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科目集訓(xùn)營(yíng)(2019.06)

公金

Exp^nUonproject

3A:和發(fā)盟通日HttJL

?CmhFlowPro^ctkxn

什么―用什么“GttJI方法.

Mvtu

PresetswHhRealOptions

CapitalBudgeting

.teooomteIncome

?ecooon*Profit

ProposKkX)I&Il(vMthouttaxes)

?MMTheory

PfoptHltkxiI&IIOMth3R

CapitalStructureSUt*tfacto-oeftheory

?OtMrTheory

MkingoecWrQhxxy

DoubteTaxationSystem

?TAKConUderationftDMd?ndImpuUtionTaxSyttem

Spot—-TaxSyttE

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DividendsandShareRepurchases?DMdendPolkEConit?ntDMdendPayoutfUttoP?4ky

Ok4d?0dPo?cy

ZjuNbeforeMM

?TAXEff?cHZT,MrfS?,M.5

S"ju3aftM?x-dMd?nd

StockpurchaM

?Stockpurchata&Ast?tpurehaw

43purchai*

DHcount”CMFlowAn*>y5(OCF)

MergerAndAcquisitions64dEvMiMion

Pr?-offert?k?ov?rdefensemechanisms

?w?:用馬兩

DetentMechanbrm

對(duì)應(yīng)區(qū)劃.

Poit-offecWensrrwchanKrnsN0X?W?”

2

Case1

ThefollowinginformationrelatestoQuestions1—6

ThecapitalbudgetingcommitteeforLarocheIndustriesismeeting.LarocheisaNorthAmerican

conglomeratethathasseveraldivisions.Oneofthesedivisions,LarocheLivery,operatesalarge

fleetofvans.Larochesmanagementisevaluatingwhetheritisoptimaltooperatenewvansfbr

two,three,orfouryearsbeforereplacingthem.Themanagershaveestimatedtheinvestment

outlay,annualafter-taxoperatingexpenses,andafter-taxsalvagecashflowsfbreachofthe

servicelives.Becauserevenuesandsomeoperatingcostsareunaffectedbythechoiceofservice

life,theywereignoredintheanalysis.LarocheLivery'sopportunitycostoffundsis10percent.

ThefollowingtablegivesthecashflowsinthousandsofCanadiandollars(C$).

SeniceLifeInvestmentYear1Year2Year3Year4Salvage

2years-40,000-12,000-15,00020,000

3years-40,000-12,000-15,000-20,00017,000

4years-40,000-12,000-15,000-20,000-25,00012,000

3

?SchoemanProducts,anotherdivisionofLaroche,hasevaluatedseveral

investmentprojectsandnowmustchoosethesubsetofthemthatfitswithin

itsC$40millioncapitalbudget.TheoutlaysandNPVsforthesixprojectsare

givenbelow.Schoemancannotbuyfractionalprojects,andmustbuyallor

noneofaproject.ThecurrencyamountsareinmillionsofCanadiandollars.

ProjectOutlayPVofFutureCashFlowsXPV

1314413

215216

31216.54.5

410133

58113

6682

4

Schoemanwantstodeterminewhichsubsetofthesixprojectsisoptimal.

AfilialproposalcomesfromdiedivisionSocietyServices,whichhasaniiivesLnieiiLoppurLuniLy

witharealoptiontoinvestfurtherifconditionswarrant.Thecrucialdetailsareasfollows:

Theoriginalproject:

,AnoutlayofC$190millionattimezero.

?CashflowsofC$40millionperyearforYears1-10ifdemandis"high.”

,CashflowsofC$20millionperyearforYears1-10ifdemandis"low."

Additionalcashflowswiththeoptionalexpansionproject:

?AnoutlayofC$190millionattimeone.

?CashflowsofC$40millionperyearforYears2-10ifdemandisuhigh.^^

?CashflowsofC$20millionperyearforYears2-10ifdemandis"low.”

Whetherdemandis“high"or“l(fā)ow”inYears1-10willberevealedduringthefirstyear.The

probabilityof“high”demandis0.50,andtheprobabilityof“l(fā)ow"demandis0.50.

Theoptiontomaketheexpansioninvestmentdependsonmakingtheinitialinvestment.Ifthe

initialinvestmentisnotmade,theoptiontoexpanddoesnotexist.

Therequiredrateofreturnis10percent.

5

SocietyServiceswantstoevaluateitsinvestmentalternatives.

