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Part1INTERNATIONALTRADETHEORYPart1INTERNATIONALTRADETHEOBasicAnalyticalToolsGeneralEquilibriumAnalysis一般均衡法GEAmeansanalyzingtwoormorethantworelatedmarketsatthesametime(eg.ExportMarketandImportMarket,GoodsMarketandFactorMarket)WeusuallyusethePPFandCICasthebasictoolsinthegeneralequilibriumanalysisofinternationaltrade.PartialEquilibriumAnalysis局部均衡法PEAmeansonlyanalyzingsinglemarketinonetimeWeusuallyusetheDemandCurveandtheSupplyCurveasthebasictoolsinthepartialequilibriumanalysis.BasicAnalyticalToolsGeneralGeneralEquilibriumAnalysisSupplySide:ProductionPossibilityFrontier(PPF)生產(chǎn)可能性曲線國際貿(mào)易實(shí)際上是國際市場(chǎng)上的供給(出口)與需求(進(jìn)口)問題。為了研究一國能夠出口什么,需要進(jìn)口什么,我們必須先研究一國的生產(chǎn)能力。在經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中,為了表現(xiàn)整個(gè)國家的能生產(chǎn)什么,我們常常使用一種稱為“生產(chǎn)可能性曲線”的圖形。DemandSide:CommunityIndifferenceCurves(CIC)社會(huì)無差異曲線雖然在一個(gè)國家或經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)里,每個(gè)人都有自己的消費(fèi)偏好,很難找到一組能反映每一個(gè)消費(fèi)者滿足程度的無差異曲線,但我們?nèi)匀荒苡靡环从称骄M(fèi)效用的或反映大多數(shù)人消費(fèi)偏好的無差異曲線圖來分析,我們稱之為“社會(huì)無差異曲線”。社會(huì)無差異曲線反映一國的平均消費(fèi)偏好。GeneralEquilibriumAnalysisSu
ProductionPossibilityFrontierConception:PPF:Pointsdescribingalternativecombinationsofoutputlevels(生產(chǎn)組合)
fortwodifferentproductstobeproducedbygivenresources(既定的資源條件)生產(chǎn)可能性曲線(ProductionPossibilityFrontier,簡稱PPF)表明一個(gè)國家在充分和有效地使用其所有資源時(shí)能生產(chǎn)的各種商品數(shù)量的組合。QRQwPPFABCDETheshapeofPPFisdecidedbytheopportunityofcostofgoods。ProductionPossibilityFrontiOpportunityCostandPPFOpportunityCost(機(jī)會(huì)成本)Thecostofanactivityintermsofsacrificednextbestalternativeusesoftheassetsinvolved.Canalsobeformulatedas“amountofproduct2wemustgiveuptoproduceaunitofproduct1”.(生產(chǎn)一單位商品1所必須放棄的生產(chǎn)商品2的數(shù)量)OpportunityCostandPPFOpportOpportunityCostandPPF假設(shè)有大米(Rice)和小麥(Wheat)兩種商品。那么,大米的“機(jī)會(huì)成本”就是為了多生產(chǎn)一單位大米而必須放棄小麥的數(shù)量(QW/QR)。從幾何概念講,這也是PPF的斜率。PPFQRQwBCQRQwOpportunityCostandPPF假設(shè)有大米(QCConstantCostsQCDecreasingCostsQCIncreasingCostsQCQwPPFQCQwPPFQwQCPPF機(jī)會(huì)成本可以是不變的、遞增的或遞減的。相應(yīng)地,生產(chǎn)可能性曲線也就出現(xiàn)了直線的、外凸的或里凹的不同形狀.QCConstantCostsQCDecreasingCCommunityIndifferenceCurve
(社會(huì)無差異曲線)HigherSatisfactionthepointsdescribingsamelevelofsatisfaction(orutility)bygivenresource.CommunityIndifferenceCurve
(GEunderAutarky
(PPFwithconstantopportunitycosts)PPFQRQWQR1QW1GEunderAutarky
(PPFwithconPartialEquilibriumAnalysis在局部均衡分析中,我們只分析某個(gè)具體的商品市場(chǎng)或要素市場(chǎng)的情況,如中國的大米市場(chǎng)或中國的小麥?zhǔn)袌?chǎng),而不是同時(shí)分析這兩個(gè)市場(chǎng)。PartialEquilibriumunderautarkyPartialEquilibriumunderopeneconomyPartialEquilibriumAnalysis在局PartialEquilibriumunderautarkyQRPR/PW0SD231shortsurplusPartialEquilibriumunderautaCommoditymarketsinanOpen
