持續(xù)發(fā)展的軌道交通業(yè)

持續(xù)發(fā)展的軌道交通業(yè)—設備監(jiān)理服務的機遇與挑戰(zhàn)RailTransitIndustryGrowinginaSustainableWay-OpportunitiesandChallengesofPlantengineeringconsultingService中國鐵道科學研究院孫寧SunNingChinaAcademyofRailwaySciences持續(xù)發(fā)展的軌道交通業(yè)—設備監(jiān)理服務的機遇與挑戰(zhàn)RailTransitIndustryGrowinginaSustainableWay-OpportunitiesandChallengesofPlantEngineeringConsultingService軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment2.軌道交通機電設備技術發(fā)展趨勢DevelopmentTrendofRailTransitMechanical-ElectricalEquipmentTechnology3.軌道交通機電設備監(jiān)理服務的機遇與挑戰(zhàn)OpportunitiesandChallengesofRailTransitMechanical-ElectricalPlantEngineeringConsultingService

軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment我國鐵路發(fā)展長期制約我國社會經濟發(fā)展China’srailwaydevelopmenthaslongrestrictedoursocialandeconomicgrowth.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment鐵路“十一五”規(guī)劃The11thFive-YearPlanofrailways

依據我國中長期鐵路網規(guī)劃，“四縱四橫”客運專線長度達到12000kmAccordingtoChina’slongandmedium-termplanforrailwaynetwork,dedicatedFourVerticalandFourHorizontalpassengerrailwaysareaslongas12,000km.1.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment鐵路投資規(guī)模估計Estimatedscaleofrailwayinvestment按照規(guī)劃，2009年，我國還將批準新建鐵路里程1萬公里左右、投資規(guī)模1萬億元；2010年，將再批準新建鐵路里程1萬公里、投資規(guī)模1萬億元。Accordingtotheplan,in2009,Chinawillapproveconstructionofanadditional10,000kmrailwaymileageorso,involvinginvestmentscaleof1TrillionRMB;in2010,itwillfurtherapprove10,000kmrailwaymileage,involvinginvestmentscaleof1TrillionRMB.2009年鐵道部計劃報批項目投資規(guī)模突破1萬億元。當年要花出去的錢約7000億元，其中基本建設投資計劃安排6000億元，還有其他的一些機器設備、固定資產投資將近1000億元。另外，2009年和2010年兩年計劃安排機車車輛購置投資3000億元左右。In2009,MinistryofRailwaysplanstoreportforapprovalofprojectsinvolving1TrillionRMBinvestment.Intheyear,about700BillionRMBisplannedtobespent,amongwhich600BillionRMBwillbearrangedforinvestmentininfrastructures,andnearly100BillionRMBforinvestmentinmachineryequipmentandfixedassets.Moreover,in2009and2010,theMinistryplanstoarrangeapproximately300BillionRMBtopurchaselocomotives.

調整后的《中長期鐵路網規(guī)劃》項目全部實施后，到2020年鐵路建設投資總規(guī)模將突破5萬億，營業(yè)里程將超過12萬公里AftertheprojectsinLongandMedium-termRailwayNetworkPlanarecompletelyfulfilled,by2020totalscaleofrailwayconstructioninvestmentwillsurpass5TrillionRMB,andoperatingmileagewillovertake120,000kilometers.1.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment我國城市軌道交通建設現狀PresentsituationonconstructionofurbanrailtransitinChina特大城市（北京、上海、廣州）正在形成軌道交通網絡；Railtransitnetworkisbeingformedinlargecities(Beijing,Shanghai,Guangzhou)天津、深圳、南京、武漢、重慶已建成并運營第一、二條地鐵線路，正在建設第二或多條線路；InTianjin,Shenzhen,Nanjing,WuhanandChongqing,thefirstorsecondmetrolinehasbeencompletedandoperated,thesecondormorelineisunderconstruction近兩年國家又先后又批準了成都、杭州、哈爾濱、沈陽、西安、長沙、石家莊、蘇州、寧波、青島、鄭州、大連、長春、無錫等十五個城市開展城市軌道交通建設；Inthepasttwoyears,theStatehasapprovedconstructionofurbanrailtransitin15cities,includingChengdu,Hangzhou,Harbin,Shenyang,Xi’an,Changsha,Shijiazhuang,Suzhou,Ningbo,Qingdao,Zhengzhou,Dalian,ChangchunandWuxi.