TheinternalauditorforLarocheIndustrieshasmadeseveralsuggestionsforimproving

capitalbudgetingprocessesatthecompany.Theinternalauditor'ssuggestionsareas

follows:

Suggestion1*1nordertoputallcapitalbudgetingoroposalsonanequalfooting,the

projectsshouldallusetherisk-freeratefortherequiredrateofreturn."

Suggestion2'Becauseyoucannotexercisebothofthem,youshouldnotpermitagiven

projecttohavebothanabandonmentoptionandanexpansion/growth

option."

Suggestion3**Whcnrationingcapital,itisbettertochoosetheportfolioofinvestments

thatmaximizesthecompanyNPVthantheportfoliothatmaximizesthe

companyIRR."

"Projectbetasshouldbeusedforestablishingtherequired

Suggestion4rateofreturnwhenevertheproject'sbetaisdifferentfromthecompany's

beta.”

6

1.WhatistheoptimalservicelifeforLarocheLivery'sfleetofvans?

A.Twoyears.

B.Threeyears.

C.Fouryears.

7

nswer

Biscorrect.Thewaytosolvetheproblemistocalculatetheequivalentannualannuityaudchoosethe

servicelifewiththelowestannualcost.Foratwo-yearservicelife,theNPVis

-12,000-15,00020,000

NPV=40,000+——--+——十,=-4?,776.86

1.1011.1021.102

TheEAA(PV--46,776.86,V-2,and/-10%)is-26,952.38.

Forathree-yearservicelife,theNPVis

NPV-40,000+W+W」耳+號(hào)

1.101LIO31.10s1.10s

--65,559.73

TheEAA(PV-?5,559.73,V-3,and/-10%)is26,362.54.

Forafour-yearservicelife,theNPVis

NPV-40,000「W+芹20,(MM25,000

1.101i.io21.104

12,000

87,211.26

1.104

TheEAA(PV--87,211.26,V-4,and/-10%)is-27,512.61.

Thethree-yearservicelifehasthelowestannualcost.Larocheshculdreplacethevanseverythree

years.8

2.TheoptimalsubsetofthesixprojectsthatSchoemanisconsideringconsistsof

Projects:

A.1and5.

B.2,3,and4.

C.2,4,5,and6.

9

nswer

Aiscorrect.Tohelptheselectionprocess,usetheprofitabilityindexforeachproject,whichshows

thetotalpresentvalueperdollarinvested.

ProjectOutlayPVofFutureCashFlowsNPVPIPIRank

13144131.4191

2152161.4002

31216.54.51.375(tie)3

4101331.3006

581131.375(tie)3

66821.3335

TrytoincorporatethehighPIprojectsintothebudgetusingtrialanderror.Thesetrialsincludethe

fbllowins:_______________________________________

SetofProjectsTotalOutlayTotalXPV

1and53916

2,3,and437135

2,3,and535135

2,4,5,and63914

Amongthesetsofprojectssuggested,theoptimalsetistheonewiththehighestNPV,providedits

totaloutlaydoesnotexceedC$40million.ThesetconsistingofProjects1and5producesthehighest

NPV.10

3.WhatistheNPV(C$millions)oftheoriginalprojectforSocietyServices

withoutconsideringtheexpansionoption?

A.-6.11.

B.-5.66.

C.2.33.

11

Answer

Biscorrect.

Ifdemandis“high,"theNPVis

104g

NPV=-1904-V-------=C$55.783million

占LI/

Ifdemandis"low,°theNPVis

I。20

NPV=-1904-Y^-----------C$G7.10ymillion

£1.1(/

TheexpectedNPVis0.50(55.783)+0.50(-67.109)--C$5.663million.

12

4.WhatistheNPV(C$millions)oftheoptimalsetofinvestmentdecisionsfor

SocietyServicesincludingtheexpansionoption?

A.6.34.

B.12.68.

C.31.03.

13

nswer

Biscorrect.Assumewcarcattime-1.TheNPVoftheexpansion(attime1)ifdemandis"high"is

?40

NPV=\W)IV——=(340.361million

TheNPVoftheexpansion(attime1)ifdemandisMlow>>is

9

NPV=TOO+歹=-CI74.820million

Theoptimaldecisionistoexpandifdemandis“high”andnotexpandif"low.”

Becausetheexpansionoptionisexercisedonlywhenitsvalueispositive,whichhappens50percent

ofthetime,theexpectedvalueoftheexpansionproject,attimezero,is

NPV=擊0.50(40.361)=C$18.346millkm

ThetotalNPVoftheinitialprojectandtheexpansionprojectis

NPV--C$5.663million+C$18.346million-C$12.683million

Theoptionalexpansionproject,handledoptimally,addssufficientvaluetomakethisapositiveNPV

project.

