定量分析方法(定量分析方法清華大學韓延春)

個人收集整理資料，僅供交流學習，勿作商業(yè)用途個人收集整理資料，僅供交流學習，勿作商業(yè)用途#/19下表是漢密爾頓縣的法庭1994－1996年間處理的所有案件以及上訴和被推翻原判的情況。中級訴訟庭法官處理案件總數(shù)上訴案件總數(shù)推翻原判案件數(shù)目FredCartolano303713712ThomasCrush337211910PatrickDinkelacker1258448TinothyHogan1954607RobertKraft31381277WilliamMathews22649118WilliamMorrissey303212122NorbertNadel295913120ArthurNey,Jr.321912514RichardNiehaus335313716ThomasNurre30001216JonhO'Connor296912912RobertRuehlman320514518J.HowardSundermann9556010AnnMarieTracey314112713RalphWinkler3089886合計439451762199

民事庭法官處理案件總數(shù)上訴案件總數(shù)推翻原判案件數(shù)目PenelopeCunningham272971PatrickDinkelacker6001194DeborahGaines8799489RonaldPanioto12970323合計3049910617地方庭法官處理案件總數(shù)上訴案件總數(shù)推翻原判案件數(shù)目MikeAllen6149434NadineAllen7812346TimothyBlack7954416DavidDavis7736435LeslieIsaiahGaines52823513KarlaGrady525360DeidraHair253250DennisHelmick7900295TimothyHogan2308132JamesPatrickKenney279861JosephLuebbers4698258WilliamMallory8277389MelbaMarsh8219347BethMattingly2971131AlbertMestemaker4975289MarkPainter223973JackRosen77904113MarkSchweiker5403336DavidStockdate5371224JohnA.West279742合計108464500104管理報告:準備對法官們進行評定的報告。并且要包含有關在三個法庭中上訴和推翻原判的可能性分析。你的報告至少應包括以下內(nèi)容：6ewMyirQFL在三個不同法庭中案件被上訴和推翻原判的概率。各個法官所處理的案件被上訴的概率。各個法官所處理的案件被推翻原判的概率。對于一名法官，給定其處理的案件被上訴的條件下，推翻原判的概率。對每一法庭的法官們進行評定。闡述你用來作為評定依據(jù)的標準。管理報告1.三個不同法庭中案件被上訴和推翻原判的概率法庭中級訴訟庭民事庭地方庭被上訴的概率〈％）4.00.40.5推翻原判的概率〈％）0.50.060.102.各個法官所處理的案件被上訴的概率中級訴訟庭法官處理案件總上訴案件總被上訴的概率

數(shù)數(shù)〈％）FredCartolano30371374.51ThomasCrush33721193.53PatrickDinkelacker1258443.50TinothyHogan1954603.07RobertKraft31381274.05WilliamMathews2264914.02WilliamMorrissey30321214.00NorbertNadel29591314.43ArthurNey,Jr.32191253.88RichardNiehaus33531374.09ThomasNurre30001214.03JonhO'Connor29691294.34RobertRuehlman32051454.52J.HowardSundermann955606.28AnnMarieTracey31411274.04RalphWinkler3089882.85民事庭法官處理案件總數(shù)上訴案件總數(shù)被上訴的概率<%）PenelopeCunningham272970.26PatrickDinkelacker6001190.32DeborahGaines8799480.55RonaldPanioto12970320.25地方庭法官處理案件總數(shù)上訴案件總數(shù)被上訴的概率〈％）

MikeAllen6149430.70NadineAllen7812340.44TimothyBlack7954410.52DavidDavis7736430.56LeslieIsaiahGaines5282350.66KarlaGrady525360.11DeidraHair253250.20DennisHelmick7900290.37TimothyHogan2308130.56JamesPatrickKenney279860.21JosephLuebbers4698250.53WilliamMallory8277380.46MelbaMarsh8219340.41BethMattingly2971130.44AlbertMestemaker4975280.56MarkPainter223970.31JackRosen7790410.53MarkSchweiker5403330.61DavidStockdate5371220.41JohnA.West279740.143.各個法官所處理的案件被推翻原判的概率中級訴訟庭法官處理案件總數(shù)推翻原判案件數(shù)目推翻原判的概率〈％）FredCartolano3037120.40ThomasCrush3372100.30PatrickDinkelacker125880.64TinothyHogan195470.36RobertKraft313870.22

