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4Cover:AboodiVesakaran,UnsplashContentsForeword341Introduction:Theclimate-inequalitynexus1.1Emissionsandinequality:Paralleltrends1.2Understandingthesocioeconomicimpactsofthegreentransition2Whatisanequitabletransition?4473AFrameworkforEvaluatingEconomicEquityoftheGreenTransition3.1Dimensionsoftheeconomicequity-greentransitionmatrix4Greentransition-economicequityintersections5Conclusion:CreatingapathtoanequitabletransitionAcknowledgements8913222324EndnotesDisclaimerThisdocumentispublishedbytheWorldEconomicForumasacontributiontoaproject,insightareaorinteraction.The?ndings,interpretationsandconclusionsexpressedhereinareasaresultofacollaborativeprocessfacilitatedandendorsedbytheWorldEconomicForumbutwhoseresultsdonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheWorldEconomicForum,northeentiretyofitsmembers,Partnersorotherstakeholders.?2024WorldEconomicForum.Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproducedortransmittedinanyformorbyanymeans,includingphotocopyingandrecording,orbyanyinformationstorageandretrievalsystem.AcceleratinganEquitableTransition:AFrameworkforEconomicEquity2ForewordSaadiaZahidiRichLesserManagingDirector,WorldEconomicForumGlobalChair,BostonConsultingGroupAchimSteinerAdministrator,UnitedNationsDevelopmentProgramme&Co-Chair,GlobalFutureCouncilonEconomicsofEquitableTransitionThegreentransition,drivenbyarisingurgencyofacceleratedclimateaction,isatransformativeeconomicshiftthatimpactstheproduction,distributionandconsumptionofgoodsandserviceswithfar-reachingandcompleximplicationsonequity,fairnessandjustice.Achievingnetzerowillencompassawiderangeofchanges:acleanenergysystem;thegreeningofagriculture,mobilityandheavyindustry;sustainablecitiesandinfrastructure;andthescaleupofcircularitymodels.Theperspectivesofferedinthispapertakeasteptowardsthisambition,offeringaframeworkforeconomicequitythatcategorizesthecostsandbene?tsofashifttoalow-carboneconomyforworkers,consumersandentrepreneurs.Byfocusingoneconomicequity,weaimtosurfacethedistributiveimpactsofclimatemitigationonpeopleandmobilizebusinessesandgovernmentstomaximizeopportunitiesandminimizerisks.Retoolingeconomicandbusinessstrategiestoplaceequityatthecentreofthegreentransitioncanhavefar-reachingimpactsinaworldofintegratedsupplychainsandincreasingpublic-privateinvestmentandcollaboration.Carefullymanagingtheeconomicsofanequitabletransition–puttingatthecentrethefairallocationofcostsandbene?tsandtheimpactonpeople–willultimatelydeterminethesuccessofthisunprecedentedtransformation.Thegreentransitionisalreadyimpactinglabourmarkets,shiftingrelativeandabsoluteprices,changingthelandscapeofbasicgoodsandservices,anddrawingnewdividesintheaccesstocapital,knowledgeandtechnology.ThisframeworkwillbeusedasastartingpointfortheWorldEconomicForum’s
EquitableTransitionInitiative,whichattemptstocreateaplatformtoconnectstakeholders,developinsightsandbuildconsensusonthenecessity,visionandorganizingprinciplesforanequitablegreentransition.Theinitiative’sambitionistoensurethattheshifttowardalow-carbonfutureplacespeople–togetherwiththeplanet–atthecentre.Whileeconomicequityisonlyoneaspectoffairness,itisdeeplyrelevanttothedailyexperiencesoflargepopulationsandanareaoffocuswhereaglobalcoalitionofgovernmentandbusinessleadersiswell-positionedtoaccelerateprogress.Theriskofthegreentransitionwideninginequalitiesisnotaperipheralconcern.Itissetagainstabackdropofwideninginequalitywithincountriesandstallingglobaleconomicconvergence,aswellasacost-of-livingcrisiscurrentlyfeltbymanypeoplearoundtheworld.Innoregionoftheworlddothebottom50%ofthepopulationownmorethan5%ofwealth,
norcontributeto1morethanaquarteroftheirregion’s
