愛爾蘭銀行行業(yè)市場前景及投資研究報告-外文版培訓課件2024.7temu

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MARKETSBankingindustryinIrelandCHAPTER

01OverviewNumberofbanksinIrelandfrom2008to2023NumberofbanksinIreland2008-2023600500400300200100020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220233Description:ThenumberofbanksinIrelanddecreasedsteadilyfromDecember2008toDecember2023.AsofDecember2023,therewere268monetaryfinancialcreditinstitutionsinIreland,aslightdecreasecomparedtothepreviousyear.

ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2008to2023Source(s):ECBTotalassetsofthebankingsectorinIrelandfrom2008to2023(inbillioneuros)TotalassetsofthebankingindustryinIreland2008-20231,8001,6001,4001,2001,000800600400200020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220234Description:ThevalueofassetsinallbankinginstitutionsinIrelandfluctuatedconsiderablybetween2008and2023,withaslightlyincreasingtrendinrecentyears.Startingfromavalueofroughly1.6trillioneurosin2008,thetotalassetsofIrishbankingcorporationsdroppedtoavalueof482billioneurosin2017,thelowestvalueintheobservedperiod.Afterthat,bankingassetsstartedagradualincrease.In2023,bankingassetsinIrelandamountedtoroughly716billioneuros.

ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2008to2023Source(s):FinancialStabilityBoardTotalassetsofthebankingindustryinIrelandfrom4thquarter2014to4thquarter2023(inbillioneuros)QuarterlyvalueofassetsofthebankingindustryinIreland2014-20238007507006506005505004504003505Description:ThetotalassetsofthebankingindustryinIrelandwitnessedfluctuationsfromthefourthquarterof2014tothefourthquarterof2023.Startingat502.81billioneurosinthefourthquarterof2014,thefiguresexperiencedperiodicincreasesanddeclines,reachingapeakof770.44billioneurosinthethirdquarterof2022.Bythefourthquarterof2023,itamountedto716.09billioneuros.Thesevariationsreflectedthedynamiceconomiclandscape,withtheindustrynavigatingthrough[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;Q42014toQ42023Source(s):ECBTotalassetsofthebankingsectoraspercentageofgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)inIrelandfrom2008to2023BankingsectortotalassetsaspercentageofGDPinIreland2008-2023350%300%250%200%150%100%50%0%20082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220236Description:Thetotalconsolidatedassetsofdomesticbankinggroupsasapercentageofnominalgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)inIrelanddecreasedoverallbetween2008and2023.Itpeakedin2009,whenitwasaround305.2percent.Thesharedroppedto58.92percentattheendof2023.ReadmoreNote(s):Europe,Ireland;2008to2023Source(s):ECBCompositionofbankingsectorassetsinIrelandasofDecember2023,byassettypeAssetcompositionofthebankingindustryinIreland20230.5%0.45%0.4%47.6%0.35%0.3%27.3%0.25%0.2%0.15%0.1%12%8.1%4.8%0.05%0%0.2%LoansandadvancesCashbalancesDebtsecuritiesDerivativesOtherassetsEquityinstruments7Description:InDecember2023,thelargemajorityofbankingsectorassetsinIrelandweremadeupofloansandadvancestoindividualsandbusinesses,atashareof47.6percent.Cashbalanceshadthesecond-highestshareofbankingsectorassetsacrossIrishbanks,with27.3percent,followedbydebtsecurities,with14percent.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;December2023Source(s):EBAShareoftotalassetsofthefivelargestcreditinstitutionsinIrelandfrom2007to2023MarketconcentrationratioofbanksinIreland2007-20230.8%0.7%0.6%0.5%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%0%200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220238Description:TheshareoftotalassetsofthefivelargestcreditinstitutionsinIrelandincreasedoverallbetween2007and2023,despitesomefluctuation.Theconcentrationratio,ameasureofthepercentagemarketshareinanindustryheldbythelargestfirmswithinthatindustry,wasjustover69percentin2023.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2007to2023Source(s):ECBCHAPTER