14

5.Shouldthecapitalbudgetingcommitteeaccepttheinternalauditor'sfirstand

secondsuggestions,respectively?

A.NoforSuggestions1and2.

B.NoforSuggestion1andYesforSuggestion2.

C.YesforSuggestion1andNoforSuggestion2.

15

Answer

Aiscorrect.Bothsuggestionsarebad.Invaluingprojects,expectedcash

flowsshouldbediscountedatrequiredratesofreturnthatreflecttheirrisk,

notatarisk-freeratethatignoresrisk.Eventhoughbothoptionscannotbe

simultaneouslyexercised,theycanbothaddvalue.Ifdemandishigh,you

canexercisethegrowthoption,andifdemandislow,youcanexercisethe

abandonmentoption.

16

6.Shouldthecapitalbudgetingcommitteeaccepttheinternalauditor'sthirdand

fourthsuggestions,respectively?

A.NoforSuggestions3and4.

B.YesforSuggestions3and4.

C.NoforSuggestion3andYesforSuggestion4.

17

Answer

Biscorrect.Bothsuggestionsaregood.ChoosingprojectswithhighIRRs

mightcausethecompanytoconcentrateonshort-termprojectsthatreduce

theNPVofthecompany.Whenevertheprojectriskdiffersfromthecompany

risk,aproject-specificrequiredrateofreturnshouldbeused.

18

Case2

ThefollowinginformationrelatestoQuestions7一9

McConachieCompanyisconsideringthepurchaseofanew400-tonstamping

press.Thepresscosts$360,000,andanadditional$40,000isneededtoinstallit.

Thepresswillbedepreciatedstraight-linetozerooverafive-yearlife.Thepress

willgeneratenoadditionalrevenues,butitwillreducecashoperatingexpenses

by$140,000annually.Thepresswillbesoldfor$120,000afterfiveyears.An

inventoryinvestmentof$60,000isrequiredduringthelifeoftheinvestment.

McConachieisinthe40percenttaxbracket.

19

7.WhatistheMcConachienetinvestmentoutlay?

A.$400,000.

B.$420,000.

C.$460,000.

20

Answer

Ciscorrect.Theinvestmentoutlayis

J

Outiay=FCInv+WCInv-S疝-T(Salo-Bo)

=(360,000+40:000)+60:000-0+0=$460,000

21

8.McConachie'sincrementalannualafter-taxoperatingcashflowisclosestto:

A.$116,000.

B.$124,000.

C.$140,000.

22

Answer

Aiscorrect.Depreciationwillbe$400,000/5=$80,000peryear.Theannualaftertaxoperatingcash

flowis

CF=(S-C-DX1-T)+D

=[0-(-140,000)-80,000)(1-0.40)+80,000=$116,000

23

9.Whatistheterminalyearafter-taxnon-operatingcashflowattheendofyear

five?

A.$108,000.

B.$132,000.

C.$180,000.

24

Answer

Biscorrect.Theterminalyearnon-operatmgcashflowis

TNOCF=Sal5+NWCInv-T(Sal5-B5)

=120,000+60,000-0.40(120,000-0)=$132,000

25

Case3

ThefollowinginformationrelatestoQiiestionslO—15

HennessyInc.,locatedinUnitedStates,isahigh-qualityproductsmanufactureranddistributor

withlonghistoryspecializinginaccessoriesandbags.TheindustrywhereWilliamsisoperating

entersintomaturitystagewithstableearnings.Williams'sboardofdirectorsiswonderinghow

toboostthestockprice.

MaxVerstappen,theCEOofHennessy,answerstotheboardthatbyacquiringanothercompany

using100%stockpaying,thecompanycanincreasetheearningpershareifthepricemultiple

doesnotdeclineafterthemerger.VerstappenaskesDanielRicardo,thechieffinanceofficerto

screenforpotentialtargetswhichareproperforthepurposeofincreasingEPS.

KateInc.andMichaelInc.aretwosmallercompetitorswithshorterhistorieswithinthesame

industry,whicharerecommendedbyRicardotoVerstappen.

Tofurtherexaminethepotentialeffectofacquisition,Ricardoputtheinformationrelatedto

KateandMichael,togetherwithHennessy's,asisindicatedinExhibit1.