Economy3X2MQRPRDSUSQRPRWorldMarketQRPRDSChina32CommoditymarketsinanOpen
E在本書的“國際貿(mào)易理論”中,我們主要運(yùn)用一般均衡的分析方法來分析貿(mào)易利得,表現(xiàn)為貿(mào)易前后社會(huì)無差異曲線水平的變化;
在本書的“國際貿(mào)易政策”中,我們將運(yùn)用局部均衡的方法來分析貿(mào)易利得,表現(xiàn)為消費(fèi)者剩余、生產(chǎn)者剩余和凈福利的增減。在本書的“國際貿(mào)易理論”中,我們主要運(yùn)用一般均衡的分析方法來
ComparativeAdvantageModelCHAPTER2
ComparativeAdvantageModelCHLimitationoftheSmith’sModelHomeForeignLabor100100GoodsCloth10080Wheat50100Produc-tivityClothWheatInthiscase,Foreignhastheabsoluteadvantageinbothgoods(itisverycommonforadevelopedcountrytohaveabsoluteadvantagesinmostsectors).AccordingtotheSmiththeory,therewillbenotrade.(Really?)15010.51.51LimitationoftheSmith’sModeComparativeAdvantageTheoryDavidRicardoComparativeAdvantageRicardo’sModelDiscussion1:MisconceptionsaboutComparativeAdvantageComparativeAdvantageTheoryDaDavidRicardo(1772-1823)HewasborninLondonandwasthethirdof17children.hadlittleformaleducationandwenttoworkforhisfatherattheageof14,successfully.attheageof27,turnedhisattentiontoeconomic.Oneofthegreatestpoliticaleconomists.DavidRicardo(1772-1823)Hewas“PrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy,andTaxation”“PrinciplesofPoliticalEco自由貿(mào)易政策的初次嘗試從亞當(dāng)·斯密以后的短時(shí)期間,英國人口的實(shí)際增長使谷物需求超過了供給,使一蒲式耳小麥的價(jià)格漲了三倍。于是有膽量的商人進(jìn)口國外的小麥和燕麥。海外來的廉價(jià)谷物泛濫市場(chǎng)是地主們所難以忍受的。他們控制議會(huì)通過了“谷物法”,對(duì)谷物的進(jìn)口規(guī)定了一個(gè)有伸縮性的稅收制度,國外價(jià)格越低,則征稅越高。谷物價(jià)格飛漲!一蒲式耳小麥的售價(jià)等于一個(gè)工人的每周全部工資的兩倍。自由貿(mào)易政策的初次嘗試從亞當(dāng)·斯密以后的短時(shí)期間,英國人口的李嘉圖認(rèn)為:谷物價(jià)格上升會(huì)使地主地租收入上升,農(nóng)業(yè)工人收入上升,同時(shí)生活費(fèi)用上升,工廠工人工資上升,資本家的利潤下降,導(dǎo)致資本積累減少。所以李嘉圖認(rèn)為必須廢除《谷物法》實(shí)行自由貿(mào)易。出口工業(yè)制成品,進(jìn)口國外價(jià)格低廉的生活必需品,提高國內(nèi)生活必需品的供給,使工資水平下降,利潤水平提高,積累增加,社會(huì)財(cái)富增加。1846年,英國議會(huì)通過廢除《谷物法》的法令。李嘉圖認(rèn)為:22$25$25$30$22$25$25$30$FamilyIncome5*25=1255*30=1505*22=1105*25=1255100*25=010*30=30010*22=2200*25=052010*25=2500*30=00*22=010*25=250500FamilyIncome5*25=1255*30=1505BestCooperationinFamilySo,thebestdivisionoflaborinonefamilyisthatwomendoinghouseworkandmengoingoutforwork.“兩利相權(quán)取其重,兩弊相權(quán)取其輕?!盬omenhavecomparativeadvantageinhousework,andmenhavecomparativeadvantageinout-house-work.BestCooperationinFamilySo,Ricardo’sModelBasicAssumptionsPPFOpportunityCostRelativePriceDifferenceinrelativepriceInternationalTradeundercomparativeadvantageGainfromTradeRicardo’sModelBasicAssumptioBasicAssumptionsOneinput(單一要素):Labor(L)Twooutputs:Wine(Qw)andCheese(Qc)Twocountries:
HomeandForeign(*)Costsareconstantandtherearenoeconomiesofscale.