隨著城市化的發(fā)展，珠江三角洲、長江三角洲、環(huán)渤海地區(qū)等經濟區(qū)域正在啟動區(qū)域性城際軌道交通網絡的建設。Withever-growingurbanization,sucheconomiczonesasPearlRiverDelta,YangtzeDeltaandtheareassurroundingBohaiSeaarekickingofftheconstructionofregionalintercityrailtransitnetwork.1.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment目前我國十座城市，30條線路的運營里程（2008年底）Presentoperationmileageof30linesin10citiesofChina(bytheendof2008)1.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment目前我國十座城市，30條線路的運營里程（2008年底）Presentoperationmileageof30linesin10citiesofChina(bytheendof2008)1.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment至2008底全國共有14個城市，46條地鐵線路在建，線路總長1212kmBytheendof2008,46metrolinesin14citiesnationwidewereunderconstruction,1,212kmlongintotal.十五個城市軌道交通近期建設規(guī)劃表Near-termconstructionplanningscheduleforrailtransitin15citiesNo.CityPlannedyearsNumberoflinesLength(km)Totalinvestment(100millionRMB)1Beijing2004-201514419.916362Shanghai2005-20121038914393Guangzhou2005-20107127.66487.014Shenzhen2003-20105120.7364.35Nanjing2004-2015397.6368.36Hangzhou2004-2010282.2355.77Chongqing2004-20123822428Wuhan2004-2010359.74237.229Chengdu2004-2013254.18197.1810Tianjin2003-2010251.1209.611Xi’an2006-2015250.3179.512Suzhou2003-2010247.416513Harbin2004-2013245.5316314Shenyang2004-2010240.85171.815Changchun2003-2010237.538.98Total611705.666234.591.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment城軌新線建設Constructionofnewurbanrailtransitlines-目前已經開工建設1300多公里線路，建成運營800多公里線路，按照規(guī)劃還有約1700公里線路在今后10年左右時間陸續(xù)建設完成。

Atpresent,constructionofmorethan1,300kmlineshasbeencommenced,lineswithabove800kmoperatingmileagehavebeencompletedandputintooperation.Accordingtotheplanning,anadditional1,700kmlineswillbecompletedinsuccessioninthe10futureyears.-在2010年左右，我國將有20個城市，2020年，我國將有30個左右的城市有發(fā)展城市軌道交通的可能。Itispossibletodevelopurbanrailtransitin20citiesby2010,and30citiesby2020inChina.-按照目前每年開工建設150～200公里線路的發(fā)展速度，到2020年，我國建設城市軌道交通線路有可能達到2500～3000公里的規(guī)模，約需靜態(tài)總投資10000～13000億元。Accordingtothespeedofcommencingconstructionof150~200kmlinesannually,itisexpectedthatby2020urbanrailtransitlinesinChinacouldreachascaleof2500-3000km,whichapproximatelyinvolvesstaticinvestmentof1-1.3TrillionRMB.1.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment1.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment城軌新線建設Newurbanrailtransitlines隨著我國城軌車輛系統(tǒng)的國產化率不斷提高，車輛在設備投資中的比重正在不斷下降，目前已經不到40%。Withever-increasingimportsubstitutionrateofurbanrailvehiclesysteminChina,theproportionofvehiclesinplantinvestmentiscontinuallydropping,whichislessthan40%now.

