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1、CHAPTER 7ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT: DETERMINING AND MEASURING INTEREST RATES AND CONTROLLING INTEREST-SENSITIVE AND DURATION GAPSGoals of This Chapter: The purpose of this chapter is to explore the options bankers have today for dealing with risk - especially the risk of loss due to changing intere

2、st rates and to see how a bank s management can coordinate the management of its assets with the management of its liabilities in order to achieve the institution s goals.Key Topic In This Chapter Asset, Liability, and Funds Management Market Rates and Interest Rate Risk The Goals of Interest Rate H

3、edging Interest Sensitive Gap Management Duration Gap Management Limitations of Hedging TechniquesChapter OutlineI. Introduction: The Necessity for Coordinating Bank Asset and Liability Management DecisionsII. Asset/Liability Management StrategiesA. Asset Management StrategyB. Liability Management S

4、trategyC. Funds Management StrategyIII. Interest Rate Risk: One of the Greatest Asset-Liability Management Strategy Challenges A.Forces Determining Interest RatesB. The Measurement of Interest Rates1. Yield to Maturity2. Bank Discount RateC. The Components of Interest Rates1. Risk Premiums2. Yield C

5、urves3. The Maturity Gapand the Yield CurveD. Response to Interest Rate RiskIV. One of the Goals of Interest-Rate HedgingA. The Net Interest MarginB. Interest-Sensitive Gap Management1.2.Asset-Sensitive PositionLiability-Sensitive Position3. Dollar Interest-Sensitive Gap4. Relative Interest Sensitiv

6、e Gap5. Interest Sensitivity Ratio6. Computer-Based Techniques7. Cumulative Gap8. Strategies in Gap ManagementC. Duration Gap ManagementV. The Concept of DurationA. Definition of DurationB. Calculation of DurationC. Net Worth andDurationD.Price Risk andDurationE. Convexity andDurationVI. Using Durat

7、ion to Hedge Against Interest-Rate RiskA. Duration Gap1. Dollar Weighted Duration ofAssets2. Dollar Weighted Duration ofLiabilities3. Positive Duration Gap4. Negative Duration GapB. Change in the Bank s Net WorthVII. The Limitations of Duration Gap ManagementVIII. Summary of the ChapterConcept Check

8、s7-1. What do the following terms mean: Asset management? Liability management? Funds management?Asset management refers to a banking strategy where management has control over the allocation of bank assets but believes the banks sources of funds (principally deposits) are outside its control. Liabi

9、lity management is a strategy of control over bank liabilities by varying interest rates offered on borrowed funds. Funds management combines both asset and liability management approaches into a balanced liquidity management strategy.7-2. What factors have motivated financial institutions to develo

10、p funds management techniques in recent years?The necessity to find new sources of funds in the 1970s and the risk management problems encountered with troubled loans and volatile interest rates in the 1970s and 1980s led to the concept of planning and control over both sides of a banks balance shee

11、t - the essence of funds management.7-3. What forces cause interest rates to change? What kinds of risk do financial firms face when interest rates change?Interest rates are determined, not by individual banks, but by the collective borrowing and lending decisions of thousands of participants in the

12、 money and capital markets. They are also impacted by changing perceptions of risk by participants in the money and capital markets, especially the risk of borrower default, liquidity risk, price risk, reinvestment risk, inflation risk, term or maturity risk, marketability risk, and call risk.Financ

13、ial institutions can lose income or value no matter which way interest rates go. Rising interest rates can lead to losses on security instruments and on fixed-rate loans as the market values of these instruments fall. Falling interest rates will usually result in capital gains on fixed-rate securiti

14、es and loans but an institution will lose income if it has more rate-sensitive assets than liabilities. Rising interest rates will also cause a loss to income if an institution has more rate-sensitive liabilities than rate-sensitive assets.7-4. What makes it so difficult to correctly forecast intere