Factorsofproductionareperfectlymobile(生產(chǎn)要素完全流動(dòng)).Otherassumptions:Goodsareidentical(產(chǎn)品同質(zhì)).Perfectknowledge(信息完全).Notransportcosts(沒有運(yùn)輸成本).Notariffsorothertradebarriers(沒有貿(mào)易壁壘).BasicAssumptionsOneinput(單一要QCQWHome’sPPF:aLCQC+aLwQw≤L當(dāng)本國完全生產(chǎn)奶酪時(shí),QC=L/aLC當(dāng)本國完全生產(chǎn)葡萄酒時(shí),QW=L/aLWL/aLW·L/aLC·SlopofPPF(斜率):aLC/aLW生產(chǎn)一單位奶酪的機(jī)會(huì)成本是:QW/QC=aLC/aLW=QCQWHome’sPPF:aLCQC+aLwQw≤Foreign’sPPF:a*LCQ*C+a*LwQ*w≤L*Q*CQ*WL*/a*LW·L*/a*LC·SlopofPPF*(斜率):a*LC/a*LW
當(dāng)外國完全生產(chǎn)奶酪時(shí),Q*C=L*/a*LC當(dāng)外國完全生產(chǎn)葡萄酒時(shí),Q*W=L*/a*LW外國生產(chǎn)一單位奶酪的機(jī)會(huì)成本是:Q*W/Q*C=a*LC/a*LW=Foreign’sPPF:a*LCQ*C+a*LwQ*opportunitycost&relativepriceIntheautarky,bothcountrieshavetoproducebothgoodsforthemselves.Letsconsiderthewageoflaborinbothsector:
WC=PCMPLC;WW=PWMPLW→WC=PC/
aLC;WW=PW/aLWTheremustbeWC=WW,becauselaborareperfectlymobileSo,PC/
aLC=PW/aLW→PC/PW=aLC/aLW
opportunitycost&relativeprPC/PW=aLC/aLWInacompetitiveeconomy,onlywhentherelativepriceofgoods(PC/PW)
equaltotheopportunitycostofgoods(aLC/
aLw),willthelaborsproducebothgoods.在一個(gè)自由競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的封閉社會(huì),只有當(dāng)兩種商品的相對(duì)價(jià)格等于它們的機(jī)會(huì)成本時(shí),勞動(dòng)者才會(huì)同時(shí)生產(chǎn)這兩種商品。PC/PW=aLC/aLWInacompetitiRelativePriceDifference
(相對(duì)價(jià)格差)本國奶酪的相對(duì)價(jià)格PC/PW
=aLC/
aLw外國奶酪的相對(duì)價(jià)格P*C/P*W
=a*LC/
a*LwIfthereisrelativepricedifferencebetweentheHomeandtheForeign,internationaltrademayhappen.如果本國奶酪的相對(duì)價(jià)格<外國奶酪的相對(duì)價(jià)格aLC/
aLw
<a*LC/
a*LwHomewillhasthecomparativeadvantageinCheeseRelativePriceDifference
(相對(duì)價(jià)aLC/
aLw
<
a*LC/
a*LwQCQWL/aLW·L/aLC·Slop:aLC/aLWHomeQ*CQ*WL*/a*LW·L*/a*LC·Slop:a*LC/a*LW
Foreign從圖形上直觀地看,當(dāng)本國PPF斜率小于外國PPF斜率(較平坦)時(shí),本國在奶酪上有比較優(yōu)勢(shì)aLC/aLw<a*LC/a*LwQCQWL/aLW2004我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易首現(xiàn)貿(mào)逆差據(jù)海關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口增幅大大超過出口增幅,農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易由2003年同期順差19.4億美元轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)槟娌?5億美元。2004我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易首現(xiàn)貿(mào)逆差據(jù)海關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)從海關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)來看,高額逆差的產(chǎn)生主要緣自三大農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口數(shù)量的增加:一是谷物類,二是作為工業(yè)原料的棉花和糖,三是近年來出口快速增長的畜禽產(chǎn)品。從海關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)來看,高額逆差的產(chǎn)生主要緣自三大農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口數(shù)量AccordingtoRicardo’sRule,eachcountryshouldspecializeinandexporttheproductinwhichithasacomparativeadvantage
