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文檔簡(jiǎn)介
科目集訓(xùn)營(yíng)(2019.06)
公金
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2
Case1
ThefollowinginformationrelatestoQuestions1—6
ThecapitalbudgetingcommitteeforLarocheIndustriesismeeting.LarocheisaNorthAmerican
conglomeratethathasseveraldivisions.Oneofthesedivisions,LarocheLivery,operatesalarge
fleetofvans.Larochesmanagementisevaluatingwhetheritisoptimaltooperatenewvansfbr
two,three,orfouryearsbeforereplacingthem.Themanagershaveestimatedtheinvestment
outlay,annualafter-taxoperatingexpenses,andafter-taxsalvagecashflowsfbreachofthe
servicelives.Becauserevenuesandsomeoperatingcostsareunaffectedbythechoiceofservice
life,theywereignoredintheanalysis.LarocheLivery'sopportunitycostoffundsis10percent.
ThefollowingtablegivesthecashflowsinthousandsofCanadiandollars(C$).
SeniceLifeInvestmentYear1Year2Year3Year4Salvage
2years-40,000-12,000-15,00020,000
3years-40,000-12,000-15,000-20,00017,000
4years-40,000-12,000-15,000-20,000-25,00012,000
3
?SchoemanProducts,anotherdivisionofLaroche,hasevaluatedseveral
investmentprojectsandnowmustchoosethesubsetofthemthatfitswithin
itsC$40millioncapitalbudget.TheoutlaysandNPVsforthesixprojectsare
givenbelow.Schoemancannotbuyfractionalprojects,andmustbuyallor
noneofaproject.ThecurrencyamountsareinmillionsofCanadiandollars.
ProjectOutlayPVofFutureCashFlowsXPV
1314413
215216
31216.54.5
410133
58113
6682
4
Schoemanwantstodeterminewhichsubsetofthesixprojectsisoptimal.
AfilialproposalcomesfromdiedivisionSocietyServices,whichhasaniiivesLnieiiLoppurLuniLy
witharealoptiontoinvestfurtherifconditionswarrant.Thecrucialdetailsareasfollows:
Theoriginalproject:
,AnoutlayofC$190millionattimezero.
?CashflowsofC$40millionperyearforYears1-10ifdemandis"high.”
,CashflowsofC$20millionperyearforYears1-10ifdemandis"low."
Additionalcashflowswiththeoptionalexpansionproject:
?AnoutlayofC$190millionattimeone.
?CashflowsofC$40millionperyearforYears2-10ifdemandisuhigh.^^
?CashflowsofC$20millionperyearforYears2-10ifdemandis"low.”
Whetherdemandis“high"or“l(fā)ow”inYears1-10willberevealedduringthefirstyear.The
probabilityof“high”demandis0.50,andtheprobabilityof“l(fā)ow"demandis0.50.
Theoptiontomaketheexpansioninvestmentdependsonmakingtheinitialinvestment.Ifthe
initialinvestmentisnotmade,theoptiontoexpanddoesnotexist.
Therequiredrateofreturnis10percent.
5
SocietyServiceswantstoevaluateitsinvestmentalternatives.
TheinternalauditorforLarocheIndustrieshasmadeseveralsuggestionsforimproving
capitalbudgetingprocessesatthecompany.Theinternalauditor'ssuggestionsareas
follows:
Suggestion1*1nordertoputallcapitalbudgetingoroposalsonanequalfooting,the
projectsshouldallusetherisk-freeratefortherequiredrateofreturn."
Suggestion2'Becauseyoucannotexercisebothofthem,youshouldnotpermitagiven
projecttohavebothanabandonmentoptionandanexpansion/growth
option."
Suggestion3**Whcnrationingcapital,itisbettertochoosetheportfolioofinvestments
thatmaximizesthecompanyNPVthantheportfoliothatmaximizesthe
companyIRR."
"Projectbetasshouldbeusedforestablishingtherequired
Suggestion4rateofreturnwhenevertheproject'sbetaisdifferentfromthecompany's
beta.”
6
1.WhatistheoptimalservicelifeforLarocheLivery'sfleetofvans?
A.Twoyears.
B.Threeyears.
C.Fouryears.