02BankingsystemefficiencyandstabilityTotaloperatingincomeofthebankingindustryinIrelandfrom2014to2023(inbillioneuros)TotaloperatingincomeofthebankingindustryinIreland2014-202325201519.714.613.2512.2611.6311.5311.3911.0910.449.71050201420152016201720182019202020212022202310Description:ThetotaloperatingincomeoftheIrishbankingsectorfluctuatedduringtheperiodunderobservation,reachingitspeakin2023withavalueofapproximately19.7billioneuros.Thelowestvalueofoperatingincomewasreportedin2014,at9.7billioneuros.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2014to2023Source(s):ECBNetinterestincomeofthebankingindustryinIrelandfrom2008to2023(inbillioneuros)NetinterestincomeofthebankingindustryinIreland2008-20231614121086420200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202311/statistics/1475311/ireland-net-interest-income-of-banking-industryBetween2008and2023,thebankingindustryinIrelandexperiencedfluctuationsinnetinterestincome.In2013,netinterestincomereacheditslowestpointat5.35billioneuros.Thehighestnetinterestincomewasobservedin2008,at14.54billioneuros.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2008to2023Source(s):ECBCost-to-incomeratioofthebankingindustryinIrelandfrom4thquarter2014to4thquarter2023Quarterlycost-to-incomeratioofbankingindustryinIreland2014-202380%75%70%65%60%55%50%45%12Description:Thecost-to-incomeratioofthebankingindustryinIrelandfluctuatedsignificantlybetween2014and2023.Inthefourthquarterof2023,thecost-to-incomeratiowas51.12percent,whichwaslowerthanthevaluesobservedin2021and2022.Thisindicatesthatthecostofrunningoperationsbecamelower,thereforetheprofitabilityofIreland'sbankingindustryimprovedinthelastcoupleofyears.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;Q42014toQ42023Source(s):ECBReturnonequity(ROE)ofthebankingindustryinIrelandfrom4thquarter2014to1stquarter2024QuarterlyROEofthebankingindustryinIreland2014-202315%10%5%0%-5%-10%13Description:Between2014and2023,thereturnonequity(ROE)ofthebankingindustryinIrelandfluctuatedsignificantly.AnotabledropintheROEoccurredinthesecondquarterof2020duetopooreconomicconditionscausedbytheCOVID-19pandemic.Afterthissharpdecline,theROEgrewnotably.Inthelastquarterof2023,theROEofthebankingindustryinIrelandstoodat11.7percent.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;Q42014toQ12024Source(s):EBAValueofCommonEquityTier1(CET1)capitalinthebankingindustryinIrelandfrom4thquarter2014to4thquarter2023(inbillioneuros)QuarterlyvalueofCET1capitalofbankingindustryinIreland2014-202370605040302010014Description:TheamountofCommonEquityTier1(CET1)capitalinthebankingindustryinIrelandincreasedoverallbetween2014and2023,albeitwithslightfluctuations.TheindustrysawthehighestvalueofCET1capitalinthethirdquarterof2023,atapproximately65.74billioneuros.Eventhoughitdecreasedslightlytoaround64.5billioneurosbythefourthquarterof2023,theoverallupwardtrajectoryindicatesagradualincreaseofthesector'scapitalbase.

ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;Q42014toQ42023Source(s):ECBCommonEquityTier1(CET1)ratioofthebankingindustryinIrelandfrom4thquarter2014to4thquarter2023QuarterlyCET1ratioofbankingindustryinIreland2014-202324.0%23.5%23.0%22.5%22.0%21.5%21.0%20.5%20.0%19.5%19.0%15Description:TheCommonEquityTier1(CET1)ratioofthebankingindustryinIrelandincreasedoverallbetween2014and2023,despitesomefluctuations.Inthefourthquarterof2023,itstoodat20.76percent,whichwasaslightdecreasecomparedtothepreviousquarter.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;Q42014toQ42023Source(s):ECBValueofTier1capitalofthebankingindustryinIrelandfrom4thquarter2014to4thquarter2023(inbillioneuros)QuarterlyvalueofTier1capitalofbankingindustryinIreland2014-20238070605040302010016Description:TheamountofTier1capitalinthebankingindustryinIrelandincreasedoverallbetween2016and2023,despitesomefluctuations.Asofthefourthquarterof2023,itamountedtoalmost68billioneuros,aslightdecreasecomparedtothepreviousquarter,whereitpeakedat69billioneuros.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;Q42014toQ42023Source(s):ECBTier1ratioofthebankingindustryinIrelandfrom1stquarter2015to4thquarter2023QuarterlyTier1ratioofbankingindustryinIreland2015-202324.5%24.0%23.5%23.0%22.5%22.0%21.5%21.0%20.5%20.0%17Description:TheTier1ratioofthebankingindustryinIrelandremainedstableoverallbetween2015and2023,despitesomefluctuations.Afterreachingitslowestpointinthefirstquarterof2016at20.67percent,theratiograduallyrecoveredandpeakedat23.91percentinthethirdquarterof2018.Asofthefourthquarterof2023,itwas21.81percent,slightlylessthaninthepreviousquarter.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;Q12015toQ42023Source(s):ECBCHAPTER

