(fā)生的交易流水總額。它說(shuō)明了交易平臺(tái)對(duì)流量的吸納能力。..精品精品.精品交易平臺(tái)的收入包括其在GMV里的提成(takes)、廣告收入及其他增值服務(wù)收費(fèi)。Inmarketplacebusinesses,thesearefrequentlyusedinterchangeably.ButGMVdoesnotequalrevenue!GMV(grossmerchandisevolume)isthetotalsalesdollarvolumeofmerchandisetransactingthroughthemarketplaceinaspecificperiod.It’stherealtopline,whattheconsumersideofthemarketplaceisspending.Itisausefulmeasureofthesizeofthemarketplaceandcanbeusefulasa“currentrunrate”measurebasedonannualizingthemostrecentmonthorquarter.RevenueistheportionofGMVthatthemarketplace“takes”.Revenueconsistsofthevariousfeesthatthemarketplacegetsforprovidingitsservices;mosttypicallythesearetransactionfeesbasedonGMVsuccessfullytransactedonthemarketplace,butcanalsoincludeadrevenue,sponsorships,etc.ThesefeesareusuallyafractionofGMV.第八、未實(shí)現(xiàn)收益(預(yù)收賬款)以及開(kāi)票額(UnearnedorDeferredRevenue…andBillings)這是一個(gè)會(huì)計(jì)確認(rèn)的問(wèn)題。根據(jù)會(huì)計(jì)準(zhǔn)則,公司不得把尚未履行的服務(wù)所產(chǎn)生的經(jīng)濟(jì)流入確認(rèn)為收入項(xiàng)目。..精品精品.精品在形式上,預(yù)收賬款項(xiàng)目記錄的就是用戶對(duì)已簽約但尚未履行服務(wù)的合同提前向公司支付的款項(xiàng)。因此公司財(cái)務(wù)必須把這部分提前收到的款項(xiàng)作為對(duì)客戶的負(fù)債記錄在資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表上。當(dāng)公司履行了預(yù)收賬款所對(duì)應(yīng)的服務(wù)后,公司才可以在當(dāng)月把這部分被作為負(fù)債的“未實(shí)現(xiàn)收益”從資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表轉(zhuǎn)到利潤(rùn)表里確認(rèn)為收入(即所謂“已實(shí)現(xiàn)收益”)。Billing的意思是開(kāi)收據(jù),在公司在收到客戶預(yù)付款項(xiàng)時(shí)需要開(kāi)具收據(jù)并記錄,當(dāng)相應(yīng)的款項(xiàng)符合收入確認(rèn)條件時(shí)向客戶開(kāi)具發(fā)票。Billing是財(cái)務(wù)流程中的一個(gè)動(dòng)作,其本身不屬于財(cái)務(wù)報(bào)告概念。當(dāng)期Billing這個(gè)數(shù)字所代表的是公司從用戶那里收到的全部現(xiàn)金金額。它反映了公司對(duì)用戶的議價(jià)能力、押款能力,如果Billing的增長(zhǎng)勢(shì)頭好,可能說(shuō)明公司的業(yè)務(wù)進(jìn)入強(qiáng)勢(shì)增長(zhǎng)階段。InaSaaSbusiness,thisisthecashyoucollectatthetimeofthebookinginadvanceofwhentherevenueswillactuallyberealized.Aswe’vesharedpreviously,SaaScompaniesonlygettorecognizerevenueoverthetermofthedealastheserviceisdelivered—evenifacustomersignsahugeup-frontdeal.Soinmostcases,that“booking”goesontothebalancesheetinaliabilitylineitemcalleddeferredrevenue.(Becausethebalancesheethasto“balance,”thecorrespondingentryontheassetssideofthebalancesheetis“cash”ifthecustomerpre-paidfortheserviceor“accountsreceivable”ifthecompanyexpectstobillforandreceiveitinthefuture).Asthecompanystartstorecognizerevenuefromthesoftwareasservice,itreducesitsdeferredrevenuebalanceandincreasesrevenue:fora24-monthdeal,aseachmonthgoesbydeferredrevenuedropsby1/24thandrevenueincreasesby1/24th...