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GlobalResearch
13May2021
ThismaterialisneitherintendedtobedistributedtoMainlandChinainvestorsnortoprovidesecuritiesinvestmentconsultancyserviceswithintheterritoryofMainlandChina.Thismaterialoranyportionhereofmaynotbereprinted,soldorredistributedwithoutthewrittenconsentofJ.P.Morgan.
J.P.MorganPerspectives
J.P.MorganPerspectives
ESGESGinvestinginvesting2021:Going2021:faster,Goingdeeper,broaderfaster,deeper,broader
ESGandSustainabilityResearch
ESGandSustainabilityResearch
GlobalQuantitativeStrategy
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JoyceChangAC
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joyce.chang@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
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ESGandUtilitiesEquity
ITHardware,AlternativeEnergy
GlobalIndexResearch
StrategicResearch
Research
EquityResearch
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KimberlyHaranoAC
ElaineWuAC
PaulCoster,CFAAC
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elaine.wu@
paul.coster@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
J.P.MorganSecurities(AsiaPacific)
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
Limited/J.P.MorganBroking
(HongKong)Limited
USFixedIncomeStrategy
GlobalCreditResearch
SecuritizedProductsResearch
Currencies,Commoditiesand
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StephenDulakeAC
AmySze,CFAAC
EMResearch
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J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
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J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
Seepage141foranalystcertificationandimportantdisclosures,includingnon-USanalystdisclosures.
J.P.Morgandoesandseekstodobusinesswithcompaniescoveredinitsresearchreports.Asaresult,investorsshouldbeawarethatthefirmmayhaveaconflictofinterestthatcouldaffecttheobjectivityofthisreport.Investorsshouldconsiderthisreportasonlyasinglefactorinmakingtheirinvestmentdecision.
JoyceChang
GlobalStrategicResearch
(1-212)834-4203
J.P.MorganPerspectives
joyce.chang@
13May2021
KimberlyHarano
(1-212)834-4956
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JPMorganChase’sApproachtoEnvironmental,SocialandGovernance
AtJPMorganChase,environmental,socialandgovernance(ESG)mattersareanimportantconsiderationinhowwedobusiness,includingourcorporategovernancesystems,riskmanagementandcontrols,humancapitalmanagement,approachtoservingclientsandcustomers,supportforlocalcommunities,andmanagementofourphysicaloperations.
Equallyimportant,webelievecompanieslikeourshaveanobligationtoputtheirbusinessestoworkforalloftheirstakeholders.Forourfirm,thismeansweareleveragingourbusinessandpolicyexpertise,data,capitalandglobalpresencetohelpdriveaninclusiverecovery,expandaccesstoeconomicopportunity,andacceleratesustainabilityandclimatesolutions.
InOctober2020,weannouncedourcommitmenttoalignourfinancingportfoliowiththegoalsoftheParisClimateAgreement.Tostart,wehavedevelopedtargetstoreducethecarbonintensityinourOil&Gas,ElectricPowerandAutoManufacturingportfoliosby2030,andwearepubliclysharingdetailsaboutourprocessandmethodologyformeasuringandtrackingourprogress,calledCarbonCompass.
Wearealsohelpingourclientsexecuteontheirsustainabilitystrategies,decarbonizeandraisecapitaltodevelopandscalenew,greenertechnologiesandindustries.In2020,wefacilitatedmorethan$220billionintransactionsthatadvancesustainabledevelopment—andweaimtofinanceandfacilitateanadditional$2.5trillionmoreoverthenext10years.Inaddition,weareworkingtoadvanceeffectivepolicydevelopmenttoaddressclimatechangeandsustainabledevelopment.Forexample,aspartofouractivesupportforpricingcarbon,in2020JPMorganChasejoinedtheClimateLeadershipCouncil.And,thefirmachievedcarbonneutralitywithinitsoperations,includingsourcingrenewableenergyfor100percentofitsglobalpowerneeds,forthefirsttimein2020andwillmaintainthiscommitmenteachyeargoingforward.
Inaddition,weareharnessingourexpertiseinbusiness,policy,andphilanthropytoaddresskeydriversoftheracialwealthdivideandprovideeconomicopportunitytounderservedcommunities,especiallyBlackandLatinxcommunities.Buildingonourexistinginvestments,in2020JPMorganChasecommittedanadditional$30billion—whichwillincludeloans,equityanddirectfunding—overthenextfiveyearstoadvanceracialequity.Wearealsoredoublingoureffortstobuildamoreequitableandrepresentativeworkforcewithinourowncompany.