03RetailbankingMethodsofprocessingbankingaffairsinIrelandin1stquarter2024ProcessesinbankingaffairsinIreland2024Shareofrespondents0%10%20%30%40%50%48%60%70%80%Mobile(smartphone/tablet)Online(PC/laptop)InpersoninabranchTelephonebankingOther74%41%15%1%1%Don'tknow19Description:MobilebankingwastheprimarymethodtoprocessbankingmattersamongbankaccountholdersinIrelandinthefirstquarterof2024.AccordingtoStatista'sConsumerInsights,theshareofbankaccountholderswhoprocessedbankingmattersonsmartphoneortabletwas74percent.OnlinebankingviaPCorlaptoprankedsecondwith48percent.Branchbankingwasalsorelativelyhigh,withover40percentoftherespondentsusingin-personbankingtodealwithbankingmatters.

ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;January19toMarch20,2024;1,006respondents;18-64years;bankaccountholdersSource(s):ConsumerInsightsCustomerattitudetowardpersonalfinancesinIrelandinthe1stquarterof2024CustomerattitudetowardpersonalfinancesinIreland2024Shareofrespondents0%

5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%42%40%38%I'mworriedaboutmyfinancialfutureIhavedonatedmoneytocharitablecausesinthepast12monthsI'mwellinformedaboutmypersonalfinancialsituationIcouldimaginedealingwithmyfinancialtransactionsexclusivelyonline29%Icouldimaginedealingwithmyfinancialtransactionsexclusivelyviamysmartphone25%IcouldsavealotofmoneyifItookadvicefromafinanceexpertIftheserviceisgood,I'mhappytopayforaccountadministrationandtransactionsOnlinefinancialserviceshavemademeconfidentabouthandlingmyownfinancesNewfinancialtopics,suchascryptoandNFTs,fascinateme21%21%18%14%20Description:Some40percentofallbankaccountholdersindicatedthattheywereworriedabouttheirfinancialfutureinIrelandinthefirstquarterof2024,accordingto?Statista'sConsumerInsights.Despitethehighleveloffinancialuncertainty,40percentoftherespondentsmentionedthattheydonatedmoneytocharitablecausesinthelast12months.Intermsofattitudetowardonlineandmobilefinance,29percentoftherespondentscouldimaginedealingwithfinancialtransactionsexclusivelyonline,[...]ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;January19toMarch20,2024;1,042respondents;18-64years;bankaccountholdersSource(s):ConsumerInsightsAveragemortgageinterestrateinIrelandfrom1stquarter2017to4thquarter2023AveragemortgageinterestrateinIreland2017-2023,perquarter0.045%0.04%0.035%0.03%0.025%0.02%0.015%0.01%0.005%0%Q1

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202321Description:ThemortgageinterestrateinIrelandincreasednotablyin2023.From2.77percentinthefourthquarterof2022,theratereached4.19percentinthesamequarterof2023.Thiswaspartofanoveralltrendof?increasingmortgageinterestratesinEurope.Factorsthatinfluencemortgageinterestratesincludeinflation,economicgrowth,monetarypolicies,thebondmarket,thestabilityoflenders,andtheoverallconditionsofthehousingmarket.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;Q12017toQ42023Source(s):EuropeanMortgageFederationTotaloutstandingresidentialmortgagelendinginIrelandfrom3rdquarter2016to4thquarter2023(inbillioneuro)OutstandingresidentialmortgagelendinginIreland2016-2023,perquarter11010510095908580Q3

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202322Description:ThetotalamountofoutstandingresidentialmortgagelendinginIrelandgraduallydecreasedfrom2016to2023.From108.1billioneurosinthethirdquarterof2016,themortgagelendingvaluedeclinedtoabout84.17billioneurosinthefourthquarterof2023.?ComparedtootherEuropeancountries,Irelandhasarelativelysmallmortgagemarket.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;Q32016toQ42023Source(s):EuropeanMortgageFederationGrossresidentialmortgagelendinginIrelandfrom3rdquarter2016to4thquarter2023(inbillioneuros)GrossresidentialmortgagelendinginIreland2016-2023,perquarter5.04.54.03.53.02.52.01.51.00.50.0Q3

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202323Description:ThevalueofgrossresidentialmortgagelendinginIrelandgenerallyincreasedbetween2016and2023,despitefluctuations.Themostlendingwasrecordedinthefourthquarterof2022,at4.35billioneuros.ThevalueofmortgagelendinginEuropevariessignificantlyacrossdifferentcountries,withtheUnitedKingdomandGermanybeingthelargestmarkets.MoreinformationontheMortgagemarketinWesternEuropeancountriescanbefound?here.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;Q32016toQ42023Source(s):EuropeanMortgageFederationCombinedvalueofcreditanddebitcardtransactionsinIrelandfrom2000to2022(inmillioneuros,andestimatesinU.S.dollars)AnnualpaymentcardtransactionsinIreland2000-2022,inlocalcurrencyandUSDPaymentcardtransactionsinmillioneurosPaymentcardtransactionsinmillionU.S.dollars140,000120,000100,00080,00060,00040,00020,00002000