WilliamMathews2264180.80WilliamMorrissey3032220.73NorbertNadel2959200.68ArthurNey,Jr.3219140.43RichardNiehaus3353160.48ThomasNurre300060.2JonhO'Connor2969120.40RobertRuehlman3205180.56J.HowardSundermann955101.05AnnMarieTracey3141130.41RalphWinkler308960.19民事庭法官處理案件總數(shù)推翻原判案件數(shù)目推翻原判的概率〈％）PenelopeCunningham272910.04PatrickDinkelacker600140.07DeborahGaines879990.10RonaldPanioto1297030.02地方庭法官處理案件總數(shù)推翻原判案件數(shù)目推翻原判的概率〈％）MikeAllen614940.07NadineAllen781260.08TimothyBlack795460.08DavidDavis773650.06LeslieIsaiahGaines5282130.25KarlaGrady525300

DeidraHair253200DennisHelmick790050.06TimothyHogan230820.09JamesPatrickKenney279810.04JosephLuebbers469880.17WilliamMallory827790.11MelbaMarsh821970.09BethMattingly297110.03AlbertMestemaker497590.18MarkPainter223930.13JackRosen7790130.17MarkSchweiker540360.11DavidStockdate537140.07JohnA.West279720.074.對于一名法官，給定其處理的案件被上訴的條件下，推翻原判的概率。設事件人=案件被推翻原判，事件B=案件被上訴，則P（A/B〉=案件被上訴條件下推翻原判的概率。由條件概率公式：P（A/B〉=P〈AGB）/P〈B）kavU42VRUs則對于一名法官，給定其處理的案件被上訴的條件下，推翻原判的概率分別為：中級訴訟庭法官上訴案件總數(shù)推翻原判案件數(shù)目案件被上訴的條件下推翻原判的概率（%>FredCartolano137128.76ThomasCrush119108.40

PatrickDinkelacker44818.18TinothyHogan60711.67RobertKraft12775.51WilliamMathews911819.78WilliamMorrissey1212218.18NorbertNadel1312015.27ArthurNey,Jr.1251411.2RichardNiehaus1371611.68ThomasNurre12164.96JonhO'Connor129129.30RobertRuehlman1451812.41J.HowardSundermann601016.67AnnMarieTracey1271310.24RalphWinkler8866.82民事庭法官上訴案件總數(shù)推翻原判案件數(shù)目案件被上訴的條件下推翻原判的概率(%〉PenelopeCunningham7114.29PatrickDinkelacker19421.05DeborahGaines48918.75RonaldPanioto3239.38地方庭法官上訴案件總數(shù)推翻原判案件數(shù)目案件被上訴的條件下推翻原判的概率(%>MikeAllen4349.30

NadineAllen34617.65TimothyBlack41614.63DavidDavis43511.63LeslieIsaiahGaines351337.14KarlaGrady600DeidraHair500DennisHelmick29517.24TimothyHogan1328JamesPatrickKenney6116.67JosephLuebbers25832WilliamMallory38923.68MelbaMarsh34720.59BethMattingly1317.69AlbertMestemaker28932.14MarkPainter7342.86JackRosen411331.71MarkSchweiker33618.18DavidStockdate22418.18JohnA.West42505.對每一法庭的法官們進行評定，闡述你用來作為評定依據(jù)的標準?；旧峡梢杂糜擅课环ü賵?zhí)行的案件在被上訴的條件下被推翻原判的概率來評定一個法官。如果這個值比較高，則說明這個法官的執(zhí)法相對差一些；如果這個值比較低，則說明這個法官的執(zhí)法相對公正。y6v3ALoS89在對各個法庭進行評定之前，計算各法庭的幾項指標如下：法庭中級訴訟庭民事庭地方庭被上訴的概率〈％）4.00.40.5推翻原判的概率〈％）0.50.060.1案件