(各個(gè)國家應(yīng)專業(yè)生產(chǎn)并出口那些他們具有比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的產(chǎn)品)Inthiscase,HomeshouldbespecializedinproductionofcheeseandForeignshouldproducewine.InternationalTradeunderthecomparativeadvantageAccordingtoRicardo’sRule,eDeterminingtheRelativePriceafterTrade奶酪的世界相對(duì)價(jià)格,(PC/PW)w奶酪的相對(duì)產(chǎn)量,QC/QC+WaLC/aLWa*LC/a*LW1.SupplySide(RelativeSupply):1).(PC/PW)w
<
aLC/aLW,nocountrieswanttoproducecheese2).(PC/PW)w
=
aLC/aLW,Homeindifferencetobothgoods·3).aLC/aLW<
(PC/PW)w
<
a*LC/a*LW,Homespecializedincheese,andForeignspecializedinwine4).(PC/PW)w
=aLC/aLW,Foreignindifferencetobothgoods5).(PC/PW)w
>
a*LC/a*LW,bothcountriesspecializedincheeseRSRDRD’DeterminingtheRelativePriceSpecializations&Trade
(專業(yè)化生產(chǎn)與國際貿(mào)易)Thenormalresultoftradeisthattherelativepriceofatradedgoodsendedupsomewhereinbetweenitspretradelevelsinthetwocountries.aLC/
aLw<(PC/PW)w<a*LC/
a*LwSpecializations&Trade
(專業(yè)化生產(chǎn)Willthetrademutualbeneficial?Themutualgaincanbedemonstratedintwoways(兩種方法可以證明):1)thinkoftradeasanindirectmethodofproduction:Now,thereis1hourlabor,Homecanproduce1/aLwwine,orHomecanproduce1/aLCcheeseandexportitforwine,
(1/aLC)×(PC/PW)w
>
(1/aLC)×PC/PW=(1/aLC)×aLC/
aLw
=1/aLwThatshowsthatHomecan“produce”winemoreefficientlybymakingcheeseandtradingit.WillthetrademutualbeneficiWillthetrademutualbeneficial?2)toexaminehowtradeaffectseachcountry’spossibilitiesforconsumption:QCQWL/aLW·L/aLC·Pretrade:aLC/aLWHome·貿(mào)易后的專業(yè)化生產(chǎn)點(diǎn)貿(mào)易后相對(duì)價(jià)格線貿(mào)易擴(kuò)大了各國消費(fèi)選擇的范圍,因此提高了各國居民的福利水平。WillthetrademutualbeneficiExampleWhichcountryhasthecomparativeadvantageincloth?Andwhichcountryhasthecomparativeadvantageinwheat?Pleaseshowtheeffectsoftradeaccordingtothecomparativeadvantagetheory.HomeForeignLabor100100GoodsCloth10080Wheat50100150ExampleWhichcountryhasthecFirstStep:PPF→RelativePriceHomeForeignQcQW05010050PPFPC/PW=0.5PPFP*C/P*W=0.67QRQW05010050100150FirstStep:PPF→RelativePriceHSecondStep:
ComparativeAdvantage
→TradePatternBecause0.5=PC/PW<
P*C/P*W=0.67Homehasadvantageincloth;Foreignhasadvantageinwheat.So,Homeshouldspecializeinandexportcloth,andForeignshouldspecializeinandexportwheat.PC/PW<
(PC/PW)w<
P*C/P*WSecondStep:
ComparativeAdvanThirdStep:gainfromtrade1)thinkoftradeasanindirectmethodofproduction:Inautarky,Homecanuse100laborproduce50wheat;Now,homespecializeinproducing100cloth;Assume(PC/PW)W=0.6,100clothcanbeexchangeto60wheat,whichmorethanproducingbyitself.ThirdStep:gainfromtrade1)thThirdStep:gainfromtrade2)toexaminehowtradeaffectseachcountry’spossibilitiesforconsumption:PC/PW=0.5HomeQcQW0501005060(PC/PW)w=0.6社會(huì)無差異曲線的右移代表社會(huì)滿足程度(福利的提高)ThirdStep:gainfromtrade2)toDiscussion1:
MisconceptionsaboutCAProductivityandCompetitiveness(勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率和競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力)ThePauperLaborArgument(貧民勞動(dòng)論)Exploitation(剝削)Discussion1:
MisconceptionsaEvaluationAlfredMarshall,1842-1924“Thatdoctrine...establishedbyRicardo...Idonotknowthatanypersonhasshakenitintheleast,infact,Idonotmyselfbelievethatithaseverbeenseriouslyattackedbyanyonewhohastakenthetroubletounderstandit”EvaluationAlfredMarshall,184Part1INTERNATIONALTRADETHEORYPart1INTERNATIONALTRADETHEOBasicAnalyticalToolsGeneralEquilibriumAnalysis一般均衡法GEAmeansanalyzingtwoormorethantworelatedmarketsatthesametime(eg.ExportMarketandImportMarket,GoodsMarketandFactorMarket)WeusuallyusethePPFandCICasthebasictoolsinthegeneralequilibriumanalysisofinternationaltrade.PartialEquilibriumAnalysis局部均衡法PEAmeansonlyanalyzingsinglemarketinonetimeWeusuallyusetheDemandCurveandtheSupplyCurveasthebasictoolsinthepartialequilibriumanalysis.BasicAnalyticalToolsGeneralGeneralEquilibriumAnalysisSupplySide:ProductionPossibilityFrontier(PPF)生產(chǎn)可能性曲線國際貿(mào)易實(shí)際上是國際市場(chǎng)上的供給(出口)與需求(進(jìn)口)問題。為了研究一國能夠出口什么,需要進(jìn)口什么,我們必須先研究一國的生產(chǎn)能力。在經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中,為了表現(xiàn)整個(gè)國家的能生產(chǎn)什么,我們常常使用一種稱為“生產(chǎn)可能性曲線”的圖形。DemandSide:CommunityIndifferenceCurves(CIC)社會(huì)無差異曲線雖然在一個(gè)國家或經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)里,每個(gè)人都有自己的消費(fèi)偏好,很難找到一組能反映每一個(gè)消費(fèi)者滿足程度的無差異曲線,但我們?nèi)匀荒苡靡环从称骄M(fèi)效用的或反映大多數(shù)人消費(fèi)偏好的無差異曲線圖來分析,我們稱之為“社會(huì)無差異曲線”。社會(huì)無差異曲線反映一國的平均消費(fèi)偏好。GeneralEquilibriumAnalysisSu
ProductionPossibilityFrontierConception:PPF:Pointsdescribingalternativecombinationsofoutputlevels(生產(chǎn)組合)
fortwodifferentproductstobeproducedbygivenresources(既定的資源條件)生產(chǎn)可能性曲線(ProductionPossibilityFrontier,簡稱PPF)表明一個(gè)國家在充分和有效地使用其所有資源時(shí)能生產(chǎn)的各種商品數(shù)量的組合。QRQwPPFABCDETheshapeofPPFisdecidedbytheopportunityofcostofgoods。ProductionPossibilityFrontiOpportunityCostandPPFOpportunityCost(機(jī)會(huì)成本)Thecostofanactivityintermsofsacrificednextbestalternativeusesoftheassetsinvolved.Canalsobeformulatedas“amountofproduct2wemustgiveuptoproduceaunitofproduct1”.