精品精品.精品Agoodproxytomeasurethegrowth—andultimatelythehealth—ofaSaaScompanyistolookatbillings,whichiscalculatedbytakingtherevenueinonequarterandaddingthechangeindeferredrevenuefromthepriorquartertothecurrentquarter.IfaSaaScompanyisgrowingitsbookings(whetherthroughnewbusinessorupsells/renewalstoexistingcustomers),billingswillincrease.Billingsisamuchbetterforward-lookingindicatorofthehealthofaSaaScompanythansimplylookingatrevenuebecauserevenueunderstatesthetruevalueofthecustomer,whichgetsrecognizedratably.Butit’salsotrickybecauseoftheverynatureofrecurringrevenueitself:ASaaScompanycouldshowstablerevenueforalongtime—justbyworkingoffitsbillingsbacklog—whichwouldmakethebusinessseemhealthierthanittrulyis.Thisissomethingwethereforewatchoutforwhenevaluatingtheuniteconomicsofsuchbusinesses...精品精品.精品第二部分:產(chǎn)品與用戶指標(biāo)(ProductandEngagementMetrics)產(chǎn)品和用戶指標(biāo)的定義千差萬(wàn)別,對(duì)于指標(biāo)的選取和定義標(biāo)準(zhǔn)對(duì)于做出正確的投資分析和運(yùn)營(yíng)決策至關(guān)重要。第九、活躍用戶數(shù)(ActiveUsers)活躍用戶是需要被加以定義的,原則上說(shuō),投資人一定會(huì)給一個(gè)謹(jǐn)慎的評(píng)判標(biāo)準(zhǔn)來(lái)衡量什么樣的用戶才是“活躍”的。這需要根據(jù)行業(yè)特征通過(guò)具體場(chǎng)景加以界定。Differentcompanieshavealmostunlimiteddefinitionsforwhat“active”means.Somechartsdon’tevendefinewhatthatactivityis,whileothersincludeinadvertentactivity—suchashavingahighproportionoffirst-timeusersoraccidentalone-timeusers.Beclearonhowyoudefine“active.”第十、環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)率(Month-on-month(MoM)growth)普通環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)率受到短期因素的影響波動(dòng)可能較大,其對(duì)比價(jià)值有限。因此,投資人會(huì)選擇使用復(fù)合環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)率(CMGC)作為環(huán)比數(shù)據(jù)的分析指標(biāo)。CMGC=(當(dāng)前月數(shù)字/基礎(chǔ)月數(shù)字)^(1/月份數(shù)目)-1CMGC是一個(gè)復(fù)利概念,它把短期的劇烈波動(dòng)因素去除掉,是對(duì)產(chǎn)品或者產(chǎn)業(yè)的增長(zhǎng)潛力、變遷趨勢(shì)進(jìn)行評(píng)估的長(zhǎng)期視角。..精品精品.精品常見(jiàn)的復(fù)合增長(zhǎng)率是CAGC(CompoundedAnnuallyGrowthRate,年復(fù)合增長(zhǎng)率)。對(duì)于高速增長(zhǎng)的初創(chuàng)企業(yè)使用CMGC更加容易看出高速增長(zhǎng)行業(yè)內(nèi)橫向?qū)Ρ鹊臉I(yè)務(wù)增長(zhǎng)趨勢(shì)。這是一個(gè)gauge(標(biāo)尺)工具,看的是大致的水平在什么地方,并不要求非常精準(zhǔn)。