emissions.Yetclimatepoliciessuchascarbontaxesandef?cientequipmentmandatescanhaveadisproportionateimpactonlow-andmiddle-incomegroups,includinginadvancedeconomies.Thesocialandpoliticalsupportthatthetransitionrequirescannotbedevelopedandsustainedunlessfairnessisafoundationalprinciple.Climateactionthatexacerbatesinequalitiescangiverisetogeopoliticalandsocialfragmentation,whichmightimpactthecostandspeedofthegreentransition.We
aredeeplygratefultothepartnersandconstituentsoftheCentrefortheNewEconomyandSocietyfortheirleadershiponthesocioeconomicagenda,andparticularlytotheLaudesFoundationfortheircollaborationandsupporttothisinitiative,totheGlobalFutureCouncilontheFutureofEconomicsoftheEquitableTransitionforintellectualleadership,
andtotheBostonConsultingGroupteamfortheirdedicationtothistopic.AcceleratinganEquitableTransition:AFrameworkforEconomicEquity3Introduction:Theclimate-inequalitynexus1Theinterplaybetweenclimatevulnerability,incomeandwealthmanifestsbetweenandwithincountries,intensifyingexistinginequalitiesandriskingtheemergenceofnewdivides.Over780millionpeoplegloballyarecurrentlyexposedtothecombinedriskHowever,
thecostsandresponsibilitiesofthesocioeconomictransformationthatacarbon-neutralfuturerequiresfallunevenlytoo–andtherami?cationsareincreasinglyevidentinthepoliticalandsocialpolarizationsurroundingclimatediscourseandaction.Thiscreatesastrongriskthatexistinginequalitiesmaybeampli?ed,ifnotaddressedactively.ofpovertyandserious?ooding.
Withinlow-and2middle-incomecountries,theincomelossesfromclimatehazardsofthebottom40%areestimatedtobe70%largerthantheaverage.
Theserious3consequencesofclimatechangeanditsunevenimpactsheightentheimperativetolimitglobaltemperatureto1.5°C.1.1
Emissionsandinequality:ParalleltrendsOverthepastfourdecades,therichest1%ofindividualscapturedmorethantwicetheworld’sthan40yearsago,
andasimilartrendisre?ected6ininequalityofper-capitaemissions,showingtheurgencytorealizeanequitabletransitionasmuchwithincountries,asitisbetweencountries.Figure2showsthat64%ofglobalinequalityinper-capitaemissiontodayisduetowithin-countrygaps.Theinversewastruein1990,whenbetween-countrydividesaccountedfor62%ofglobalcarbonincomegrowthcomparedtothepoorest50%.
This4divergenceparallelsinequityincarbonemissions:Since1990,thetop1%ofemittershavebeenresponsiblefor23%ofglobalgrowthincarbonemissions,whilethebottom50%havebeenresponsibleforonly16%.
Thosebetweenthe75th5andthe95thpercentileoftheemissionsdistributionhaveseentheirper-capitaemissionlevelsdropoverthepast30yearsbyratesofupto15%.Thisgroupoverlapslargelywiththelow-incomeandmiddleclassesinrichcountries,whohaveseentheirincomesharesstagnateorevendecreaseinthepast30years(Figure1).inequality.7To
buildthesocialandpoliticalcapitalrequiredtoprogressonthegreentransition,afocusonfairnessinthedistributionofcostsandbene?tsarisingfromthetransitionisanecessity.
Ascountriesembarkonthegreentransitionatthespeedandscalerequired,itisonlyviableifinequalityiscurtailed,andmoreambitiously,reducedthroughit.Today,
within-countryincomeinequalitiesexplainasigni?cantlylargerpartofglobalincomeinequalities1.2
Understandingthesocioeconomicimpactsofthegreen
transitionThroughoutmodernhistory,nocountryhasgreentransitionentailsharnessingcleanerformsofenergyanddecouplingeconomicgrowthfromenergyconsumptionandemissions.However,giventhecomplexlinkagesbetweentheenergysystemandtheeconomy,thegreentransitionisnotcon?nedsolelytotheboundariesoftheenergysystem.Rather,
itencompassesthemeansofachievedeconomicgrowthwithoutincreasingitsenergyconsumption.Energyisthelifebloodofthemoderneconomy,anenablerofmodernlife,andhaspoweredtechnologicalprogressoverthepasttwocenturies.Astheenvironmentalconsequencesofthisenergy-fuelledgrowthbecomeapparent,theAcceleratinganEquitableTransition:AFrameworkforEconomicEquity4FIGURE1