(生產(chǎn)一單位商品1所必須放棄的生產(chǎn)商品2的數(shù)量)OpportunityCostandPPFOpportOpportunityCostandPPF假設(shè)有大米(Rice)和小麥(Wheat)兩種商品。那么,大米的“機(jī)會(huì)成本”就是為了多生產(chǎn)一單位大米而必須放棄小麥的數(shù)量(QW/QR)。從幾何概念講,這也是PPF的斜率。PPFQRQwBCQRQwOpportunityCostandPPF假設(shè)有大米(QCConstantCostsQCDecreasingCostsQCIncreasingCostsQCQwPPFQCQwPPFQwQCPPF機(jī)會(huì)成本可以是不變的、遞增的或遞減的。相應(yīng)地,生產(chǎn)可能性曲線也就出現(xiàn)了直線的、外凸的或里凹的不同形狀.QCConstantCostsQCDecreasingCCommunityIndifferenceCurve
(社會(huì)無差異曲線)HigherSatisfactionthepointsdescribingsamelevelofsatisfaction(orutility)bygivenresource.CommunityIndifferenceCurve
(GEunderAutarky
(PPFwithconstantopportunitycosts)PPFQRQWQR1QW1GEunderAutarky
(PPFwithconPartialEquilibriumAnalysis在局部均衡分析中,我們只分析某個(gè)具體的商品市場(chǎng)或要素市場(chǎng)的情況,如中國的大米市場(chǎng)或中國的小麥?zhǔn)袌?chǎng),而不是同時(shí)分析這兩個(gè)市場(chǎng)。PartialEquilibriumunderautarkyPartialEquilibriumunderopeneconomyPartialEquilibriumAnalysis在局PartialEquilibriumunderautarkyQRPR/PW0SD231shortsurplusPartialEquilibriumunderautaCommoditymarketsinanOpen
Economy3X2MQRPRDSUSQRPRWorldMarketQRPRDSChina32CommoditymarketsinanOpen
E在本書的“國際貿(mào)易理論”中,我們主要運(yùn)用一般均衡的分析方法來分析貿(mào)易利得,表現(xiàn)為貿(mào)易前后社會(huì)無差異曲線水平的變化;
在本書的“國際貿(mào)易政策”中,我們將運(yùn)用局部均衡的方法來分析貿(mào)易利得,表現(xiàn)為消費(fèi)者剩余、生產(chǎn)者剩余和凈福利的增減。在本書的“國際貿(mào)易理論”中,我們主要運(yùn)用一般均衡的分析方法來
ComparativeAdvantageModelCHAPTER2
ComparativeAdvantageModelCHLimitationoftheSmith’sModelHomeForeignLabor100100GoodsCloth10080Wheat50100Produc-tivityClothWheatInthiscase,Foreignhastheabsoluteadvantageinbothgoods(itisverycommonforadevelopedcountrytohaveabsoluteadvantagesinmostsectors).AccordingtotheSmiththeory,therewillbenotrade.(Really?)15010.51.51LimitationoftheSmith’sModeComparativeAdvantageTheoryDavidRicardoComparativeAdvantageRicardo’sModelDiscussion1:MisconceptionsaboutComparativeAdvantageComparativeAdvantageTheoryDaDavidRicardo(1772-1823)HewasborninLondonandwasthethirdof17children.hadlittleformaleducationandwenttoworkforhisfatherattheageof14,successfully.attheageof27,turnedhisattentiontoeconomic.Oneofthegreatestpoliticaleconomists.DavidRicardo(1772-1823)Hewas“PrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy,andTaxation”“PrinciplesofPoliticalEco自由貿(mào)易政策的初次嘗試從亞當(dāng)·斯密以后的短時(shí)期間,英國人口的實(shí)際增長使谷物需求超過了供給,使一蒲式耳小麥的價(jià)格漲了三倍。于是有膽量的商人進(jìn)口國外的小麥和燕麥。海外來的廉價(jià)谷物泛濫市場(chǎng)是地主們所難以忍受的。他們控制議會(huì)通過了“谷物法”,對(duì)谷物的進(jìn)口規(guī)定了一個(gè)有伸縮性的稅收制度,國外價(jià)格越低,則征稅越高。谷物價(jià)格飛漲!一蒲式耳小麥的售價(jià)等于一個(gè)工人的每周全部工資的兩倍。