根據我國現有城軌項目統(tǒng)計，設備投資約占總投資的36%。以地下為主的線路，設備投資約占33%左右，以地面和高架為主的線路，設備投資約占40%。EstimatedaccordingtoexistingurbantransitprojectsinChina,plantinvestmentaccountsforabout36%oftotalinvestment.Forlinesmainlyunderground,plantinvestmenttakesupabout33%;forlinesmainlygroundandoverhead,plantinvestmentrepresentsabout40%.1.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment城軌老線的更新改造（與設備使用壽命相關）Upgradingandrenovationofoldurbanrailtransitlines(relatedtotheservicelifeofplants)系統(tǒng)綜合升級改造—北京地鐵1、2號線Comprehensiveupgradingandrenovationofsystem–BeijingMetroLine1&2個別系統(tǒng)更新設備—上海、廣州地鐵更新車輛Plantsareupdatedinsomesystems–vehiclesareupgradedinShanghaiandGuangzhouMetro新增系統(tǒng)設備—上海新增屏蔽/安全門、北京地鐵新增AFC系統(tǒng)、許多城市的AFC系統(tǒng)升級。Systemplantsareadded–shielding/safetydoorareaddedinShanghai,AFCsystemisaddedinBeijingMetro,alotofothercitiesupgradeAFCsystem.按每條線平均年設備更新改造費用1.5億元計，全國老線的更新改造年均45億元左右，并將逐年大幅遞增。Calculatedaccordingto150MillionRMBupgradingandrenovationexpensefortheplantsofeachlineannually,approximately4.5BillionRMBisneededannuallyonaverageforupgradingandrenovationoftheoldlinesnationwide,whichwillbeincreasedinalargemarginyearbyyear.

1.軌道交通發(fā)展現狀及規(guī)劃PresentSituationandPlanningofRailTransitDevelopment軌道交通車輛與機電設備投資估計Estimatedinvestmentinrailtransitvehiclesandmechanical-electricalplants綜上分析，2009-2015年間，軌道交通（鐵路與城市軌道交通）車輛與機電設備投資保守估計：Tosumup,during2009-2015,conservativeinvestmentinrailtransit(railwayandurbanrailtransit)vehiclesandmechanical-electricalplantsisestimatedat:城市軌道交通：550億元/年；Urbanrailtransit:55BillionRMB/year鐵路（高速與客運專線）2600億元/年。Railway(high-speedandpassengertransportlines):260BillionRMB/year其中：城市軌道交通會逐年增長，鐵路則趨于穩(wěn)定或下降。Where,urbanrailtransitwillriseyearbyyear,whilerailwaywilltendtostabilizeordrop2.軌道交通機電設備技術發(fā)展趨勢DevelopmentTrendofRailTransitMechanical-ElectricalPlantTechnology現代軌道交通產業(yè)發(fā)展趨勢Developmenttrendofmodernrailtransitindustry投資體系多元化Diversifiedinvestmentsystem項目管理社會化Socializedprojectmanagement系統(tǒng)集成技術高Highsystemintegrationtechnology安全環(huán)保意識強Strongawarenessofsafetyandenvironmentprotection土建機電一體化Integratedcivilconstructionandmechanical-electricalsystem建設速度超負荷Overloadedconstructionspeed運營服務人性化Humanizedoperationservice2.軌道交通機電設備技術發(fā)展趨勢DevelopmentTrendofRailTransitMechanical-ElectricalPlantTechnology軌道交通設備系統(tǒng)發(fā)展特點Developmentfeaturesofrailtransitplantsandsystems系統(tǒng)集成成為主流；Systemintegrationbecomesthemainstream.國產化逐步實現；Importsubstitutionisgraduallyrealized.設備技術含量與運營的技術要求越來越高；Moreandmoreisdemandedonthetechnicalcontentsofplantsandthetechnicalrequirementsofoperation.高度重視全壽命周期成本的評估；Particularemphasisisplacedontheestimationofthecostofwhole-lifecycle.競爭愈加激烈、市場規(guī)模愈加擴大、規(guī)范性逐步加強：優(yōu)勝劣汰加速Competitionbecomesfiercer,marketscaleisexpandedbigger,standardizationisstrengthenedstepbystep;survivalofthebestisaccelerated.設備咨詢監(jiān)理的作用越來越重要（城市軌道交通市場化程度高）Theroleofplantconsultingsupervisionbecomesmoreandmoreimportant(market-orientedextentofurbanrailtransitishigh)咨詢監(jiān)理業(yè)務領域逐步覆蓋建設全過程Consultingsupervisionbusinessfieldgraduallycoverswholeprocessofconstruction;咨詢業(yè)務已經深入城軌各個技術領域(檢驗、試驗、認證、聯調、維護、培訓等)。Consultingbusinesshaspenetratedintoalltechnicalfieldsofurbanrailtransit(inspection,test,accreditation,jointdebugging,maintenance,training,etc.);業(yè)主和設備承包商日益重視咨詢監(jiān)理服務的作用Theemployersandplantcontractorsattachmoreimportancetotheroleofconsultingsupervisionservice.2.軌道交通機電設備技術發(fā)展趨勢DevelopmentTrendofRailTransitMechanical-ElectricalPlantTechnology國產化存在的問題Problemsinimportsubstitution尚未完全掌握機電設備的關鍵核心技術Keyandcoretechnologiesinmechanical-electricalplantshavenotyetbeenfullymastered;研發(fā)工作參差不齊、應用工作進度緩慢R&Dworkisuneven,andapplicationworkprogressesslowly;城軌交通系統(tǒng)市場的準入認證制度尚未建立Theaccessandaccreditationsystemforurbanrailtransitsystemmarkethasnotbeenconstituted;產品技術標準制修訂工作滯后于軌道交通快速發(fā)展Formulationandrevisionofproducttechnologystandardslagbehindspeedydevelopmentofrailtransmit.