7
nswer
Biscorrect.Thewaytosolvetheproblemistocalculatetheequivalentannualannuityaudchoosethe
servicelifewiththelowestannualcost.Foratwo-yearservicelife,theNPVis
-12,000-15,00020,000
NPV=40,000+——--+——十,=-4?,776.86
1.1011.1021.102
TheEAA(PV--46,776.86,V-2,and/-10%)is-26,952.38.
Forathree-yearservicelife,theNPVis
NPV-40,000+W+W」耳+號(hào)
1.101LIO31.10s1.10s
--65,559.73
TheEAA(PV-?5,559.73,V-3,and/-10%)is26,362.54.
Forafour-yearservicelife,theNPVis
NPV-40,000「W+芹20,(MM25,000
1.101i.io21.104
12,000
87,211.26
1.104
TheEAA(PV--87,211.26,V-4,and/-10%)is-27,512.61.
Thethree-yearservicelifehasthelowestannualcost.Larocheshculdreplacethevanseverythree
years.8
2.TheoptimalsubsetofthesixprojectsthatSchoemanisconsideringconsistsof
Projects:
A.1and5.
B.2,3,and4.
C.2,4,5,and6.
9
nswer
Aiscorrect.Tohelptheselectionprocess,usetheprofitabilityindexforeachproject,whichshows
thetotalpresentvalueperdollarinvested.
ProjectOutlayPVofFutureCashFlowsNPVPIPIRank
13144131.4191
2152161.4002
31216.54.51.375(tie)3
4101331.3006
581131.375(tie)3
66821.3335
TrytoincorporatethehighPIprojectsintothebudgetusingtrialanderror.Thesetrialsincludethe
fbllowins:_______________________________________
SetofProjectsTotalOutlayTotalXPV
1and53916
2,3,and437135
2,3,and535135
2,4,5,and63914
Amongthesetsofprojectssuggested,theoptimalsetistheonewiththehighestNPV,providedits
totaloutlaydoesnotexceedC$40million.ThesetconsistingofProjects1and5producesthehighest
NPV.10
3.WhatistheNPV(C$millions)oftheoriginalprojectforSocietyServices
withoutconsideringtheexpansionoption?
A.-6.11.
B.-5.66.
C.2.33.
11
Answer
Biscorrect.
Ifdemandis“high,"theNPVis
104g
NPV=-1904-V-------=C$55.783million
占LI/
Ifdemandis"low,°theNPVis
I。20
NPV=-1904-Y^-----------C$G7.10ymillion
£1.1(/
TheexpectedNPVis0.50(55.783)+0.50(-67.109)--C$5.663million.
12
4.WhatistheNPV(C$millions)oftheoptimalsetofinvestmentdecisionsfor
SocietyServicesincludingtheexpansionoption?
A.6.34.
B.12.68.
C.31.03.
13
nswer
Biscorrect.Assumewcarcattime-1.TheNPVoftheexpansion(attime1)ifdemandis"high"is
?40
NPV=\W)IV——=(340.361million
TheNPVoftheexpansion(attime1)ifdemandisMlow>>is
9
NPV=TOO+歹=-CI74.820million
Theoptimaldecisionistoexpandifdemandis“high”andnotexpandif"low.”
Becausetheexpansionoptionisexercisedonlywhenitsvalueispositive,whichhappens50percent
ofthetime,theexpectedvalueoftheexpansionproject,attimezero,is
NPV=擊0.50(40.361)=C$18.346millkm
ThetotalNPVoftheinitialprojectandtheexpansionprojectis
NPV--C$5.663million+C$18.346million-C$12.683million
Theoptionalexpansionproject,handledoptimally,addssufficientvaluetomakethisapositiveNPV
project.
14
5.Shouldthecapitalbudgetingcommitteeaccepttheinternalauditor'sfirstand
secondsuggestions,respectively?
A.NoforSuggestions1and2.
B.NoforSuggestion1andYesforSuggestion2.
C.YesforSuggestion1andNoforSuggestion2.
15
Answer
Aiscorrect.Bothsuggestionsarebad.Invaluingprojects,expectedcash
flowsshouldbediscountedatrequiredratesofreturnthatreflecttheirrisk,
notatarisk-freeratethatignoresrisk.Eventhoughbothoptionscannotbe
simultaneouslyexercised,theycanbothaddvalue.Ifdemandishigh,you
canexercisethegrowthoption,andifdemandislow,youcanexercisethe
abandonmentoption.