26

Exhibit1:InformationRelatedtoHennessy,KateandMichael

HennessyKateMichael

Pre-mergerearningspershare(in$)3.208.503.10

Sharesoutstanding(inmillions)1503348

Pre-mergerpricepershare(in$)61.5066.2066

27

JohnstonHorneristhechairmanoftheboard.Hornersaysinadditiontotheprice

appreciationintheshortrunitisalsoimportanttogainrealbenefitfrombusiness

combinationinthelongrun.Hemakestnefollowingstatementsdescribingmergers

thatcanbenefitthecompany:

Statement1:Byacquiringacompetitor,wecangainmarketpowertorisetheselling

priceofourproducts.

Statement2:Reducingcostbycontrollingthekeydistributionchannelisalsoa

benefitofmerger.

Verstappensuggeststhat,NewWorld,afurproductsmakerwhoseproductsdirectly

competeswithHennessy^oneproductlineroryearsmightbeagoodchoiceforthe

merger.HethinksthatbyacquiringNewWorld,evenifthecompany'sprice

multipledecreases,Hennessysshareholderscanalsobenefitfromtheeconomicsof

scalegainedfrommoreeffectiveoperatingandhighersellingpriceinthelongrun.

28

Forthefiirproductsindustry,thecurrentHerfindahl-HirschmanIndex(HHI)is

1000.IfHennessytakeoverNewWorld,theHHIwillincreasesto1080.

Verstappenconcludesthat,theindustryismoderatelyconcentratedandthe

companyispossibletobechallengedbyanti-trustlawregardingthetakeoverof

NewWorld

VerstappenputstogethertheinformationofNewWorldandtheestimation

regardingthemergerinExhibit2andpresentsthemtotheboard.

29

Exhibit2:InformationRelatedtoMergerofNewWorld

30

Onameetingoftheboardofdirectors,AdrianNewey,oneoftheboardmembers,makesthe

conclusionthatthemergermightbenefitthemanagementwithoutcreatevaluefbrthe

shareholders.

Neweyisalsoconcernedwiththatthereishugeriskthatthesynergywillnotberealizedafter

themerger,whichwillbeassumedbythecompany'sshareholders.

WithregardtotheriskconcernedbyNeweyandthevaluecreatedfortheHennessy's

shareholders,Hornermakesthefollowingtwosuggestions:

Suggestion1:Ifwearenotsoconfidentwiththemerger,wecanincreasethecashpayingto$40

andreducethestockpayingcorrespondingly.

Suggestion2:Weshouldkeepthemergerplansecretetoavoidattractingattentionoftheother

companies,soastoreducethenumberofbidders.

31

10.AccordingtotheinformationinExhibit1,toachievethegoalofincreasing

EPS,Hennessywillmostlikelytoacquire:

AKateonly.

BMichaelonly.

CeitherKateorMichael

32

Answer

Aiscorrect.

高P,E的公司通過(guò)股份支付方式收購(gòu)低P/E的公司,可以增加每股收益(EPS)。

根據(jù)題目給出的數(shù)據(jù),

P/EofHennessy=61+3.2=19.06

P/EofKate=66.2+8.5=7.79

P/EofMichael=66+3.1=21.29

由此可知,只有Kate公司的PE小于Hennessy公司的P/E,因此以股份支付的

方式收購(gòu)Kate公司可以實(shí)現(xiàn)每股收益的增加。而股份支付收購(gòu)Michael公司不能

達(dá)到該目的,故只有A正確。

33

11.WhichofthefollowingisthetypeofmergerthatisdescribedbytheHorner

in:

Statement1Statement2

AVerticalmergerHorizontalmerger

BVerticalmergerVerticalmerger

CHorizontalmergerVerticalmerger

34

Answer

Ciscorrect.

Statement1所描述的是橫向并購(gòu),橫向并購(gòu)是指并購(gòu)與自身業(yè)務(wù)相近的對(duì)象,例

如,競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手。Statement2所描述的是縱向并購(gòu)中的前向整合,即整合產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的

下游,即分情商。綜上,只有C選項(xiàng)符合題意。

35

12.Verstappenismostlikelycorrectin:

Adescribingtheconcentrationoftheindustryonly.

Bforecastingthepossibilityofanti-trustactiononly.

CbothAandB.

36

Answer

Aiscorrect.

