大戰(zhàn)略性技術

CarlClaunchTop10StrategicTechnologiesThesematerialscanbereproducedonlywithGartner’sofficialapproval.Suchapprovalsmayberequestedviae-mail--quote.requests@.Notesaccompanythispresentation.PleaseselectNotesPageview.TheTop10InstantMessagingRFIDTagsNetworkSecurityPlatformLocation-BasedServicesGridComputingSpeechRecognitionReal-TimeEnterpriseIPTelephonyWebServicesTabletPCsMaturingin18to36MonthsWiderApplicabilityLoweredRiskIssuesResolvedCopyright?2003Conclusion:Top10Technologies1. WhatarethetrendsanddriversshapingITstrategyduringthenextthreeyears?2. WhichtechnologieswillreachhighenoughlevelsofmaturityandadoptiontoimpacttheITlandscapethrough2005?3. HowwillITarchitecturesevolvetosupportenterprisegoals?Copyright?2003KeyIssuesValues:PresenceserviceReal-timeNorewindLowoverheadOtherIssues:LackofaudittrailQoSlimitationsPoorintegrationcapabilityLostrecordofdecisionsTextfocused,limitedmediaSecurityConcerns:DataprotectionPrivacyTamperresistanceCopyright?2003InstantMessagingintheEnterpriseRFIDTagCurrentApplicationsTollpasssystemsPetidentificationAccesscardsRetailtheftprotectionElectronicparoleetrackingPhotossourceTexasInstrumentsSuccessortoBarCodesCanreadevencoveredCanreadwhilemovingCanscanatdistanceSurviveswater,heat,paintingPricedroppingtolowlevelsRemaininproductforlifePotentialApplicationsLocatecommonobjectsImprovedassetcontrolReal-timeretail-shelfinventoryMovetofasterorself-checkoutImprovemanufacturingandsupply-chainefficiencyAfter-saleservicesofferingsCopyright?2003HoneyPots,ApplicationTracesandForensicsFirewallsIDSVAGatewayAVSecurityPlatformIntheCloudMSSIntrusionPreventionAppliancesAnti-spamContentScanningSub-

100MbGigabit+200220042006??PoliciesandParametersUnified*ManagementCopyright?2003NetworkSecurityPlatformTechnologiesRFIDBluetoothCellphonetowerGPSPossibilitiesEmergencyPromotionsNavigationCyber-overlaySmartcontextCopyright?2003Location-BasedServicesApplicationOwnerCOwnerAOwnerBCopyright?2003GRIDComputingToolkitsandEnablersUnitedDevices,Avaki,DataSynapse,etc.Globus,OGSA,GlobalGridForumWebservicesandotherstandardsCorbaCustomapproachesSignificantintegrationrequiredCurrentApplicationsLargecomputationsLimiteddatainterchangePartitionablealgorithmEngineeringScientificresearchOptimizationandsimulationUniversalorNiche?HighlydependentonproblemandapplicationSecurity,economicandQoSissuesremainBreakthroughperformancevs.cost-efficiencyAdoptionrateofutilitymodelofcomputingDiffusiondependsonturnoverinexistingplantCopyright?2003GRIDComputingGeneraltextentryCommandandcontrolCallcenteruseSuccessFactorsLimitedvocabularyandhighcontextDialog-oriented,interactiveapproachAcceptablerateoferrorsCopyright?2003SpeechRecognitionReportActivateDeliberateAssimilateFormulateCommunicateSenseCaptureFilterTrackImplementReviseEventBusinessResponseAwarenessActionDecisionBusinessstrategyfirstReducedelaysReducederrorratesInformationprecisionandtimelinessRicher/More-appropriateinformationLowerwasteFasterreactionCopyright?2003Real-TimeEnterprise--RTETroughofDisillusionmentSlopeofEnlightenmentPlateauofProductivityTechnologyTriggerPeakofInflatedExpectationsReal-timeAnalyticsWebServicesMassRFIDTaggingMEMSsensorsWirelessWebWirelessLANRTIntegrationbrokersWirelessMessagingDataWarehouseBusinessProcessManagementLanguagesContentManagementInfantAdolescentMatureWebcastingRulesEnginesHomeBroadbandAutomatictextcategorisationEventMgt.CommercialGridInfrastructureSelf-healingInfrastructureCopyright?2003MaturityofRTETechnologiesVoIPonWANissuesQoScontrolEconomicsvscarriertrendsIPvariablelatencyStandardsandinteroperabilityIPtelephonyissuesFeaturesvsPBXScalabilityReliabilityQoSandsharingnetworksInteroperabilitySomeMissingFeaturesAttendantconsoleLeastcostroutingBusyoverrideTrunkcallbackqueuingBlindtransferLessthen500phones;VoIPoverWANLargeIPTelephony(500ormorephones)VeryLargeIPtelephony(2,000ormorephones)Copyright?2003IPTelephonyConceptsToolsDevelopDeployService-OrientedArchitecture(SOA)Service-OrientedDevelopmentofApplications(SODA)WebServiceArchitecture(WSA)InterfaceSeparationWrapping(Reflection)DescriptionDynamismAssemblyCompositionDiscoveryOrchestrationContractsMessagesRepositoryServersProg.ModelPlatformStandardsOrganizationWebServiceProducerPlatforms(WSPP)SODASOACopyright?2003ServiceOrientationtoSoftwareCommonInternetprotocols(e.g.,TCP/IPHTTP)ExtensibleMarkupLanguage(XML)SimpleObjectAccessProtocol(SOAP)WebServicesDefinitionLanguage(WDSL)UniversalDescription,DiscoveryandIntegration(UDDI)WS-Transaction,BPEL4WS,WSCIInplaceKey:Liberty,PassportWS-Security,SecurityAssertionsMarkupLanguage(SAML)WebServicesforRemotePortals(WSRP),WebServicesUserInterface(WSUI)FormatTransportMessageDescriptionSearch&FindCoordinationUserInterfaceIdentifyingStandardNeedBusinessSemanticsebXML,RosettaNetEmergingEstablishedEntrenchedSecurityTrustIdentityCopyright?2003EmergingWebServicesStandardsBuildingTrustApplicationsInspectionSurveysForms AnnotationPersonalizationofe-mail NotetakingEmbeddedinOSasextensionFocusoninknotrecognitionTwoformfactorsTablet(niche)ConvertibleNotebook(pricepremiumanduncertainacceptance)Copyright?2003TabletPCsTheTop10InstantMessagingRFIDTagsNetworkSecurityPlatformLocation-BasedServicesGridComputingSpeechRecognitionReal-TimeEnterpriseIPTelephonyWebServicesTabletPCsExaminepotentialvalueoftechnologiesforyourenterprise.Selectrighttimetoexploitthem.Determineleadtimerequired.Investigateandpilotasneeded.Addressup-frontallunresolvedissuesandlargeriskfactors.Copyright?2003Recommendations9、靜靜夜夜四四無無鄰鄰，，荒荒居居舊舊業(yè)業(yè)貧貧。。。。1月月-231月月-23Sunday,January1,202310、雨雨中中黃黃葉葉樹樹，，燈燈下下白白頭頭人人。。。。13:36:3213:36:3213:361/1/20231:36:32PM11、以我獨沈久久，愧君相見見頻。。1月-2313:36:3213:36Jan-2301-Jan-2312、故故人人江江海海別別，，幾幾度度隔隔山山川川。。。。13:36:3213:36:3213:36Sunday,January1,202313、乍見見翻疑疑夢，，相悲悲各問問年。。。1月-231月-2313:36:3213:36:32January1,202314、他鄉(xiāng)生生白發(fā)，，舊國見見青山。。。01一一月20231:36:32下午午13:36:321月-2315、比不了了得就不不比，得得不到的的就不要要。。。。一月231:36下午午1月-2313:36January1,202316、行動出成果果，工作出財財富。。2023/1/113:36:3213:36:3201January202317、做前，能能夠環(huán)視四四周；做時時，你只能能或者最好好沿著以腳腳為起點的的射線向前前。。1:36:32下下午1:36下下午13:36:321月-239、沒沒有有失失敗敗，，只只有有暫暫時時停停止止成成功功??！。。1月月-231月月-23Sunday,January1,202310、很多事情努努力了未必有有結果，但是是不努力卻什什么改變也沒沒有。。13:36:3213:36:3213:361/1/20231:36:32PM11、成功就是日日復一日那一一點點小小努努力的積累。。。1月-2313:36:3213:36Jan-2301-Jan-2312、世間間成事事，不不求其其絕對對圓滿滿，留留一份份不足足，可可得無無限完完美。。。13:36:3213:36:3213:36Sunday,January1,202313、不知香積積寺，數(shù)里里入云峰。。。1月-231月-2313:36:3213:36:32January1,202314、意志堅強的的人能把世界界放在手中像像泥塊一樣任任意揉捏。01一月20231:36:32下午13:36:321月-2315、楚楚塞塞三三湘湘接接，，荊荊門門九九派派通通。。。。。。一月231:36下下午午1月-2313:36January1,202316、少年年十五五二十十時，，步行行奪得得胡馬馬騎。。。2023/1/113:36:3213:36:3201January202317、空空山山新新雨雨后后，，天天氣氣晚晚來來秋秋。。。。1:36:32下下午午1:36下下午午13:36:321月月-239、楊柳散和風風，青山澹吾吾慮。。1月-231月-23Sunday,January1,202310、閱讀一切切好書如同同和過