Emissionsgrowthbypercentiles,1990-2019Thebottom50%isresponsiblefor16%ofemissionsgrowthThetop1%isresponsiblefor23%ofemissionsgrowth100%Riseintop1%emissionsfromallcountries50%Riseofemergingcountries0%Degrowthoflowerandmiddleclassemissionsinrichcountries-50%01020304050607080909999.999.991%lowestemittersGlobalemittergroup0.001%highestemittersSourceChancel,
2022.FIGURE2
GlobalEmissionsInequality:betweenvs.withincountry,
1990-2019706560551990:62%ofglobalcarboninequalityisduetobetween-countryinequality2019:64%ofglobalcarboninequalityisduetowithin-countryinequality50454035301990199520002005201020152019BetweencountryWithincountrySourceChancel,
2022.AcceleratinganEquitableTransition:AFrameworkforEconomicEquity5industrialproduction,modesoftransportation,urbanization,consumptionhabitsandtherethinkingofthefutureoflow-carbongrowth.nearterm,evenasrenewableenergyholdsthepromiseofcheaperlocalizedenergyinthelongterm.Theimpactshereinarefeltbyindividuals,businessesandpolicy-makersalike.Despitestrongprogressonuniversalaccesstoelectricity,recenttrendsindicatethatthecriticalmilestoneofuniversalaccessby2030,asendorsedbytheUNSustainableDevelopmentGoals(SDGs),willbemissed.10
ThisislargelyduetodisruptionsfollowingtheCOVID-19pandemicandsubsequentmacroeconomicvolatility.Between2019and2022,forexample,manyAfricanutilitiesborethecostofkeepingenergyaffordableforusers,contributingtohighdebtlevelsandconstrainingthe?nancialresourcesavailabletoexpandaccesstoenergy.11Theconstrained?scalspaceinmanylow-andmiddle-incomecountrieselevatestheemphasison?nancingwhile,inparallel,evidencesthebene?tstobederivedfromstrengtheninglocalcapacitythroughaneffectivediffusionoftechnologyandknow-how.Astheurgencyofanacceleratedgreentransitionrises,it’s
imperativetounderstandandaddresstheinherenteconomiccostsandbene?tsthatwillasymmetricallyimpactdifferentsegmentsofsociety.Considertheimpactonworkers.Over50%ofseniorexecutivesgloballybelievethattheclimateandgreentransitionswillbekeydriversofjobcreationinthenext?veyears.
Availableestimates8quantifythenet-positiveimpactofthegreeneconomyonthelabourmarkettobeapproximately25millionadditionaljobsglobally.Whilethatbreaksdownto103millionnewjobscreated,itmeans78millionworkerswilllosetheirjobsby2030.
The9impactongreenjobsunfoldsagainstabackdropofbroaderlabour-markettransformations,drivenbychangesintechnologyandavolatileeconomicoutlook.Thecombinedeffectsofthesedisruptionsleadtoanestimatedoneinfourjobsbeingaffectedglobally,boththroughgrowthanddecline,and44%ofworkers’coreskillsexpectedtochangeinthenext?veyears.Ifprinciplesofequityareembeddedintoglobaldecarbonizationplansandimplementation,globalleaderscancreateopportunitiesforworkers,consumersandentrepreneurs,andensureafairerdistributionofthecostslinkedtothegreentransition,ultimatelybuildingbroadersupportforclimateactionaroundtheworld.Inadditiontolabour-marketdislocations,pricevolatilitiesorcostoflivingimplicationsofthetransitioncanlimittheaccesstoenergyandaffordabilityofbasicgoodsandservicesintheImagecredit:MarkusSpiske,UnsplashAcceleratinganEquitableTransition:AFrameworkforEconomicEquity6Whatisanequitabletransition?2Equity,inclusivityandjusticeintheclimatetransitionhavealongpoliticalhistory,shapedsincethe1970sbytheeffortsoflabourunionstoachievejusticeforworkerswhilerespondingtoenvironmentalconcerns.12
Sincethen,therehasbeenabroaderemphasisondialogueandengagementwithkeystakeholdergroupsbeyondworkersanddecentjobs.Forexample,therehasbeenanincreasingfocusoncommunities(e.g.lossofland,culturalcapital),onhumanrights(e.g.useofchildlabourincobaltmining)andbroaderstakeholderengagement(e.g.representationandinclusivityindecision-making).–Leavenoonebehindanddrivesharedprosperity.