Oftenthismeasuredasthesimpleaverageofmonthlygrowthrates.ButinvestorsoftenprefertomeasureitasCMGR(CompoundedMonthlyGrowthRate)sinceCMGRmeasurestheperiodicgrowth,especiallyforamarketplace.UsingCMGR[CMGR=(LatestMonth/FirstMonth)^(1/#ofMonths)-1]alsohelpsyoubenchmarkgrowthrateswithothercompanies.Thiswouldotherwisebedifficulttocompareduetovolatilityandotherfactors.TheCMGRwillbesmallerthanthesimpleaverageinagrowingbusiness.第十一、流失率(Churn)流失率對(duì)于SaaS業(yè)務(wù)來(lái)說(shuō)是至關(guān)重要的指標(biāo)。用戶流失可能引起MRR(月度經(jīng)常性收入)的下降。對(duì)于MRR的流失率有兩個(gè)計(jì)算維度:一個(gè)是MRR毛流失率,即當(dāng)月流失的MRR/月初MRR;..精品精品.精品一個(gè)是MRR凈流失率,即(當(dāng)月流失的MRR-原有用戶的MRR增長(zhǎng)數(shù))/月初MRR。MRR毛流失率反應(yīng)了穩(wěn)定狀態(tài)下用戶自然流失引起的MRR下降水平,反應(yīng)了公司產(chǎn)品/服務(wù)對(duì)用戶的維系能力。MRR凈流失率考慮了公司對(duì)現(xiàn)有用戶進(jìn)行增量銷售的因素。對(duì)于SaaS服務(wù)公司而言,這個(gè)指標(biāo)非常重要,因?yàn)樗@示了公司未來(lái)服務(wù)升級(jí)的能力。對(duì)于SaaS公司而言,單純希望依靠獲取新客戶實(shí)現(xiàn)長(zhǎng)期增長(zhǎng)幾乎是不可能的事情,所以u(píng)p-selling和crossselling的能力就格外重要。你依靠什么長(zhǎng)期留住現(xiàn)有客戶?如何讓他們?cè)敢舛嗷ㄥX購(gòu)買更多的服務(wù)?這里要考慮的不僅僅是眼前的產(chǎn)品形態(tài),還必須考慮自己的戰(zhàn)略路徑安排。這里有一個(gè)cohortanalysis(斷代分析)的概念,就是把每個(gè)月的新用戶分組(每個(gè)月的用戶合稱為一個(gè)cohort)后記錄其留存率。組內(nèi)縱向?qū)Ρ瓤梢钥闯隽舸媛实淖兓厔?shì);組間橫向?qū)Ρ瓤梢钥闯龊竺娴腸ohort是否較之前的cohort在留存率上有所提升。另外,對(duì)于高速增長(zhǎng)的SaaS公司而言,用戶續(xù)約率(CustomerRenewalRate)也是一個(gè)非常關(guān)鍵的指標(biāo)。這個(gè)指標(biāo)衡量的是當(dāng)期到期用戶的續(xù)約比例,在大量合同同時(shí)到期的時(shí)候需要格外關(guān)注,它反應(yīng)了用戶對(duì)服務(wù)的粘性和滿意程度。..精品精品.精品There’reallkindsofchurn—dollarchurn,customerchurn,netdollarchurn—andtherearevaryingdefinitionsforhowchurnismeasured.Forexample,somecompaniesmeasureitonarevenuebasisannually,whichblendsupsellswithchurn.Investorslookatitthefollowingway:Monthlyunitchurn=lostcustomers/priormonthtotalRetentionbycohortMonth1=100%ofinstalledbaseLatestMonth=%oforiginalinstalledbasethatarestilltransactingItisalsoimportanttodifferentiatebetweengrosschurnandnetrevenuechurn—Grosschurn:MRRlostinagivenmonth/MRRatthebeginningofthemonth.Netchurn:(MRRlostminusMRRfromupsells)inagivenmonth/MRRatthebeginningofthemonth...精品精品.精品Thedifferencebetweenthetwoissignificant.Grosschurnestimatestheactuallosstothebusiness,whilenetrevenuechurnunderstatesthelosses(asitblendsupsellswithabsolutechurn).第十二、現(xiàn)金消耗率(BurnRate)現(xiàn)金是企業(yè)運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)、擴(kuò)張的血液,進(jìn)攻、防守和抵御風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的彈藥,因此,創(chuàng)業(yè)者、企業(yè)家對(duì)于公司的現(xiàn)金流和現(xiàn)金消耗情況必須非常關(guān)注。Burnrate俗稱燒錢率,代表了現(xiàn)金儲(chǔ)備的消耗速度。