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1、2008年注冊(cè)會(huì)計(jì)師考試輔導(dǎo)財(cái)務(wù)成本管理英語(yǔ) 第 PAGE 4頁(yè)INVESTMENT APPRAISAL對(duì)應(yīng)中文教材2008年財(cái)務(wù)成本管理第五章:投資管理A.ROCE(已動(dòng)用資本回報(bào)率)or ARR(會(huì)計(jì)收益率)(Accounting Rate of Return)B.Payback(回收期法)Payback period=Initial payment/Annual cash inflow, payback is not always an exact number of yearsMost common formula:ROCE=EBIT (after depreciation)/ ini
2、tial capital costsC NPV(凈現(xiàn)值法)(1) Basic assumptions:cash outlay occurs in year 0 (now).cash flows occur at the end of the year.if a cash flow occurs at the beginning of a year, it is assumed to occur at the end of the previous year.D IRR(內(nèi)含報(bào)酬率法)(1)Basic principle: IRR is the cost of capital at which
3、the NPV is zero, if the expected IRR is higher than a target rate of return; the project is financially worth undertaking.(2)Selection between IRR and NPV: when a choice has to be made between mutually exclusive projects, in such case the NPV should be selected, because higher NPV can maximize share
4、holders wealth.DefinitionThe discount rat which, when applied to the cash flows of a project, gives an NPV of zero.OrThe break-even interest rate for a project.It is the maximum rate of interest that you could afford to pay on a project without making a loss.FeaturesAdvantages -Takes into account th
5、e time value of money-Relative measure-More readily understood than NPVDisadvantages -May not be unique projects can have more than one IRR- May rank projects incorrectly for mutually exclusive projects or whenFunds are short supply- Cannot cope with changing rates of interestThe method of calculati
6、on depends upon whether or not the project has even cash flows.Even cash flowsConsider an investment of 39.93m that generates net cash earnings of 10m for 5 yearsThe IRR is the discount rate that gives a NPV of zero. This means that the IRR is theRate that will discount five installments of 10m to a
7、 present value of 39.93. This in turnMeans that the IRR is the discount rate for which the 5year annuity factor is 3.993. AThe projects IRR has been found via a cumulative discount factor (annuity factor) givenBy: Annuity factorat the IRR=for the life of the projectUneven cash flowsThese have to be
8、found by trial and error or by estimating using two present values.Where:A=lower rate chosen=NPV at rate AB=higher rate=NPV at rate BIt helps to get A and B as close to the true IRR as possible, but it doesnt matter whetherthe resultant NPVs are positive, negative or one of each.Some students prefer
9、 to use a common sense approach rather than a formula. Seeing by nowMuch NPV has fallen (fromto) as the discount rate has risen from A to B,They find how much more the discount rate needs to rise to bring the NPV to zero.Whether the formula is used or common sense, the calculation assumes a linear r
10、elationshipBetween NPV and discount rate. In fact the relationship is not linear, hence the calculationIs only approximate and (unless you have been lucky when guessing which discount rates touse) you should not quote IRRs calculated in this way to many, not to any,decimal places unless the examiner
11、 asks you.IRR of a perpetuityThe present value of a perpetuity is the annual cash flow divided by the discount rate(expressed as a decimal. From this it follows that:the IRR of a perpetuity =100Perpetuity: 永續(xù)年金Method of presentationA simple calculation such as those for Woods can be done on a single
12、 line. For larger projectstwo possibilities exist:(i) the cash budget approach(ii) the tabular approach.(1)Cash budget approachTime0123000000000000Investment(X) XAdvertising (X) (X) -Working capital (X) -XMaterials (X) (X) (X) -Labour (X) (X) (X)Overheads (X) (X) (X)Revenue X Net cash flow (X) (X) (
13、X) X y% Discount factor1 X X XPresent value (X) (X) (X) XNet present value (000)XThe cash budget approach is suitable for short projects with lots of different cash flowsWhich change from year to year.(2) Tabular approachTimeCash flowy% DiscountPresent value0000000000Investment(X)1(X)0and 1 Advertis
14、ing (X)X(X)0Working capital (X)1(X)0-9Materials (X)1(X)1-10Labour and overheads (X)X(X)1-10Revenue X XX10Sales proceedsX XX10WC recovery X XXNet present value (000)XThe tabular approach is suitable for long projects with lots of different cash flows that areThe same from year to year (enabling annui
15、ty factors to be used).Picking the right figuresWhen carrying out discounted cash flow analysis it is important to select the right figures.Ignore:1.Sunk costs amounts that have already been spent2.Depreciation not a cash flow3.Book values not a cash flow4.Nonincremental fixed costs (look out for th
16、e words “reapportioned fixed overheads”)5.Interest costs taken into account by the discounting processInclude:Those cash flows that are specifically received or incurred as a result of the acceptance of the project(futureincrementalcash flows).Asset replacement decisionFactors to be considered when
17、making replacement decision are as follows:capital cost of new equipment;operating costs, increased repair and maintenance costs;loss of productivity;lower of quality and quantity of output;One application of discounted cash flow is to make decisions concerned with the replacement ofMachinery. This
18、applies to short life assets that will need to be replaced in perpetuity (e.g. motorCars or photocopiers). As a machine gets older, it is likely to cost more to keep it running and itsScrap value will decrease. The aim is to find the optimal replacement cycle for the machine,i.e. how often it should be replaced before it becomes uneconomic to own.A simple approach would involve finding the total cost of keeping an asset for 1,2,3 years, etc,Then finding an average annual cost.DCF VersionNow, each possible replac
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