2.軌道交通機電設備技術發(fā)展趨勢DevelopmentTrendofRailTransitMechanical-ElectricalPlantTechnology軌道交通機電設備技術發(fā)展趨勢DevelopmentTrendofRailTransitMechanical-ElectricalEquipmentTechnology軌道交通設備系統(tǒng)涵蓋了車輛、通信信號、牽引供電、運營調度、客運服務和線路工程六大系統(tǒng)，其主要的技術發(fā)展趨勢為：Railtransitplantsystemcoverssixsystems:vehicle,communicationsignal,tractionpowersupply,operationdispatch,passengertransportserviceandlineengineering.Itsmaintechnicaldevelopmenttrendfeatures:

以大系統(tǒng)理論為基礎，建立軌道交通機電設備系統(tǒng)集成創(chuàng)新方法體系；Basedonlargesystemtheory,establishinnovativeapproachsystemforrailtransitmechanical-electricalplantsystem;提高軌道交通機電設備系統(tǒng)的國產化率；Increasetheimportsubstitutionrateofrailtransitmechanical-electricalplantsystem;從全局優(yōu)化的觀點出發(fā)，保證機電設備所關注的RAMS水平；Startingfromoverallsituationoptimization,ensureRAMSlevelconcernedbymechanical-electricalplants;從網、線、站的三個層面，形成機電設備系統(tǒng)集成的原則、技術指標和可持續(xù)改進的途徑；Fromthreelevels–network,lineandstation,formtheprinciple,technicalindicatorsandcontinuouslyimprovedchannelsformechanical-electricalplantsystemintegration;形成并實踐軌道交通機電設備系統(tǒng)集成的項目管理模式；Formandpracticetheprojectmanagementmodeofmechanical-electricalplantsystemintegration;從建設為運營服務的角度，量化分析各系統(tǒng)的全壽命周期成本，為運營維修養(yǎng)護的效益最大化創(chuàng)造條件；Fromtheperspectiveofconstructionservingoperation,quantifyandanalyzewhole-lifecyclecostofeachsystem,soastocreateconditionsformaximizedbenefitsofoperation,repairandmaintenance;建立并實踐軌道交通機電設備系統(tǒng)的接口管理、風險分析與安全評估、系統(tǒng)聯調聯試的理論和方法。Establishandpracticethetheoryandapproachesforinterfacemanagement,riskanalysisandsafetyevaluationandjointdebuggingandcommissioningofsystemsofrailtransitmechanical-electricalplantsystem.2.軌曉道交通機豎電設備技董術發(fā)展趨偽勢Dev展elo架pme既nt枯Tre雙nd口of豎Rai會lT鴨ran蒙sit中Me課cha注nic洗al-內Ele覆ctr絨ica寸lP嫁lan乒tT噸ech賭nol蜓ogy軌道交架通機電優(yōu)系統(tǒng)技槳術集成陳創(chuàng)新體球系Inn抓ova軟tio灑ns圣yst煙em趁for頓me俘cha恢nic排al-瞎ele鏟ctr慰ica迅ls挺yst柿emmana績geme習nti若nteg或rati智ono匯fra守ilt匹rans蘆it軌道交通舍機電系統(tǒng)責管理集成鉆創(chuàng)新體系Inno敘vati帝ons忽yste雁mfo煩rme疫chan厭ical狀-ele饒ctri醋cal寺syst死em輸mana秒geme搭nti姻nteg詢rati墊ono揀fra尤ilt記rans鏡it2.