16
6.Shouldthecapitalbudgetingcommitteeaccepttheinternalauditor'sthirdand
fourthsuggestions,respectively?
A.NoforSuggestions3and4.
B.YesforSuggestions3and4.
C.NoforSuggestion3andYesforSuggestion4.
17
Answer
Biscorrect.Bothsuggestionsaregood.ChoosingprojectswithhighIRRs
mightcausethecompanytoconcentrateonshort-termprojectsthatreduce
theNPVofthecompany.Whenevertheprojectriskdiffersfromthecompany
risk,aproject-specificrequiredrateofreturnshouldbeused.
18
Case2
ThefollowinginformationrelatestoQuestions7一9
McConachieCompanyisconsideringthepurchaseofanew400-tonstamping
press.Thepresscosts$360,000,andanadditional$40,000isneededtoinstallit.
Thepresswillbedepreciatedstraight-linetozerooverafive-yearlife.Thepress
willgeneratenoadditionalrevenues,butitwillreducecashoperatingexpenses
by$140,000annually.Thepresswillbesoldfor$120,000afterfiveyears.An
inventoryinvestmentof$60,000isrequiredduringthelifeoftheinvestment.
McConachieisinthe40percenttaxbracket.
19
7.WhatistheMcConachienetinvestmentoutlay?
A.$400,000.
B.$420,000.
C.$460,000.
20
Answer
Ciscorrect.Theinvestmentoutlayis
J
Outiay=FCInv+WCInv-S疝-T(Salo-Bo)
=(360,000+40:000)+60:000-0+0=$460,000
21
8.McConachie'sincrementalannualafter-taxoperatingcashflowisclosestto:
A.$116,000.
B.$124,000.
C.$140,000.
22
Answer
Aiscorrect.Depreciationwillbe$400,000/5=$80,000peryear.Theannualaftertaxoperatingcash
flowis
CF=(S-C-DX1-T)+D
=[0-(-140,000)-80,000)(1-0.40)+80,000=$116,000
23
9.Whatistheterminalyearafter-taxnon-operatingcashflowattheendofyear
five?
A.$108,000.
B.$132,000.
C.$180,000.
24
Answer
Biscorrect.Theterminalyearnon-operatmgcashflowis
TNOCF=Sal5+NWCInv-T(Sal5-B5)
=120,000+60,000-0.40(120,000-0)=$132,000
25
Case3
ThefollowinginformationrelatestoQiiestionslO—15
HennessyInc.,locatedinUnitedStates,isahigh-qualityproductsmanufactureranddistributor
withlonghistoryspecializinginaccessoriesandbags.TheindustrywhereWilliamsisoperating
entersintomaturitystagewithstableearnings.Williams'sboardofdirectorsiswonderinghow
toboostthestockprice.
MaxVerstappen,theCEOofHennessy,answerstotheboardthatbyacquiringanothercompany
using100%stockpaying,thecompanycanincreasetheearningpershareifthepricemultiple
doesnotdeclineafterthemerger.VerstappenaskesDanielRicardo,thechieffinanceofficerto
screenforpotentialtargetswhichareproperforthepurposeofincreasingEPS.
KateInc.andMichaelInc.aretwosmallercompetitorswithshorterhistorieswithinthesame
industry,whicharerecommendedbyRicardotoVerstappen.
Tofurtherexaminethepotentialeffectofacquisition,Ricardoputtheinformationrelatedto
KateandMichael,togetherwithHennessy's,asisindicatedinExhibit1.
26
Exhibit1:InformationRelatedtoHennessy,KateandMichael
HennessyKateMichael
Pre-mergerearningspershare(in$)3.208.503.10
Sharesoutstanding(inmillions)1503348
Pre-mergerpricepershare(in$)61.5066.2066
27
JohnstonHorneristhechairmanoftheboard.Hornersaysinadditiontotheprice
appreciationintheshortrunitisalsoimportanttogainrealbenefitfrombusiness
combinationinthelongrun.Hemakestnefollowingstatementsdescribingmergers
thatcanbenefitthecompany:
Statement1:Byacquiringacompetitor,wecangainmarketpowertorisetheselling
priceofourproducts.
Statement2:Reducingcostbycontrollingthekeydistributionchannelisalsoa
benefitofmerger.
Verstappensuggeststhat,NewWorld,afurproductsmakerwhoseproductsdirectly
competeswithHennessy^oneproductlineroryearsmightbeagoodchoiceforthe
merger.HethinksthatbyacquiringNewWorld,evenifthecompany'sprice
multipledecreases,Hennessysshareholderscanalsobenefitfromtheeconomicsof
scalegainedfrommoreeffectiveoperatingandhighersellingpriceinthelongrun.
28
Forthefiirproductsindustry,thecurrentHerfindahl-HirschmanIndex(HHI)is
1000.IfHennessytakeoverNewWorld,theHHIwillincreasesto1080.
Verstappenconcludesthat,theindustryismoderatelyconcentratedandthe
companyispossibletobechallengedbyanti-trustlawregardingthetakeoverof
NewWorld
VerstappenputstogethertheinformationofNewWorldandtheestimation
regardingthemergerinExhibit2andpresentsthemtotheboard.
29
Exhibit2:InformationRelatedtoMergerofNewWorld
30
Onameetingoftheboardofdirectors,AdrianNewey,oneoftheboardmembers,makesthe
conclusionthatthemergermightbenefitthemanagementwithoutcreatevaluefbrthe
shareholders.
Neweyisalsoconcernedwiththatthereishugeriskthatthesynergywillnotberealizedafter
themerger,whichwillbeassumedbythecompany'sshareholders.
WithregardtotheriskconcernedbyNeweyandthevaluecreatedfortheHennessy's
shareholders,Hornermakesthefollowingtwosuggestions:
Suggestion1:Ifwearenotsoconfidentwiththemerger,wecanincreasethecashpayingto$40
andreducethestockpayingcorrespondingly.
Suggestion2:Weshouldkeepthemergerplansecretetoavoidattractingattentionoftheother
companies,soastoreducethenumberofbidders.
31
10.AccordingtotheinformationinExhibit1,toachievethegoalofincreasing
EPS,Hennessywillmostlikelytoacquire:
AKateonly.
BMichaelonly.
CeitherKateorMichael
32
Answer
Aiscorrect.
高P,E的公司通過(guò)股份支付方式收購(gòu)低P/E的公司,可以增加每股收益(EPS)。
根據(jù)題目給出的數(shù)據(jù),
P/EofHennessy=61+3.2=19.06
P/EofKate=66.2+8.5=7.79
P/EofMichael=66+3.1=21.29
由此可知,只有Kate公司的PE小于Hennessy公司的P/E,因此以股份支付的
方式收購(gòu)Kate公司可以實(shí)現(xiàn)每股收益的增加。而股份支付收購(gòu)Michael公司不能
達(dá)到該目的,故只有A正確。
33
11.WhichofthefollowingisthetypeofmergerthatisdescribedbytheHorner
in:
Statement1Statement2
AVerticalmergerHorizontalmerger
BVerticalmergerVerticalmerger
CHorizontalmergerVerticalmerger
34
Answer
Ciscorrect.
Statement1所描述的是橫向并購(gòu),橫向并購(gòu)是指并購(gòu)與自身業(yè)務(wù)相近的對(duì)象,例
如,競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手。Statement2所描述的是縱向并購(gòu)中的前向整合,即整合產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的
下游,即分情商。綜上,只有C選項(xiàng)符合題意。
35
12.Verstappenismostlikelycorrectin:
Adescribingtheconcentrationoftheindustryonly.
Bforecastingthepossibilityofanti-trustactiononly.
CbothAandB.
36
Answer
Aiscorrect.