自由貿(mào)易政策的初次嘗試從亞當(dāng)·斯密以后的短時(shí)期間,英國人口的李嘉圖認(rèn)為:谷物價(jià)格上升會(huì)使地主地租收入上升,農(nóng)業(yè)工人收入上升,同時(shí)生活費(fèi)用上升,工廠工人工資上升,資本家的利潤下降,導(dǎo)致資本積累減少。所以李嘉圖認(rèn)為必須廢除《谷物法》實(shí)行自由貿(mào)易。出口工業(yè)制成品,進(jìn)口國外價(jià)格低廉的生活必需品,提高國內(nèi)生活必需品的供給,使工資水平下降,利潤水平提高,積累增加,社會(huì)財(cái)富增加。1846年,英國議會(huì)通過廢除《谷物法》的法令。李嘉圖認(rèn)為:22$25$25$30$22$25$25$30$FamilyIncome5*25=1255*30=1505*22=1105*25=1255100*25=010*30=30010*22=2200*25=052010*25=2500*30=00*22=010*25=250500FamilyIncome5*25=1255*30=1505BestCooperationinFamilySo,thebestdivisionoflaborinonefamilyisthatwomendoinghouseworkandmengoingoutforwork.“兩利相權(quán)取其重,兩弊相權(quán)取其輕。”Womenhavecomparativeadvantageinhousework,andmenhavecomparativeadvantageinout-house-work.BestCooperationinFamilySo,Ricardo’sModelBasicAssumptionsPPFOpportunityCostRelativePriceDifferenceinrelativepriceInternationalTradeundercomparativeadvantageGainfromTradeRicardo’sModelBasicAssumptioBasicAssumptionsOneinput(單一要素):Labor(L)Twooutputs:Wine(Qw)andCheese(Qc)Twocountries:
HomeandForeign(*)Costsareconstantandtherearenoeconomiesofscale.
Factorsofproductionareperfectlymobile(生產(chǎn)要素完全流動(dòng)).Otherassumptions:Goodsareidentical(產(chǎn)品同質(zhì)).Perfectknowledge(信息完全).Notransportcosts(沒有運(yùn)輸成本).Notariffsorothertradebarriers(沒有貿(mào)易壁壘).BasicAssumptionsOneinput(單一要QCQWHome’sPPF:aLCQC+aLwQw≤L當(dāng)本國完全生產(chǎn)奶酪時(shí),QC=L/aLC當(dāng)本國完全生產(chǎn)葡萄酒時(shí),QW=L/aLWL/aLW·L/aLC·SlopofPPF(斜率):aLC/aLW生產(chǎn)一單位奶酪的機(jī)會(huì)成本是:QW/QC=aLC/aLW=QCQWHome’sPPF:aLCQC+aLwQw≤Foreign’sPPF:a*LCQ*C+a*LwQ*w≤L*Q*CQ*WL*/a*LW·L*/a*LC·SlopofPPF*(斜率):a*LC/a*LW
當(dāng)外國完全生產(chǎn)奶酪時(shí),Q*C=L*/a*LC當(dāng)外國完全生產(chǎn)葡萄酒時(shí),Q*W=L*/a*LW外國生產(chǎn)一單位奶酪的機(jī)會(huì)成本是:Q*W/Q*C=a*LC/a*LW=Foreign’sPPF:a*LCQ*C+a*LwQ*opportunitycost&relativepriceIntheautarky,bothcountrieshavetoproducebothgoodsforthemselves.Letsconsiderthewageoflaborinbothsector:
WC=PCMPLC;WW=PWMPLW→WC=PC/
aLC;WW=PW/aLWTheremustbeWC=WW,becauselaborareperfectlymobileSo,PC/
aLC=PW/aLW→PC/PW=aLC/aLW
opportunitycost&relativeprPC/PW=aLC/aLWInacompetitiveeconomy,onlywhentherelativepriceofgoods(PC/PW)
equaltotheopportunitycostofgoods(aLC/
aLw),willthelaborsproducebothgoods.在一個(gè)自由競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的封閉社會(huì),只有當(dāng)兩種商品的相對(duì)價(jià)格等于它們的機(jī)會(huì)成本時(shí),勞動(dòng)者才會(huì)同時(shí)生產(chǎn)這兩種商品。PC/PW=aLC/aLWInacompetitiRelativePriceDifference
(相對(duì)價(jià)格差)本國奶酪的相對(duì)價(jià)格PC/PW
=aLC/
aLw外國奶酪的相對(duì)價(jià)格P*C/P*W
=a*LC/