15、st rate changes?Interest rates cannot be set by an individual bank or even by a group of banks; they are determined by thousands of investors trading in the credit markets. Moreover, each market rate of interest has multiple components-the risk-free interest rate plus various risk premia. A change i

16、n any of these rate components can cause interest rates to change. To consistently forecast market interest rates correctly would require bankers to correctly anticipate changes in the risk-free interest rate and in all rate components. Another important factor is the timing of the changes. To be ab

17、le to take full advantage of their predictions, they also need to know when the changes will take place.7-5. What is the yield curve and why is it important for bankers to know about its shape or slope?The yield curve is a graphical description of the distribution of market interest rates by maturit

18、y of financial instrument. The slope of the yield curve determines the spread between long-term and short-term interest rates. In banking most of the long-term rates apply to loans and securities (i.e., bank assets) and most of the short-term interest rates are attached to bank deposits and money ma

19、rket borrowings. Thus, the shape or slope of the yield curve has a profound influence on a banks net interest margin or spread between asset revenues and liability costs.7-6. What is it that a lending institution s wishes to protect from adverse movements in interrates?A financial institution wishes

20、 to protect both the value of assets and liabilities and the revenues and costs generated by both assets and liabilities from adverse movements in interest rates.7-7. What is the goal of hedging?The goal of hedging in banking is to freeze the spread between asset returns and liability costs and to o

21、ffset declining values on certain assets by profitable transactions so that a target rate of return is assured.7-8. First National Bank of Bannerville has posted interest revenues of $63 million and interest costs of $42 million. If this bank possesses $700 million in total earning assets, what is F

22、irst National s net interest margin? Suppose the bank s interest revenues and interest costs doubwhile its earning assets increase by 50 percent. What will happen ti its net interest margin?Net Interest = $63 mill. - $42 mill. = 0.03 or 3 percent Margin$700 mill.If interest revenues and interest cos

23、ts double while earning assets grow by 50 percent, the net interest margin will change as follows:($63 mill. - $42 mill.) * 2= 0.04 or 4 percent$700 mill. *(1.50)Clearly the net interest margin increases-in this case by one third.7-9. Can you explain the concept of gap management?Gap management invo

24、lves determining the maturity distribution and the repricing schedule for a banks assets and liabilities. When more assets are subject to repricing or will reach maturity in a given period than liabilities or vice versa, the bank has a GAP between assets and liabilities and is exposed to loss from a

25、dverse interest-rate movements based on the gaps size and direction.7-10 When is a financial institution asset sensitive? Liability sensitive?A financial institution is asset sensitive when it has more interest-rate sensitive assets maturing or subject to repricing during a specific time period than

26、 rate-sensitive liabilities. A liability sensitive position, in contrast, would find the financial institution having more interest-rate sensitive deposits and other liabilities than rate-sensitive assets for a particular planning period.7-11. Commerce National Bank reports interest-sensitive assets

27、 of $870 million andinterest sensitive liabilities of $625 million during the coming month. Is the bank asset sensitive or liability sensitive? What is likely to happen to the banks net interest margin if interest rates rise? If they fall?Because interest-sensitive assets are larger than liabilities

28、 by $245 million the bank is asset sensitive.If interest rates rise, the banks net interest margin should rise as asset revenues increase by more than the resulting increase in liability costs. On the other hand, if interest rates fall, the banks net interest margin will fall as asset revenues decli

29、ne faster than liability costs.7-12. Peoples Savings Bank, a thrift institution, has a cumulative gap for the coming year of + $135 million and interest rates are expected to fall by two and a half percentage points. Can you calculate the expected change in net interest income that this thrift insti

30、tution might experience?What change will occur in net interest income if interest rates rise by one and a quarter percentage points?For the decrease in interest rates:ExpectedChange in= $135 million * (-0.025) = -$3.38 millionNet Interest IncomeExpected Changein Net InterestIncomeFor the increase in