當(dāng)HHI指數(shù)達(dá)到1000,低于1800時(shí),該行業(yè)可判定為輕度集中行業(yè),高于1800
時(shí),判定為高集中度行業(yè),低于1000時(shí),判定為不集中的行業(yè)。根據(jù)題目描述,
該行業(yè)的HHI指數(shù)為1000,即屬于輕度集中行業(yè),對(duì)于這個(gè)結(jié)論,Verstappen的
描述是正確的。在輕度集中行業(yè)巾,如果并購(gòu)使得HHI指數(shù)上升100及以上,該
并購(gòu)可能會(huì)觸發(fā)反壟斷調(diào)查,因此Verstappen對(duì)這個(gè)結(jié)論的描述不正確,并購(gòu)使
得HHI上升80,不足以觸發(fā)反壟斷調(diào)查。因此A選項(xiàng)符合題意。
37
13.BymergingNewWorld,Hennessy'sshareholdersarelikelytogain:
A$1,360.72million.
B$364.28million.
C$1,725million.
38
Answer
Aiscorrect.
第一步,計(jì)算并購(gòu)對(duì)價(jià)。此題中,并購(gòu)對(duì)價(jià)包括現(xiàn)金部分和股份支付部分。而股
份支付部分又由并購(gòu)方并購(gòu)后的股份數(shù)量和并購(gòu)后價(jià)值決定,即如下所示:
Valueofstockoffering=0.5X[12,350+(150+0.5X50)]X50
=1764.29(million)
PricepaidtoNewWorld=30X50+1764.29=3264.28(million)
第二步,計(jì)算被并購(gòu)方股東獲益(溢價(jià)),即,
PremiumreceivedbyNewWorld=3264.28—58X50=364.28(million)
第三步,計(jì)算并購(gòu)產(chǎn)生的協(xié)同效應(yīng)的價(jià)值。即,
Synergiesfromthecombination=12,350—58X50—61.5X1504-30X50
=1,725(million)
第四步,根據(jù)協(xié)同效應(yīng)的價(jià)值和被并購(gòu)方獲得的溢價(jià)計(jì)算并購(gòu)方的獲益,即,
GianofHennessy=1,725—364.28=1360.72(million)39
14.Newey'sconclusionisleastlikelytobesupportedbythefactthat:
Athemanagement'scompensationishighlycorrelatedtothecompanysize.
Bthemanagementownstockoptionsofthecompany.
Cthepricemultiplewilldecreaseafterthemerger.
40
Answer
Ciscorrect
Newey的結(jié)論是,并購(gòu)有可能會(huì)使管理層獲益,而不是使股東獲益。管理層的收
入如果與公司規(guī)模掛鉤,會(huì)增加管理層實(shí)公司施并購(gòu)的動(dòng)機(jī),并購(gòu)可以增加公司
規(guī)模,給管理層帶來(lái)收入的增加,但不一定給股東帶來(lái)利益,因此A不符合題意。
如果管理層持有公司的股票期權(quán),管理層會(huì)傾向于進(jìn)行高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的投資,如果投資
成功了,管理層獲益,投資失敗了,管理層不會(huì)蒙受損失,但股東會(huì)蒙受損失,
因此B不符合題意。
C選項(xiàng)所描述的內(nèi)容與該董事提及的問(wèn)題無(wú)關(guān),因此C符合題意。注意,此題既
涉及公司治理的內(nèi)容,又涉及并購(gòu)的內(nèi)容。
41
15.WhichofthesuggestionmadebyHorneris/aremostreasonable?
ASuggestion1only.
BSuggestion2only.
CBothsuggestion1andsuggestion2.
42
Answer
Biscorrect
如果并購(gòu)方對(duì)并購(gòu)有信心(并購(gòu)后價(jià)值的實(shí)現(xiàn)),應(yīng)該更多的用現(xiàn)金支付,而材料
中說(shuō)的是對(duì)并購(gòu)沒(méi)有信心,那么應(yīng)該減少現(xiàn)金支付,因?yàn)楦嗟墓煞葜Ц犊梢詫?/p>
風(fēng)險(xiǎn)更多的轉(zhuǎn)移給被并購(gòu)方的股東,因此suggestion1不合理,A不正確。
一般情況下,并購(gòu)中出價(jià)方越多,并購(gòu)對(duì)于買(mǎi)方更為不利,suggestion2描述的內(nèi)
容合理,因此B正確。
綜上,C不正確。
43
Case4
ThefollowinginformationrelatestoQuestions16-21
ModernElectronicInc.isaleadingmanufacturerofhouseholdappliancewith
itsownstores.RainZhang,theCEOofModernElectronic,recognizestheus
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