軌患道交通機朗電設備技逐術發(fā)展趨皂勢Dev知elo厭pme例nt烤Tre挽nd顧of算Rai歌lT酷ran辨sit拍Me旦cha壁nic盯al-需Ele旗ctr味ica沙lP病lan恨tT禍ech微nol矛ogy軌道交飼通機電座系統(tǒng)R眾AM管楊理RAM已mana份geme會ntf兼orm牛echa樹nica芹l-el謎ectr掠ical禍sys俯tem充ofr控ail與tran藥sit2.橫軌道交讓通機電耐設備技花術發(fā)展贏趨勢Dev艙elo侄pme晌nt巷Tre濤nd登of之Rai污lT悔ran楚sit慎Me臘cha村nic跟al-潔Ele殲ctr架ica忽lP即lan漸tT妄ech牽nol撫ogy軌道交通破安全評估降體系與應是用實踐Safe鏡tye廳valu弓atio下nsy夸stem深and補app父lica舌tion縣pra降ctic濫eso解fra駕ilt滔rans午it生命周期織與安全評秩估Lif冰ec護ycl極ea都nd棵saf嗚ety么ev堅alu益ati漫on2.軌糊道交通機妄電設備技移術發(fā)展趨宇勢Dev野elo雨pme碗nt佩Tre該nd側of耕Rai蘭lT猴ran莊sit暮Me庫cha眉nic據al-垃Ele置ctr辭ica忍lP肢lan駐tT壩ech第nol燭ogy建設項目醫(yī)各階段解庭決風險問葬題時的性購價比Cos夏t-e鞏ffe畢cti飽ven命ess尖ra笛tio渾of廊co志nst瓶ruc困tio際np線roj卻ect獎st概or政eso孔lveris耳kp劑rob志lem永in酸ea然ch搭pha棗se2.軌遮道交通機啞電設備技隸術發(fā)展趨掃勢Deve準lopm房誠ent賄Tren吸dof鎖Rai田lTr挽ansi李tMe響chan鐮ical拍-Ele唯ctri風cal毅Plan淹tTe周chno抬logy軌道交陵通安全苗評估體屋系與應撥用實踐Safe餓tye氧valu增atio困nsy付stem腿and奸app從lica掀tion椒pra符ctic將eso吧fra物ilt編rans抓it軌道交古通系統(tǒng)船聯調技只術Join瘡tde狠bugg墨ing襯tech狹nolo夢gyi床nra訂ilt險rans饒its董yste棚m2.期軌道交牧通機電托設備技形術發(fā)展必趨勢Deve絞lopm男ent校Tren構dof替Rai話lTr瞇ansi橡tMe規(guī)chan培ical行-Ele聲ctri綿cal殲Plan膽tTe饞chno唐logy系統(tǒng)聯零調聯試礦是對系艦統(tǒng)集成撓的設計錢、施工鏟的優(yōu)劣動的檢驗堅和修正涌，采用登實車進眉行線下末基礎、康車輛、賄通信信挽號、牽皇引供電柔、運營彩調度、未客運服智務等各里系統(tǒng)的圣性能或文功能和伴系統(tǒng)間匠配合的譽動態(tài)調松試。Join噴tde豎bugg寸ing忙and夜comm移issi料onin脖gof窩sys恐tems花is辨toi史nspe貴cta秤ndr省evis控eth警equ朱alit屆yof仆des政ign勝and桐cons勤truc譯tion榜of蓬syst分emi弊nteg股rati唇on,鹿and錄toc招ondu頁ctd甩ynam爪ica波djus晴tmen禿tof百per造form弓ance奪or辰func坦tion燙san席din歉ter-減syst周emc輔oord隸inat綢ion坡ofa棒lls個yste岡ms,融incl陷udin弄gfo抗unda何tion做bel鼻owl書ines志,ve練hicl勒es,由comm冊unic兵atio猛nsi匆gnal辟,tr壟acti砍onp旨ower末sup幣ply,棍ope吩rati比ond棕ispa剛tch角and旦pass棍enge脅rtr券ansp眼ort礦serv糟ice.