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202224Description:ThevalueofoverallcardpaymentsinIrelandgrewby42billioneurosbetween2021and2022,thelargestincreaseseensince2000.Beforethat,thetotalvalueoftransactionsincreasedsteadilywithsmallfluctuation.In2022,approximately115billioneurosworthofcardpaymentswerecarriedoutinIreland.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2000to2022;Allfiguresareprovisional;ThesourcesignificantlychangeditsdatabaseinNovember2023.Thismaymeanmethodologychanges,ornotallEU-27countriesreportingthesamefigures;USDfigureshavebeencalculatedbythe"Details"tabformoreinformation.Source(s):BankforInternationalSettlements;CentralBankofIreland;ECBseeTotalnumberofcreditcardtransactionsprocessedforpaymentsinIrelandfrom2000to2022AnnualnumberofcreditcardtransactionsinIreland2000-2022,percapitaCreditcardtransactions(inmillions)Creditcardpaymentspercapita200180160140120100805045403530252015105604020002000

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202225Description:ThenumberofcreditcardtransactionsintheRepublicofIrelandgrewtonearly44percapita,whichequaledseveralmillionsoftransactions.Upto2022,thetrendofdecliningcreditcardpaymentswassimilartowhatwasseenelsewhereinEurope.IntheUnitedKingdom,forexample,?UKconsumersstartedtopayoffcreditcarddebtduringlockdown.Notethatcardfiguresarenotaseasilymeasuredinallcountries.Seethe"Details"tabformoreinformation.

ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2000to2022;15yearsandolder;Cardsissuedbyresidentpaymentserviceproviders(PSPs),usedbythepayerSource(s):BankforInternationalSettlements;CentralBankofIreland;ECB;WorldBankMarketshareofcash,creditcards,andotherpaymentmethodsatpointofsale(POS)inIrelandfrom2017to2023,withaforecastfor2027Mostusedin-store(POS)paymentmethodsinIreland2017-2023,with2027forecast201949%38%11%2%-202052%24%13%2%202148%20%20%6%202249%19%21%7%202351%18%14%14%1%202743%13%12%29%1%DebitcardCashCreditcard(incl."chargecard"since2021)*E-wallet,Digital/mobilewalletPrepaidcard2%2%2%POSfinancing*-3%-1%1%1%Retailer/bankfinancing(splitofffrom"POSfinancing"in2021)*--5%---BuyNow,PayLater(splitofffrom"POSfinancing"in2021)*---0%-------Chargecard*2%26Description:DebitcarduseinIrishstoresstayedrelativelythesameduringtheCOVID-19pandemic,whilsttheshareofcashdeclinedfast.Indeed,whencombiningthemarketsharesofbothdebitcardsandcreditcards,ardsaccountedforovertwo-thirdsofmoneyspentinPOS.Theuseofcreditcards,especially,changedsignificantlysince2020.VisawasthelargestcardissuerinIrelandandtheUK,withmarketsharesofover80percentinbothcountries.Thisisdifferentfromothercountries,asthe[...]

ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;March2024;*Thesourcechangeditscategoriesin2021,seethe"Details"tabformoreinformation.Source(s):GlobalData;IMF;McKinsey&Company;WorldBank;WorldpayBanknon-performingloans(NPL)tototalgrossloansratioinIrelandfrom2006to2021Non-performingloansratioinIreland2006-202125%20%15%10%5%0%200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202127Description:Theratioofnon-performingloans(NLP)tototalgrossloansinIrelanddecreasedby0.9percentagepoints(-26.79percent)sincethepreviousyear.Nevertheless,thelasttwoyearsrecordedasignificanthigherratiothantheprecedingyears.

ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2006to2021Source(s):WorldBankCHAPTER

04OnlineandmobilebankingOnlinebankingpenetrationrateinIrelandfrom2012to2023PenetrationrateofonlinebankinginIreland2012-20230.9%83.77%82.87%76.87%0.8%0.7%0.6%0.5%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%0%68.99%67.39%57.64%57.67%52.34%51.47%48.11%45.58%42.73%20122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202329Description:OnlinebankingpenetrationinIrelandalmostdoubledinthelastdecade.In2023,thepenetrationratewasalmost84percent,upfrom45.6percentin2013.InEurope,onlinebankingpenetrationisrelativelyhigh,withScandinaviancountriessuchasNorwayandDenmarkhavingthehighestpenetrationrate.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2012to2023Source(s):EurostatValueoffintechrevenueinIrelandinfrom2017to2023,withforecastsfrom2024to2028(inmillioneuros)FintechrevenueinIreland2017-2023,withforecaststo2028700600500400300589.44571.58549.31519.21460.91364.77247.48193.052022200100050.97202011.3720196.652.7620172018202120232024202520262027202830Description:FintechrevenueinIrelandincreasedsharplybetween2017and2023,despiteanotabledropin2022.Asof2023,therevenueofthefintechsectorinIrelandwasestimatedat364.77millioneuros.Accordingtotherevenueofthesectorisforecasttoincreasefurtherinthefollowingyears,reaching589millioneurosin2028.ReadmoreNote(s):2017to2023Source(s):NumberofneobankingusersinIrelandfrom2017to2023,withforecastsfrom2024to2028(inmillions)NumberofneobankingusersinIreland2017-2023,withforecaststo20283.02.52.02.792.72.572.42.211.791.51.331.091.00.730.460.50.00.270.1620172018201920202021202220232024202520262027202831Description:ThenumberofneobankingusersinIrelandincreasedsteadilybetween2017and2023,exceeding1.7millionin2023.AccordingtoStatista'sDigitalMarketInsights,theuserbaseofneobankingisforecasttoincreaseevenfurtherinthefollowingyears.By2028,thenumberofneobankingusersinIrelandisestimatedtoreach2.8million.ReadmoreNote(s):2017to2023Source(s):ValueofcustomerdepositsatdigitalbanksinIrelandfrom2017to2023,withforecastsfrom2024to2029ValueofdepositsatdigitalbanksinIreland2017-2029140120100131.36127.76122.44117.43112.04103.66100.0881.9980604020071.341.27202022.62201913.5720187.39201720212022202320242025202620272028202932Description:Between2017and2023,thevalueofcustomerdepositsatdigitalbanksinIrelandgrewsharply,reaching100billionU.S.dollarsin2023.Accordingto?Statista'sFinancialMarketInsights,thevalueofdepositsisforecasttogrowevenfurtherinthefollowingyears.By2029,thetotalvalueofcustomerdepositsisestimatedtoexceed131billionU.S.dollars.ReadmoreNote(s):2017to203Source(s):LeadingbankingappsinIrelandin2023,bydownloads(in1000s)LeadingbankingappsinIreland2023,bydownloadsNumberofdownloadsinthousands0100200300400500600700800900RevolutKlarna830.11119.43CleverCardsCommBankBunq64.7429.0528.7426.1925.6922.7715.0513.34N26MonzoCashAppPaytmBarclays33/statistics/1477384/ireland-leading-banking-apps-by-downloadsWithmorethan800,000downloads,RevolutwastheleadingbankingappinIrelandin2023.Klarnarankedsecond,withtotaldownloadsamountingtoroughly119,000.Barclays,thesecond-largestUKbank,finishedtheranking,with13,340downloads.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2023Source(s):AppMagicCHAPTER

05LargestbanksLargestbanksinIrelandin2023,bytotalassets(inbillioneuros)LargestbanksinIreland2023,byassetsAssetsinbillioneuros020406080100120140160180BankofIrelandBarclaysBankIrelandplc155.71142.64AlliedIrishBanksplc136.35CitibankEuropeplc129.29BankofAmericaEuropeDACPermanentTSBplc75.9227.76BankofIrelandMortgageBankUnlimitedCompany19.5335Description:In2023,therewerefourbanksinIrelandwithassetsworthover100billioneuros.Thelargest,BankofIreland,boastedassetsworth155.71billioneuros,makingitthelargestIrishbank.ItwasfollowedbyBarclaysBankIreland,withassetsofroughly142.64billioneuros.AlliedIrishBanks(AIB)rankedthird,with136.35billioneurosonitsbalancesheet.ReadmoreNote(s):Ireland;2023Source(s):TheBanks.euMarketcapitalizationofthelargestbanksinIrelandasofDecember2023(inbillioneuros)MarketcapitalizationoflargestbanksinIreland2023Marketcapinbillioneuros024681012AlliedIrishBanksplcBankofIreland10.28.4PermanentTSBplc0.9336Description:AmongthelargestbanksofIreland,AlliedIrishBanksplcreportedthelargestmarketcapitalizationasofDecember2023.Thatyear,AlliedIrishBanks'marketcapwasroughly10.2billioneuros.TheBankof