應(yīng)該如何理解它呢?單純的看現(xiàn)金消耗率,分為凈現(xiàn)金消耗率和毛現(xiàn)金消耗率:毛現(xiàn)金消耗的驅(qū)動(dòng)因素就是公司在特定期間的現(xiàn)金流出總量;凈現(xiàn)金消耗是公司在特定期間內(nèi)收入的現(xiàn)金部分減去毛現(xiàn)金消耗的數(shù)字。它與期初現(xiàn)金余額的反映了在不進(jìn)行籌資活動(dòng)的情況下公司未來(lái)現(xiàn)金可支撐的時(shí)間長(zhǎng)度。投資人需要知道創(chuàng)業(yè)團(tuán)隊(duì)的現(xiàn)金的支出計(jì)劃,創(chuàng)業(yè)者需要知道錢花到什么程度時(shí)應(yīng)該達(dá)到什么業(yè)務(wù)水平、什么時(shí)候需要進(jìn)行后續(xù)融資。通過(guò)對(duì)現(xiàn)金支出的預(yù)算,創(chuàng)業(yè)者可以更好的把握公司的成本結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)金的消耗率(現(xiàn)金凈流出)受到三類活動(dòng)的共同影響。這三類活動(dòng)分別是經(jīng)營(yíng)活動(dòng)(生產(chǎn)及銷售商品,提供服務(wù)的活動(dòng))、投資活動(dòng)(長(zhǎng)期資產(chǎn)的構(gòu)建及處置)和融資活動(dòng)(直接引起企業(yè)負(fù)債或所有者權(quán)益變動(dòng)的活動(dòng))。區(qū)分這三類性質(zhì)不同的活動(dòng)是為了在分析現(xiàn)金變動(dòng)時(shí)明白影響因素的性質(zhì)及其來(lái)源。..精品精品.精品由于三類活動(dòng)的共同影響,現(xiàn)金的消耗率在各個(gè)月份之間一定不是一成不變甚至?xí)休^高的波動(dòng)?,F(xiàn)金消耗率沒(méi)有好壞之分,必須結(jié)合行業(yè)背景、公司發(fā)展階段來(lái)具體分析現(xiàn)狀和未來(lái)。Burnrateistherateatwhichcashisdecreasing.Especiallyinearlystagestartups,it’simportanttoknowandmonitorburnrateascompaniesfailwhentheyarerunningoutofcashanddon’thaveenoughtimelefttoraisefundsorreduceexpenses.Asareminder,here’sasimplecalculation:Monthlycashburn=cashbalanceatthebeginningoftheyearminuscashbalanceendoftheyear/12It’salsoimportanttomeasurenetburnvs.grossburn:Netburn[revenues(includingallincomingcashyouhaveahighprobabilityofreceiving)–grossburn]isthetruemeasureofamountofcashyourcompanyisburningeverymonth.Grossburnontheotherhandonlylooksatyourmonthlyexpenses+anyothercashoutlays...精品精品.精品Investorstendtofocusonnetburntounderstandhowlongthemoneyyouhaveleftinthebankwilllastforyoutorunthecompany.Theywillalsotakeintoaccounttherateatwhichyourrevenuesandexpensesgrowasmonthlyburnmaynotbeaconstantnumber.第十三、下載數(shù)(Downloads)對(duì)于投資人而言,單純的下載數(shù)沒(méi)有太大意義,能夠顯示出用戶參與活躍度的數(shù)字才有評(píng)估價(jià)值。和上文的流失率(churn)一樣,cohortanalysis(斷代分析)也可以用于對(duì)用戶活躍度的分析。組內(nèi)縱向?qū)Ρ瓤梢钥闯鲇脩艋钴S度的變化趨勢(shì);組間橫向?qū)Ρ瓤梢钥闯龊竺娴腸ohort是否較之前的cohort在用戶活躍度上有所提升。Downloads(ornumberofappsdeliveredbydistributiondeals)arereallyjustavanitymetric.Investorswanttoseeengagement,ideallyexpressedascohortretentiononmetricsthatmatterforthatbusiness—forexample,DAU(dailyactiveusers),MAU(monthlyactiveusers),photosshared,photosviewed,andsoon.第三部分:指標(biāo)的展示形式(PresentingMetricsGen

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