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文檔簡介
STRATEGY
AND
THE
INTERNET:TRENDS
AND
PREDICTIONSReal
Tech
ConferencePeter
StangerE-COMMERCE
IS
DEAD“E-Commerce
Is
Dead,
Long
Live
E-Commerce”-
The
Industry
Standard,
April
2000“Going,
Going,
Gone:
Business-to-Consumer
Sector
Goes
Bust”-
F,
April
2000“Can
you
build
a
brand
online
selling
third-party
goods?
The
answer
is
no,even
though
everyone
used
to
think
the
answer
was
yes”-
Bryan
Rutbert,
Warburg
Dillon
Read“The
living
dead
have
gotten
away
with
murder
because
the
public
marketshave
funded
riskier
ventures.
Look
at
A
-
if
could
be
the
biggestliving
dead
the
public
markets
have
ever
seen.”-
Warren
Packard,
Draper
Fisher
Jurvetson此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)整理;版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下載頻道;RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmTOM
SIEBELCEO,
Siebel
Systems“If
you
can’t
generate
profits,
significant
market
share
and
customersatisfaction,
you
re
out
of
business.”“On
the
B2B
exchange
side,
I
don’t
think
anyone
will
survive.
Theyare
all
gone.”此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)整理;版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下載頻道;RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmTHE
CAPITAL
MARKETS
HAD
IT
ALL
WRONGTravelocityB$123BExpediaDEWebvanPricelineeBay$11.4BAmazonAll
OtherAmazon此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)整理;eBay版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下載頻道;RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmIS
THE
REVOLUTION
OVER?July
28,
1794此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)整理;版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下載頻道;RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmTHE
BUMPY
RIDE
OF
ECONOMIC
REVOLUTIONS1860
-
18901895
-
1925此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)整理;版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下載頻道;RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmFUNDAMENTAL
FORCES
ARE
AT
WORKLower
processing
costs
...…
lower
storage
costs
...Index
120$/MBWorkers
per
bushel
of
manufactured
cottonEngland
1770-83AverageHD
sizein
PC
atretail10080Harddrivesize(GB)Price
of
the
Model
T
touring
car1908-20(GB)60Cost($/MB)40Price
of
CPU20
computing
power$/MIPS
1982-950177019101775178019151990192019951985…
with
increased
throughput
...…
and
powerful
network
economicsValue,
100105FibercapacitycostValue
increases
as
thesquare
of
connections806040200ProfitLossCost
increases
linearlywith
connections012345678910n此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)整理;103ValueCostConnections104n(n-1)vF+
nc6v12v20v30v42v56v72v90v版權(quán)102
原作者所有,特此免責(zé);02v0Time更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下載頻道;F+0F+
2cF+
3cF+
4cF+
5cF+
6cF+
7cF+
8cF+
9cF+
10cRealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmMANY
INDUSTRIES
EXPERIENCING
A
REDEFINITION
OFCOMPETITIVE
BOUNDARIESCOMPUTER
INDUSTRYLONG
DISTANCEIBM
,
DigitalAT&T,
MCI
and
SprintRetailMicroprocessors,integrated
circuits,memory
chipsMarketing,sales,
anddistributionWholesale
(Network)OperatingApplicationssoftware1985Computers???Sales/marketingAccount
managementBilling1990???Design/buildOperations/maintenanceResale/interconnectionsystemsCommon
standardsTime
based
competitionWholesale
service
creationRetailIBMDellRetail??Network
intelligenceValue
added
services???Sales/marketingAccount
managementBillingMicrosoft
OfficeSuperstoresOn-lineNetworkIntelPackard
BellCompaq1995???Design/buildOperations/maintenanceResale/interconnectionNetwork
management/dispatchWholesaleWordPerfectOthers1997RetailMotorolaAMDCyrixAppleRetail??Mail
orderNeXtNetwork
intelligenceValue
added
servicesPHARMACEUTICALSELECTRIC