31、 interest rates:=$135 million * (+0.0125) = +$1.69 million7-13 How do you measure the dollar interest-sensitive gap? The relative interest-sensitive gap? What is the interest-sensitivity ratio?The dollar interest-sensitive gap is measured by taking the repriceable (interest-sensitive) assets minus t

32、he repriceable (interest-sensitive) liabilities over some set planning period. Common planning periods include 3 months, 6 months and 1 year. The relative interest-sensitive gap is the dollar interest-sensitive gap divided by some measure of bank size (often total assets). The interest-sensitivity r

33、atio is just the ratio of interest-sensitive assets to interest sensitive liabilities. Regardless of which measure you use, the results should be consistent. If you find a positive (negative) gap for dollar interest-sensitive gap, you should also find a positive (negative) relative interest-sensitiv

34、e gap and an interest sensitivity ratio greater (less) than one.7-14 Suppose Carroll Bank and Trust reports interest-sensitive assets of $570 million and interest-sensitive liabilities of $685 million. What is the bank-sensitivdojap ?ntesestrelative interest-sensitive gap and interest-sensitivity ra

35、tio?Dollar Interest-Sensitive Gap = Interest-Sensitive Assets- Interest Sensitive Liabilities=$570 - $685 = -$115Relative Gap =$ IS Gap = -$115= -0.2018 or -20.18 percentInterest-SensitivityRatio$570= .8321$685Bank Size $570Interest-Sensitive AssetsInterest-Sensitive Liabilities7-15 Explain the conc

36、ept of weighted interest-sensitive gap. How can this concept aid management in measuring a financial institution-ssnsiaveigrestsk exposure?Weighted interest-sensitive gap is based on the idea that not all interest rates change at the same speed. Some are more sensitive than others. Interest rates on

37、 bank assets may change more slowly than interest rates on liabilities and both of these may change at a different speed than those interest rates determined in the open market. In the weighted interest-sensitive gap methodology, all interest-sensitive assets and liabilities are given a weight based

38、 on their speed (sensitivity) relative to some market interest rate. Fed Funds loans, for example, have an interest rate which is determined in the market and which would have a weight of 1. All other loans, investments and deposits would have a weight based on their speed relative to the Fed Funds

39、rate. To determine the interest-sensitive gap, the dollar amount of each type of asset or liability would be multiplied by its weight and added to the rest of the interest-sensitive assets or liabilities. Once the weighted total of the assets and liabilities is determined, a weighted interest-sensit

40、ive gap can be determined by subtracting the interest-sensitive liabilities from the interest-sensitive assets. This weighted interest-sensitive gap should be more accurate than the unweighted interest-sensitive gap. The interest-sensitive gap may change from negative to positive or vice versa and m

41、ay change significantly the interest rate strategy pursued by the bank.7-16. What is duration?Duration is the weighted average time at which the cash flows on a security are received. It is a direct measure of price risk.7-17. How is a financial institution s duration gap determined?A banks duration

42、 gap is determined by taking the difference between the duration of a banks assets and the duration of its liabilities. The duration of the bankmined bsyassets can be detaking a weighted average of the duration of all of the assets in the bank s portfolio.the dollar amount of a particular type of as

43、set out of the total dollar amount of the assets of the bank. The duration of the liabilities can be determined in a similar manner. The duration of the liabilities is then adjusted to reflect that the bank has fewer liabilities than assets.7-18. What are the advantages of using duration as an asset

44、-liability management tool as opposed to interest-sensitive gap analysis?Interest-sensitive gap only looks at the impact of changes in interest rates on the bankIt does not take into account the effect of interest rate changes on the market value of the bank equity capital position. In addition, dur

45、ation provides a single number which tells the bank their overall exposure to interest rate risk.7-19. How can you tell you are fully hedged using duration gap analysis?You are fully hedged when the dollar weighted duration of the assets portfolio of the bank equals the dollar weighted duration of t