Theremustbeequitableoutcomesacrossallstakeholdergroupsinboththeaccesstoanddistributionofbene?tsandcosts,takingintoaccountthatcurrentsocioeconomicsystemsbene?tsomegroupsoverothers.Despitemultipleeffortstode?nea“just”and“equitable”transition,thereisnotyetaunifyingde?nitionofwhatthismeansorasharedunderstandingofhowtoachieveitinpractice.Thispapercontributestothisdiscussion,developingaframeworkfor“economicequity.”EconomicequityconsidersthefairnessinThefollowingprinciplesarecommonacrossambitionsforajustandequitabletransition:distributingthecostsandbene?tsofthemitigationactionsarisingfromtheshifttoalow-carboneconomy.Itisonedimensionamongotheraspectsoffairnessandcanbebrokendowninto?vekeyareas,including:employmentandjobtransitions,affordabilityofproductsandservices,accessibilityofproductsandservices,accessto?nancingandinvestments,andaccesstocapacity.Withinthesedimensions,thispaperwillhighlighttheimpactsofclimatemitigationactionsonpeople,inparticular,thefollowingkeystakeholdergroups:workers,entrepreneursandconsumers.–Alow-carboneconomythatthriveswithinplanetaryboundaries.Itisimperativetorecognizetheurgencyofaligningtotargetstoreducegreenhousegas(GHG)emissionstonetzeroby2050whileensuringthateconomiesinallpartsoftheworldcangrowandprosper.–Aninclusivepath.Allstakeholdergroupsmusthaveavoiceandrolethroughoutthetransitionprocess;theprocessisasimportantastheoutcome.Imagecredit:SpencerScottPugh,UnsplashAcceleratinganEquitableTransition:AFrameworkforEconomicEquity7A
Framework
for
EvaluatingEconomicEquityoftheGreen
Transition3To
putpeople,togetherwithplanet,atthedimensionscanbeconsideredinrelationtotheeconomicdimensionsofequity.centreofthetransitionrequiresacomprehensiveunderstandingofwherethemitigationactionsofthegreentransitionmightresultininequityonthelivesofpeople,whetherasworkers,entrepreneursorconsumers.To
revealwhereandhowinequalitiescanmanifestacrosslenses,thegreentransitionThefollowingsectionoutlinestheproposedgreentransitionandeconomicequitydimensions,highlightingthoseareaswiththebroadestapplicabilityacrossgeographies.FIGURE3
De?ningtheGreenTransition
DimensionsGreenTransition
DimensionsTransitioningawayfromfossilfuelsReductionsincoal,oil,gas(includingextraction,pipeline,re?neries,power)Scalinguplow-carbonenergysourcesIncreaseinsolar,
wind,hydropower,
greenhydrogen,nuclearpowerandassociatedimpactsonsupplychain(includinggreenmetalsandbatteries)GreeningtransportationandmobilityTransformingofshipping,aviation,othervehiclesincludingSAF,
EVsandchangesinthemixoftransportandmobilityservices(e.g.,increaseduseofpublictransportandsoftmobility)GreeningagricutureandfoodproductionIncreaseinsustainableandregenerativefarmingpractices,developmentoffoodtechnologiesandchangesinconsumerspreferencesGreeningheavyindustryIncreaseinsustainableproductionpracticesofhardtoabatesectors(e.g.,steel,cement,chemicals)GreeninginfrastructureandbuiltenvironmentIncreaseinsustainablebuildingspractices,includingretro?tting,newbuildingmaterialsandchangesinconsumers’behavioursMovingtoacirculareconomyIncreaseinadoptionofsustainableproductionpracticesaimingtoreduce,reuseandrecyclenecessarymaterialsNoteSAF
=Sustainable
Aviation
Fuel;
EV
=electric
vehicle;
circular
economy
refers
to
circularityprinciples
embedded
across
all
green
transition
dimension
categories,
e.g.
transportation,
steel,chemicals.AcceleratinganEquitableTransition:AFrameworkforEconomicEquity83.1
Dimensionsoftheeconomicequity-greentransitionmatrixThegreen-transitiondimensionsaresevenhigh-emittingandmajorsegmentsoftheeconomythatrequiretransformationtoachievecarbonneutrality.towardsustainablepracticesforbothnewbuildingconstructionandtheretro?ttingofexistingstructures.Theformerincludestheuseofenergy-ef?cientmaterials,greenarchitectureandtechnologieslikesolarpanels,heat-pumpsandgreenroofstoreduceenergyconsumptionandlessenenvironmentalimpact.Thelatter,meanwhile,involvesupgradessuchasimprovedinsulationandenergy-ef?cientwindows.–Transitioningawayfromfossilfuels.Re?ectsthereductioninfossil-fuelextractionactivities,includingtheminingofcoalanddrillingforoilandgas.Italsoencompassesthescalingdownofinfrastructuresuchaspipelines,whichtransportoilandgasoverlongdistances,andre?neries,wherecrudeoilisprocessedintousablefuels.Thescopefurtherextendstoincludetheshiftingimpactsinthepowersector,notablyareductioninthedependenceonfossilfuelsforelectricityproduction.Thisdimensionalsoencompasseschangingconsumptionpatterns,forexamplereducedrelianceonheatingandcoolingsystems.–Movingtoacirculareconomy.