UTILITIESManufac-turingSales
&marketing1980sResearchDevelopmentTrialsRegistration1990PrimaryfuelPowergenerationDistributionTradingBackward
integrationto
reduce
riskIncreased
development
costsRole
of
blockbusters
increasingQuality
outsourcers
availableEasier
coordinationSynergy
throughbundling
capabilitiesof
general
trading
and
New
services
for
theForward
integration
toopen
supply
channelsScale
through
focusingon
huge
power
plantsenergy
businesscustomerUnited
UtilitiesManufac-turingSales
&marketing1990sResearchDevelopmentTrialsRegistrationRWE
(Germany)(UK)PBMsNorskKraftmegling(Norway)1995RuhrkohleEVO
(Germany)Academic
labsContractJVs/此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于mfrs互聯(lián)網(wǎng)ensilnicg整理;版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);Oslo
Energi
(Norway)Electrobel(Belgium)ciohtfeirmsStatkraft(Norway)South-MobilBPernWaterStadt-werkeBNational
Power(UK)EnronEastern
Munch-Elect-
en
(Ger-ricityContract
research
organizationsShellmany)更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下載頻道;RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmIVO(Finland)(UK)MASSIVE
REDISTRIBUTION
OF
THE
MARGIN
POOL
IS
OCCURINGDigital
Photography
ExampleAnalog
value
chain
–
Kodak
and
Fuji
dominateProcessingStore/displaySharewithothersCameraFilmPaper,chemicalsEquipmentPhoto-finisherReprint/enlargeMajorplayers
?
Nikon(2000U.S.marketshare)?
Canon?
Kodak
(66%)?
Fuji?
Kodak
(Qualex)
(~40%)?
Fuji?
Photohuts?
Albummanufacturers?
Frame?
servic?
Olympus?
Minolta?
Kodak?
FujimanufacturersdisposablesDigital
value
chain
–
HP,
Sony
and
others
well-positionedManipulationProcessing
(at
home)Store/displayShare
withothersCamera?
Crop?
AlterpixelsReprint/enlargePrinterPaper,
inkMajor?
Sony
(35%)?
Adobe(Photoshop)ta
ar
itcamera
andavailable
freeonline?
HP
(70%)?
Lexmark?
HP?
Lexmark?
PC?
IBM
microdrive
?
Personal
Web?
Sony
site?
Compact
Flash
?
Zing?
Shutterfly?
postingplayers
?
HP
(19%)(200
ympusU.S.
?
Kodak
(12%)此文0獻(xiàn)由?
Ol漂石((1p3i%a)o?sShin.dordgw)于h互聯(lián)?E網(wǎng)整理;npso?
Epson?
Kodak版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);market?
Snapfish?
Ofoto?
Othersshare)更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下載頻道;RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmEXPLOSIVE
GROWTH
IN
ONLINE
RETAILING
CONTINUESNorth
AmericanBusiness-to-Consumer+46%20.665.1Revenues
($B)+66%17.844.5+132%15.226.711.5Online
channel
>10%
share
in
several
categories此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)整理;版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);Source:
TheStateofOnlineRetailing2.0,3.0and4.0,SsurveysconductedbyTheBostonConsultingGroup;SECfilings;MediaMetrix更多網(wǎng)a絡(luò)ndH營arri銷sInt資erac料tive見datap;iinaduostsryhaiss.ocoiartiogn下repo載rts;頻ana道lystreports;Note:
ExcludesfinancialbrokerageRealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmCATALOGUERS
ARE
WINNINGEBIT
Margin
in
%
of
Revenues19992000此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)整理;版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下載頻道;Source:
TheStateofOnlineRetailing2.0,3.0,4.0;SSurveysconductedbyTheBostonConsultingGroupRealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmADVANTAGE
INCUMBENTSOnlineRetailingDsCataloguersGE,
Big
3MarketplacesB2BCLECsILECs/IXCsTelecom此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)整理;版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下載頻道;RealTechConf-PS-June01-tor-lmRENAISSANCE
OF
THE
FUNDAMENTALSIPO
valueCash
flowGrowth
=
valueCustomer
acquisitionInternet
timeProfitable
growth
=
valueSegmentationCompetitive
advantage此文獻(xiàn)由漂石()于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)整理;版權(quán)原作者所有,特此免責(zé);更多網(wǎng)絡(luò)營銷資料見下
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