通過系統(tǒng)憑聯調聯試構工作，測悲試、評價障軌道交通鎮(zhèn)各系統(tǒng)設臺計的安全峰性、可靠繼性、平穩(wěn)其性等一系易列技術性泄能。Thr糊oug陣hj午oin焦td臟ebu腎ggi蝴ng質and敏co神mmi態(tài)ssi石oni姜ng醒of嫩sys孩tem敢s,壺ar屆ang裹eo蘇ft敲ech濾nic葡al沈per計for膝man叛ces斗,l投ike體sa歇fet境y,領rel容iab洽ili考ty壯and傷st慈abi沫lit鉗yo否ft皇he鐘des問ign龍of誰al懇lr府ail跌tr夸ans漲it狂sys撕tem宜s,挎are欄te底ste副da執(zhí)nd五eva貴lua熔ted體.在“V”嫩生命周期已模型中的寄試驗驗證Expe詠rime狼ntal溫ver挎ific怕atio肚nin睡Vl療ife縮慧cycl螺emo杠del2.坡軌道交購通機電拔設備技愚術發(fā)展廊趨勢Deve榨lopm秩ent縫Tren勤dof虜Rai球lTr慕ansi誦tMe俗chan稻ical西-Ele峰ctri礦cal瘦Plan向tTe某chno醬logy軌道交通傅系統(tǒng)聯調沿技術Joi進nt游deb草ugg愿ing常te烘chn墳olo豎gy償in叫rai叉lt故ran蝴sit名sy趴ste攏m3.軌若道交通機揪電設備監(jiān)滲理服務的哀機遇與挑臥戰(zhàn)Oppo蘇rtun利itie傘san愈dCh莫alle盼nges抬of寧Rail役Tra廚nsit覺Mec廳hani浪cal-灘Elec館tric壩alP記lant卵Eng緊inee佳ring豆Con苗sult身ing粥Serv電ice軌道交弓通設備同發(fā)展對糧設備咨窮詢監(jiān)理扶行業(yè)服辰務規(guī)模嚼預計Est田ima線tio立no吧fr忍ail家tr俗ans法it市pla嘴nt倦gro伙wth罪co器ntr虎ibu思tin淚gt報ot妻he甚ser塊vic叼es委cal排eo茅fp費lan牌te細ngi坑nee有rin汁gc柏ons源ult黃ing逼in屢dus飛try軌道交胸通建設井為工程認咨詢監(jiān)子理行業(yè)媽提供發(fā)筒展機遇柏。Rail朗tra查nsit著con悟stru卸ctio省npr膽ovid場eso芳ppor龍tuni除ties聽for收dev辦elop輪ment凡of店cons濱ulti兼nge枝ngin摔eeri揚ngi陰ndus抽try.鐵路機既電設備桑咨詢監(jiān)海理年需書求（預棕計）：凡1竹0億元怒/年Ann齡ual賽de索man咱do春nr喂ail興way競me盜cha忠nic峰al-亮ele月ctr食ica唯lp慈lan環(huán)te鑼ngi識nee澡rin揮gc宣ons閘ult盆ing婦:腫1B捕ill氣ion歷RM書B/y惜ear（不含個車輛投蟻資部分烘，按年嶼設備投立資額約資100士0億的秧1%計關）(exc期ludi未ngi捎nves列tmen斷tin討veh剖icle膠s,c迷alcu喘late漠dac蜻cord站ing刺to1陣%of左abo脾uta迷nnua末lin關vest愧ment朵on先plan霸tsa蠟t10枯0Bi霧llio耽nRM程B城市軌刊道交通煉設備咨焦詢監(jiān)理穩(wěn)需求（始預計）咐：廉1拾1億元濟/年（按年廉投資額榆550抖億的2融%計）Dema誕ndo獲nur德ban嚇rail慘tra端nsit狡pla惹nte剩ngin教eeri亦ngc發(fā)onsu貓ltin嶺g(a岸ntic德ipat毫ed):蔑1.1戰(zhàn)Bil間lion散RMB蛙/yea交r合計：臨21優(yōu)億元/患年Tota私l:尸2.1檔Bil絞lion秋RMB枯/yea碎r隨著社會偵化服務的撿加強和完肯善，總體肆上，需求錫將逐年穩(wěn)斤步增長Wit歸hs毯oci毒ali婆zed批se早rvi芝ces水be沖ing廊st癥ren缸gth所ene較da片nd禽imp床rov驚ed,射on靈th刊ew鳳hol頃e,吉the置de度man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