我國IT與消費電子市場分析與發(fā)展趨勢展望

1、0.0200.0400.0600.0800.01,000.01,200.01,400.01,600.01,800.00.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%Hardware1,250.7 1,425.5 1,584.1 Software230.00 285.00 344.96 Service259.80 323.10 429.30 GR(HW)22.6%14.0%11.1%GR(SW)30.7%23.9%21.0%GR(SEV)34.2%24.4%32.9%2000200120020.0100.0200.0300.0400.0500.0600.07

2、00.0800.00.0%2.0%4.0%6.0%8.0%10.0%12.0%14.0%16.0%02H1Rev.672.4 148.6 176.4 03H1Rev.710.6 161.6 200.4 Growt Rate5.7%8.8%13.6%HardwareSoftwareService453.770.570.877.9%14.2%39.2%10.0%5.6%5.5%0.050.0100.0150.0200.0250.0300.0350.0400.0450.0500.0臺式PCPC服務(wù)器筆記本電腦RISC服務(wù)器Unix工作站NT工作站0.0%5.0%10.0%15.

3、0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%45.0%20022003Growth Rate臺式臺式PC279.0 287.3 3.0%PC服務(wù)器服務(wù)器29.30 29.70 1.4%筆記本電腦筆記本電腦55.10 69.07 25.4%RISC服務(wù)器服務(wù)器30.28 31.61 4.4%Unix工作站工作站8.3 8.5 2.9%NT工作站工作站2.39 2.58 8.0%12.48.611.243.7-5.1%-9.6%3.4%-2.9%3.8%85.6%-1.4%0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.0顯示器打印機多功能

4、一體機投影機掃描儀UPS磁盤存儲系統(tǒng)-20.0%0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%100.0%03H1Rev.02-03GR1.626.422.02.41.715.0%3.9%13.8%179.6%237.3%-33.9%1.1%5.5%0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.0Modem 集線器 交換機 路由器 網(wǎng)卡ADSL WLAN 總計-50.0%0.0%50.0%100.0%150.0%200.0%250.0%300.0%03H1Rev.02-03GRShare:77.8%Share:12.1%42.4107.811.4161.62

5、.5%11.7%6.4%8.8%0.020.040.060.080.0100.0120.0140.0160.0180.0平臺軟件應(yīng)用軟件中間軟件總計0.0%2.0%4.0%6.0%8.0%10.0%12.0%14.0%02H1Rev.03H1Rev.GR(02-03)MiddlePlatformAPP.52.1443.8%52.2%21.4%12.6%30.7%23.9%8.8%21.1%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%2000年2001年2002年2003上半年012345中間件銷售額（億元）中間件增長率軟件增長率郵政交通能源流通媒介科研教育政府電信醫(yī)療制造金融-1

6、0%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%0.0200040006000800028.4%72.158.370.0200.40.2%-4.5%61.4%13.6%0.050.0100.0150.0200.0250.0專業(yè)服務(wù)支持與維護(hù)網(wǎng)絡(luò)服務(wù)總計-10.0%0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%70.0%03H1Rev.GR(02-03)8.77.338.817.3-13.9%5.2%-3.2%16.4%0.05.010.015.020.025.030.035.040.045.0IT教育與培訓(xùn)IT咨詢系統(tǒng)集成運營管理-20.0%-15.0%-10.0%

7、-5.0%0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%03H1Rev.GR(02-03)9.6%10.1%55.7%53.9%14.0%12.1%20.6%24.0%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%20022003IT咨詢系統(tǒng)集成IT教育與培訓(xùn)運營管理03H1Rev.=72.1億元人民幣億元人民幣231.7247.8199.5116.976.2109.491.22.1%3.7%10.5%14.6%8.9%9.8%11.5%0.050.0100.0150.0200.0250.0300.0華北華東華南西南西北華中東北0.0%2.0%4.0%6.0%8.0%10.