Comprisestheincreasedadoptionofsustainableproductionpracticesaimingtoreduce,reuseandrecyclenecessarymaterials.Intextilemanufacturing,forexample,thiscanincludetheuseofeco-friendlymaterials,thereductionofwasteandashiftawayfromsingle-useandnon-recyclableitems(especiallyplastics).–Scalinguplow-carbonenergysources.Encompassestheincreaseduseofrenewableandlow-carbonenergysourcesincludingsolar,wind,hydropower,
greenhydrogenandnuclearpower.
Italsoincludestheassociatedimpactsonsupplychains,particularlyintheminingandproductionofrawmaterialssuchascobalt,copperandrareearthelementsusedinthemanufactureoflow-carbontechnologiesandbatteriesforrenewableenergystorage.Economicequityconsidersthefairnessindistributingthecostsandbene?tsofthemitigationactionsarisingfromtheshifttoalow-carboneconomy.Thisframeworkincludes?veeconomicequitydimensionsandconsiderstheimpactsonkeystakeholdergroupsincludingworkers,entrepreneursandconsumers.–Greeningtransportationandmobility.Capturesthetransformativeshiftacrossvariousmodesoftransport.Thisincludestheadoptionofcleanerfuelssuchasinshippingandaviation(forexample,SustainableAviationFuel[SAF]),thewidespreadadoptionofelectricvehicles,thebroadelectri?cationoftransportationsystems,thegreeningoftransportcompanies(suchaslogisticsanddeliverycompanies)andtheshifttomoresustainablemobilitymodels,forexample,supportingtheexpansionofpublictransport.–Employmentandjobtransition.Placesemphasisonworkersindecliningindustriesandvaluechainsthatneedtomovetonewsectors.Thisdimensionisbothconcernedwithsupportforjobtransitionsviasocialprotectionandreskilling,aswellasjobqualityingrowingoccupations.Evenincountrieswithadvancedsocial–GreeningofAgricultureandFoodprotectionandactivelabour-marketsystems,transitionfrombrowntogreenindustriesProduction.Considerstheshifttowardssustainableandregenerativefarmingpracticesthatprioritizefactorssuchassoilhealth,waterconservationandcroprotationtoensurelong-termsustainabilityoftheland.Thescopealsoincludesthedevelopmentandgrowingconsumptionofplant-basedmeatalternatives,organicofferingsandmoresustainablyproducedfoods,butalsothereductioninlivestockfarming.remainsdif?cult.UsingdatafromtheEULabourForceSurveys,ithasbeenestimatedthat,acrossthemostadvancedcountriesinEurope,onlyoneworkeroutoffourwhohadlostajobinabrownsectorfoundanewoccupationinagreenindustryoneyearlater.