a*LwIfthereisrelativepricedifferencebetweentheHomeandtheForeign,internationaltrademayhappen.如果本國奶酪的相對(duì)價(jià)格<外國奶酪的相對(duì)價(jià)格aLC/
aLw
<a*LC/
a*LwHomewillhasthecomparativeadvantageinCheeseRelativePriceDifference
(相對(duì)價(jià)aLC/
aLw
<
a*LC/
a*LwQCQWL/aLW·L/aLC·Slop:aLC/aLWHomeQ*CQ*WL*/a*LW·L*/a*LC·Slop:a*LC/a*LW
Foreign從圖形上直觀地看,當(dāng)本國PPF斜率小于外國PPF斜率(較平坦)時(shí),本國在奶酪上有比較優(yōu)勢(shì)aLC/aLw<a*LC/a*LwQCQWL/aLW2004我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易首現(xiàn)貿(mào)逆差據(jù)海關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口增幅大大超過出口增幅,農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易由2003年同期順差19.4億美元轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)槟娌?5億美元。2004我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易首現(xiàn)貿(mào)逆差據(jù)海關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)從海關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)來看,高額逆差的產(chǎn)生主要緣自三大農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口數(shù)量的增加:一是谷物類,二是作為工業(yè)原料的棉花和糖,三是近年來出口快速增長的畜禽產(chǎn)品。從海關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)來看,高額逆差的產(chǎn)生主要緣自三大農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口數(shù)量AccordingtoRicardo’sRule,eachcountryshouldspecializeinandexporttheproductinwhichithasacomparativeadvantage
(各個(gè)國家應(yīng)專業(yè)生產(chǎn)并出口那些他們具有比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的產(chǎn)品)Inthiscase,HomeshouldbespecializedinproductionofcheeseandForeignshouldproducewine.InternationalTradeunderthecomparativeadvantageAccordingtoRicardo’sRule,eDeterminingtheRelativePriceafterTrade奶酪的世界相對(duì)價(jià)格,(PC/PW)w奶酪的相對(duì)產(chǎn)量,QC/QC+WaLC/aLWa*LC/a*LW1.SupplySide(RelativeSupply):1).(PC/PW)w
<
aLC/aLW,nocountrieswanttoproducecheese2).(PC/PW)w
=
aLC/aLW,Homeindifferencetobothgoods·3).aLC/aLW<
(PC/PW)w
<
a*LC/a*LW,Homespecializedincheese,andForeignspecializedinwine4).(PC/PW)w
=aLC/aLW,Foreignindifferencetobothgoods5).(PC/PW)w
>
a*LC/a*LW,bothcountriesspecializedincheeseRSRDRD’DeterminingtheRelativePriceSpecializations&Trade
(專業(yè)化生產(chǎn)與國際貿(mào)易)Thenormalresultoftradeisthattherelativepriceofatradedgoodsendedupsomewhereinbetweenitspretradelevelsinthetwocountries.aLC/
aLw<(PC/PW)w<a*LC/
a*LwSpecializations&Trade
(專業(yè)化生產(chǎn)Willthetrademutualbeneficial?Themutualgaincanbedemonstratedintwoways(兩種方法可以證明):1)thinkoftradeasanindirectmethodofproduction:Now,thereis1hourlabor,Homecanproduce1/aLwwine,orHomecanproduce1/aLCcheeseandexportitforwine,
(1/aLC)×(PC/PW)w
>
(1/aLC
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