8、0%12.0%14.0%16.0%2003H1Rev.02-03GR83.7349.7150.2363.6125.53.1%10.8%9.1%5.7%13.4%050100150200250300350400Gov. Edu.LBSMBHome0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%03Rev.02-03GR11.9%11.7%7.4%7.8%34.0%32.6%32.9%33.9%13.8%14.0%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%20022003Gov.Edu.LBSMBHome郵政交通能源流通媒介科研教育政府電信制造醫(yī)療建筑金融其它-10%-5%0%

9、5%10%15%20%25%30%35%0.050.0100.0150.0200.003H1市場規(guī)模，億元人民幣0.01,000.02,000.03,000.04,000.05,000.06,000.0IT Service510.0 640.0 825.2 1,035.0 1,265.0 Software395.5 486.8 605.2 745.2 900.0 Hardware1,739.0 2,004.6 2,355.2 2,715.6 3,069.9 2003年2004年2005年2006年2007年65.8%64.0%62.2%60.4%58.6%15.0%15.5%16.0%16.6

10、%17.2%19.3%20.4%21.8%23.0%24.2%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%2003年2004年2005年2006年2007年HardwareSoftwareIT ServiceNetworksApp.&OthersPeripheralsComputerSystemIT ServiceSoftware0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%0.0500.01,000.01,500.02,000.0(900,21.1%)(305,17.8%)(490.2,15.1%)(500.8,9.4%)(1773.9,14

11、.8%)(1265,24.1%)165.0227.5298.5387.2481.4648.9744.2844.9944.51018.267.680.296.9115.4135.00.0300.0600.0900.01200.01500.01800.02003年2004年2005年2006年2007年NotebookDesktopServer115.0170.0235.0320.0415.01030.01220.01420.01620.01780.027.633.741.650.660.01172.61423.71696.61990.62255.0441.7245.6270.224.756.6-

12、3.7%115.9%-14.0%75.3%8.6%0.050.0100.0150.0200.0250.0300.0350.0400.0450.0500.0DVD影碟機DVD影碟機 普通CRT普通CRT背投彩電背投彩電等離子彩電等離子彩電液晶彩電液晶彩電-40.0%-20.0%0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%100.0%120.0%140.0%07RevenueCAGR03-07486.8605.2900.0745.2395.520.8%23.1%24.3%23.1%14.7%0.0100.0200.0300.0400.0500.0600.0700.0800.0900.01000

13、.02003年2004年2005年2006年2007年0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%RevenueGR Y/YCAGR=21.1%100M RMB0.0200.0400.0600.0800.01000.0Middle22.6 28.8 39.8 57.1 75.4 95.2 Platform99.7 107.3 127.6 152.2 177.4 204.8 Applications222.7 259.4 319.3 395.9 492.4 600.0 2002年2003年2004年2005年2006年2007年100M RMB510.0640.0825.2

14、1,035.01,265.022.2%25.4%28.9%18.8%25.5%0.0200.0400.0600.0800.01,000.01,200.01,400.0200320042005200620070.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%RevenueGR Y/YCAGR=24.1%100M RMB163.4222.8301.9391.7490.0193.4241.1313.6397.9494.3153.3176.1209.7245.4280.80.0500.01000.01500.020032004200520062007Network Servi

15、ceProfessional serviceSupport&maintainance100M RMBIntegration, 224.8, 19.7% Training, 56.7, 17.5%Operation Managment, 121.9, 29.5%IT Consulting, 90.9, 36.2%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%0.050.0100.0150.0200.0250.0Large Business, 1089.1 11.5% SMB, 1278.0 18.1% Home,598.9 21.2%Goverement,502.7 21.6%Education, 316.9 20.5%8.0%10.0%12.0%14.0%16.0%18.0%20.0%22.0%24.0%0.0500.01000.01500.0保險證券交通能源教育政府銀行電信制造家庭10.0%12.0%14.0%16.0%18.0%20.0%22.0%24.0%0.0300.0600.0900.01200.01500.01800.0市場