Inaddition,while35%ofthemwerestillunemployedoneyearlater,
approximately20%movedintoinnon-greenindustries,15%wentintoretirementandonly5%wereintraining.13
Thishighlightstheneedforsocialprotectionandacceleratedinvestmentsinskillsdevelopmentforeffectivejobtransitions.Moreover,
relativetojobsinthefossil-fuelindustry,jobsintherenewableenergysectorcanoffershortercontractdurations,14inpartre?ectingthesector’s
needformoreworkersattheinfrastructure-heavyonsetandfewerformaintenance.Thewagedifferentialbetweensectorscanfurtherinhibittransfers,––GreeningofHeavyIndustry(Steel,Cement,Chemicals).Re?ectstheshifttowardsustainableproductionpracticeswithintraditionallyhard-to-abateindustriesthroughtheadoptionofinnovativetechnologiesandprocesses.Greeningofinfrastructureandbuiltenvironment.EncompassesthemovementAcceleratinganEquitableTransition:AFrameworkforEconomicEquity9FIGURE4
De?ningtheEconomicEquityDimensionsEconomicEquityDimensionsEmploymentandjobtransitionAbilitytonavigatejoblosswithadequatesocialprotection,supportforreskilling,andtohaveaccesstogoodworkinnewandexistingvaluechains.AffordabilityofgoodsandservicesAbilitytopurchaserelevantproductsandservices(e.g.,impactofshort-termpricehikes)andgreenalternatives.AccessibilityofgoodsandservicesAvailabilityandabilitytouserelevantproductsandservicesaswellasgreenalternatives.Abilitytoaccess?nanceandinvestmentstotransitionintoandoutofindustries/sectors.Accessto?nancingandinvestmentsAccesstocapacityAbilitytoaccessknowledge,technologyandotherresourcestocreateanduserelevantproductsandservices.againevidencingtheemphasisonjobqualityasakeyenablerforjobtransitions.Indevelopingeconomies,jobsinrenewableenergyareinsomecasesprimarilyintheinformaleconomy.15This,therefore,reiteratesthenecessityfornewgreenjobstounlockaleapforwardinequity,expandingtheglobalshareofworkerswithaccesstogoodworkwheresecurityandfairwagesareagiven.UnitedStates,27%ofhouseholdspendinginthepoorestincomequintilegoestofood,comparedwith7%amongtherichestincomequintile.Thiscanimpactconsumerchoices–inarecentstudyonconsumerbehaviour,52-65%citedpricingasakeybarriertosustainablepurchases,particularlyacrossgroceries,electricityandcars.17–Accessibilityofgoodsandservices.Linkedtoandreinforcedbyaffordability,relatestotheavailabilityofrelevantgoodsandservicesacrossvariousgeographiesandcommunities,andthereachofcomplementaryservicesandinfrastructurenecessarytooperatethem.–Affordabilityofgoodsandservices.Recognizesthattheeconomictransformationrequiredforthegreentransitioncanimposelong-termshiftsincosts,near-termpricehikesandmarketvolatility.Affordabilityis,?rstly,aprioritywithrespecttobasicgoodsandservicesimpactedbythewidermacroeconomiccontextandthenextendstoincludeproductsmoredirectlylinkedwithgreening(e.g.retro?tsinresidentialhomes).Thisdimensionthereforealsoconsidersthepolicyinstrumentsthatcanimpactaffordability(e.g.carbontaxes,directcashtransfers).Whileworldwideaccesstoelectricityhassteadilyincreasedoverthepastdecades,from75%oftheglobalpopulationin1999to91%in2021,approximatelyhalfofthepopulationinSub-SaharanAfricaremainedunconnectedtotheelectricitygridinthesameyear.18
IntheEuropeanUnion,only40%ofthepopulationisconnectedtothegasgrid.19Currentenergyconsumptiontrendsmirrortheexistingeconomicinequalities,withthetop10%ofglobalenergyconsumersusing30timesmoreenergythanthebottom10%.20Lackofinfrastructureisnottheonlyconstrainttoaccesstogoodsandservices.Onlyhalfoftheurbanpopulationaroundtheworldhasaccesstosomeformofpublictransportservices,andabout11%hasconvenientaccessIncreasesinthecostofgoods(e.g.asaresultofcarbontaxes),includingsustainablealternatives,cansigni?cantlyimpactpoorercountriesandhouseholds.Forexample,foodexpenditurecantake,onaverage,upto44%oftheconsumptionbasketinlow-incomecountriescomparedto28%inemergingmarketeconomiesand16%inadvancedeconomies.16Thedisparityholdswithincountries:intheAcceleratinganEquitableTransition:AFrameworkforEconomicEquity
10tohigh-capacitytransportsystems.21
Thesedividesoftencompoundeachotherandleadtoincreasedcostsandexclusionascountriesmovetheirenergyandtransportsystemstowardslow-carbonmodels.–Accesstocapacity:Includesaccesstoknowledge,technologyandnaturalresources,andconsiderseachofthesecomponentsincombination(e.g.thenexusofknowledgeandtechnologyasexpressedthroughcapacityforinnovationandintellectualpropertydevelopment).–Accessto?nancingandinvestments.Recognizesthesizeableincreasein?nancialcapitalrequiredtofacilitatethegreentransitionandfocusesonitsdistribution,withinandbetweencountries.Thisdimensionisalsoconcernedwiththepolicyinstrumentsthataffect?nancing,includingtheuseoftaxesandsubsidies.Fivecountries–Japan,UnitedStates,RepublicofKorea,GermanyandChina–accountedfor85%ofallgreenpatentsheldbyindustrial?rmsin2022.24
Innovationinthisregardopensmarketsandopportunitiesbut,intheabsenceofopposingpolicymeasures,favourstheproprietors.Theeffectsofinequityincapacityareevidentinpriortransitions
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