當(dāng)HHI指數(shù)達(dá)到1000,低于1800時(shí),該行業(yè)可判定為輕度集中行業(yè),高于1800

時(shí),判定為高集中度行業(yè),低于1000時(shí),判定為不集中的行業(yè)。根據(jù)題目描述,

該行業(yè)的HHI指數(shù)為1000,即屬于輕度集中行業(yè),對(duì)于這個(gè)結(jié)論,Verstappen的

描述是正確的。在輕度集中行業(yè)巾,如果并購(gòu)使得HHI指數(shù)上升100及以上,該

并購(gòu)可能會(huì)觸發(fā)反壟斷調(diào)查,因此Verstappen對(duì)這個(gè)結(jié)論的描述不正確,并購(gòu)使

得HHI上升80,不足以觸發(fā)反壟斷調(diào)查。因此A選項(xiàng)符合題意。

37

13.BymergingNewWorld,Hennessy'sshareholdersarelikelytogain:

A$1,360.72million.

B$364.28million.

C$1,725million.

38

Answer

Aiscorrect.

第一步,計(jì)算并購(gòu)對(duì)價(jià)。此題中,并購(gòu)對(duì)價(jià)包括現(xiàn)金部分和股份支付部分。而股

份支付部分又由并購(gòu)方并購(gòu)后的股份數(shù)量和并購(gòu)后價(jià)值決定,即如下所示:

Valueofstockoffering=0.5X[12,350+(150+0.5X50)]X50

=1764.29(million)

PricepaidtoNewWorld=30X50+1764.29=3264.28(million)

第二步,計(jì)算被并購(gòu)方股東獲益(溢價(jià)),即,

PremiumreceivedbyNewWorld=3264.28—58X50=364.28(million)

第三步,計(jì)算并購(gòu)產(chǎn)生的協(xié)同效應(yīng)的價(jià)值。即,

Synergiesfromthecombination=12,350—58X50—61.5X1504-30X50

=1,725(million)

第四步,根據(jù)協(xié)同效應(yīng)的價(jià)值和被并購(gòu)方獲得的溢價(jià)計(jì)算并購(gòu)方的獲益,即,

GianofHennessy=1,725—364.28=1360.72(million)39

14.Newey'sconclusionisleastlikelytobesupportedbythefactthat:

Athemanagement'scompensationishighlycorrelatedtothecompanysize.

Bthemanagementownstockoptionsofthecompany.

Cthepricemultiplewilldecreaseafterthemerger.

40

Answer

Ciscorrect

Newey的結(jié)論是,并購(gòu)有可能會(huì)使管理層獲益,而不是使股東獲益。管理層的收

入如果與公司規(guī)模掛鉤,會(huì)增加管理層實(shí)公司施并購(gòu)的動(dòng)機(jī),并購(gòu)可以增加公司

規(guī)模,給管理層帶來(lái)收入的增加,但不一定給股東帶來(lái)利益,因此A不符合題意。

如果管理層持有公司的股票期權(quán),管理層會(huì)傾向于進(jìn)行高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的投資,如果投資

成功了,管理層獲益,投資失敗了,管理層不會(huì)蒙受損失,但股東會(huì)蒙受損失,

因此B不符合題意。

C選項(xiàng)所描述的內(nèi)容與該董事提及的問(wèn)題無(wú)關(guān),因此C符合題意。注意,此題既

涉及公司治理的內(nèi)容,又涉及并購(gòu)的內(nèi)容。

41

15.WhichofthesuggestionmadebyHorneris/aremostreasonable?

ASuggestion1only.

BSuggestion2only.

CBothsuggestion1andsuggestion2.

42

Answer

Biscorrect

如果并購(gòu)方對(duì)并購(gòu)有信心(并購(gòu)后價(jià)值的實(shí)現(xiàn)),應(yīng)該更多的用現(xiàn)金支付,而材料

中說(shuō)的是對(duì)并購(gòu)沒(méi)有信心,那么應(yīng)該減少現(xiàn)金支付,因?yàn)楦嗟墓煞葜Ц犊梢詫?/p>

風(fēng)險(xiǎn)更多的轉(zhuǎn)移給被并購(gòu)方的股東,因此suggestion1不合理,A不正確。

一般情況下,并購(gòu)中出價(jià)方越多,并購(gòu)對(duì)于買(mǎi)方更為不利,suggestion2描述的內(nèi)

容合理,因此B正確。

綜上,C不正確。

43

Case4

ThefollowinginformationrelatestoQuestions16-21

ModernElectronicInc.isaleadingmanufacturerofhouseholdappliancewith

itsownstores.RainZhang,theCEOofModernElectronic,recognizestheus

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