46、he liability portfolio. This means that the bank has a zero duration gap position when it is fully hedged. Of course, because the bank usually has more assets than liabilities the duration of the liabilities needs to be adjusted by the ratio of total liabilities to total assets to be entirely correc

47、t.7-20. What are the principal limitations of duration gap analysis? Can you think of some ways of reducing the impact of these limitations?There are several limitations with duration gap analysis. It is often difficult to find assets and liabilities of the same duration to fit into the bank s portf

48、olio. In addition, some accountsdeposits and others don t have well defined pacashsfloWs which makes it difficult to calculate duration for these accounts. Duration is also affected by prepayments by customers as well as default. Finally, duration analysis works best when interest rate changes are s

49、mall and short and long term interest rates change by the same amount. If this is not true, duration analysis is not as accurate.$467 million、$560 million ;7-21. Suppose that a thrift institution has an average asset duration of 2.5 years and an average liability duration of 3.0 years. If the bank h

50、olds total assets of $560 million and total liabilities of $467 million, does it have a significant duration gap? If interest rates rise, what will happen to the value of the banks net worth?Liabilitie sDuration Gap = Da -Dl * -=2.5 yrs. - 3.0 yrs.=2.5 years - 2.5018 years=-0.018 yearsThis bank has

51、a very slight negative duration gap; so small in fact that we could consider it insignificant. If interest rates rise, the banks liabilities will fall slightly more in value than its assets, resulting in a small increase in net worth.7-22. Stilwater Bank and Trust Company has an average asset durati

52、on of 3.25 years and an average liability duration of 1.75 years. Its liabilities amount to $485 million, while its assets total $512 million. Suppose that interest rates were 7 percent and then rise to 8 percent. What will happen to the value of the Stilwater Banks net worth as a result of a declin

53、e in interest rates?First, we need an estimate of Stilwaters duration gap. This is:Duration Gap = 3.25 yrs. -1.75 yrs *$485 mill.$512 mill.=+ 1.5923 years104Then, the change in net worth if interest rates rise from 7 percent to 8 percent will be:Change in NW = - 3.25 yrs. x.01 小“.x $512mill(1 .07)1.

54、75yrs. x x$485mill.1(1+.07)一=-$7.62 million.Problems7-1. A government bond is currently selling for $900 and pays $75 per year in interest for nine years when it matures. If the redemption value of this bond is $1,000, what is its yield to maturity if purchased today for $900?The yield to maturity e

55、quation for this bond would be:$80$80$80$80$80$80$80$80$1080J(JT 1TTT 1TT (1 ?)1(1 ?)2(1 ?)3(1 ?)4(1 - ?)5(1 ?)6(1 ?)7(1 ?)8(1 ?)9Using a financial calculator the YTM = 9.72%7-2. Suppose the government bond described in problem 1 above is held for three years and then the thrift institution acquirin

56、g the bond decides to sell it at a price of $950. Can you figure out the average annual yield the thrift institution will have earned for its 3-year investment in the bond?$900 =$80 1 +$80 2 +$80 3 +$950 3(1 HPY)1(1 HPY)2(1 HPY)3(1 HPY)3Using a financial calculator, the HPY is 10.56%7-3. U.S. Treasu

57、ry bills are available for purchase this week at the following prices (based upon $100 par value) and with the indicated maturities:a. $98.25, 182 days.b. $97.25, 270 days.c. $99.25, 91 days.Calculate the bank discount rate (DR) on each bill if it is held to maturity. What is the equivalent yield to

58、 maturity (sometimes called the bond-equivalent or coupon equivalent yield) on each of these Treasury Bills?The discount rates and equivalent yields to maturity (bond-equivalent or coupon-equivalent yields) on each of these Treasury bills are:Discount RatesEquivalent Yields to Matuhtya.100 -98.25* 360 o * = 3.46%100182b.$100 -97.25* 360 o*3.67%1002

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