Theeventsof2020—theglobalpandemic,asocietalreckoningwithsystemicracismandtheincreasinglyvisibleeffectsofclimatechange—underscorewhyunderstanding,anticipating,andeffectivelymanagingESGmattersiscriticaltodeliveringonourmissiontoserveourclients,customers,andcommunities.Now,morethanever,astrongfocusonESGisabusinessimperative—andakeydriveroflong-termbusinesssuccess.Wewillcontinuetoprovideupdatestoourstakeholdersonourefforts,andweinviteyoutolearnmoreat/ESG.
2
JoyceChang
GlobalStrategicResearch
(1-212)834-4203
J.P.MorganPerspectives
joyce.chang@
13May2021
KimberlyHarano
(1-212)834-4956
kimberly.l.harano@
ContributingAuthors
Long-termStrategy ESG&SustainabilityResearch
JanLoeys SajalJain
jan.loeys@ sajal.jain@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC J.P.MorganIndiaPrivateLimited
JapanEquityStrategy
EuropeanEquityResearch
RyotaSakagami
EuropeanMetals,Mining&Steel
ryota.sakagami@
PatrickJones
JPMorganSecuritiesJapanCo.,Ltd.
patrick.jones@
LatinAmericaandBrazilEquityStrategy
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
EmyShayoCherman
CEEMEAOil&Gas
emy.shayo@
AlexComer
BancoJ.P.MorganS.A.
er@
AsiaPacificEquityResearch
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
UtilitiesandEnvironmental
AngelinaGlazova
StephenTsui,CFA
angelina.glazova@
stephen.tsui@
J.P.MorganBankInternationalLLC
J.P.MorganSecurities(AsiaPacific)Limited/J.P.Morgan
EuropeanCapitalGoods
Broking(HongKong)Limited
AndrewWilson
Infrastructure,Industrials&Transport
andrew.j.wilson@
HanFu
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
han.fu@
EuropeanOilandGas
J.P.MorganSecurities(AsiaPacific)Limited/J.P.Morgan
Broking(HongKong)Limited
ChristyanFMalek
ASEANTMT
christyan.f.malek@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
RanjanSharma,CFA
MatthewLofting,CFA
ranjan.x.sharma@
matthew.lofting@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesSingaporePrivateLimited
APACDataDrivenResearch
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
JocelynADsouza,CFA
AnuragRajat,CFA
jocelyn.dsouza@
anurag.rajat@
J.P.MorganIndiaPrivateLimited
J.P.MorganSecuritiesSingaporePrivateLimited/J.P.
MorganSecurities(AsiaPacific)Limited
EuropeanConsumerGoodsandBeverages
KoreanAutos
CelinePannuti,CFA
SMKim
celine.pannuti@
sangmyeong.kim@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
J.P.MorganSecurities(FarEast)Limited,SeoulBranch
EdwardHockin
USEquityResearch
SoftwareTechnology
SterlingAuty,CFA
sterling.auty@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
Internet
DougAnmuth
douglas.anmuth@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
BryanM.Smilek
bryan.smilek@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
CoryACarpenter
cory.carpenter@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
DaeKLee,CFA
dae.k.lee@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
KatyAnsel
katy.ansel@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
NeerajSKookada,CFA
neeraj.s.kookada@
J.P.MorganIndiaPrivateLimited
AlternativeEnergy
MarkStrouse,CFA
mark.w.strouse@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
IntegratedOils
PhilGresh,CFA
phil.m.gresh@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
JohnMRoyall,CFA
john.m.royall@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
JapanEquityResearch
edward.hockin@
LatinAmericaEquityResearch
JapanMachinery,Environmental
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
LatAmRetailandHealthcare
JosephGiordano
TomohikoSano
joseph.giordano@
tomohiko.sano@
BancoJ.P.MorganS.A.
JPMorganSecuritiesJapanCo.,Ltd.
EugeniaCavalheiro
eugenia.cavalheiro@
BancoJ.P.MorganS.A.
LatinAmericanFinancials
YuriRFernandes
yuri.r.fernandes@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
3
JoyceChang
GlobalStrategicResearch
(1-212)834-4203
J.P.MorganPerspectives
joyce.chang@
13May2021
KimberlyHarano
(1-212)834-4956
kimberly.l.harano@
ContributingAuthors
DomingosFalavina
domingos.falavina@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
GuilhermeGrespan
guilherme.grespan@BancoJ.P.MorganS.A.
MarlonMedinaRobles
marlon.medinarobles@
J.P.MorganCasadeBolsa,S.A.deC.V.,J.P.MorganGrupoFinanciero
LatinAmericanUtilities
MileneCarvalho
milene.carvalho@BancoJ.P.MorganS.A.
HenriquePeretti
henrique.peretti@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
LatinAmericanTransportation&UtilitiesFernandoAbdalla
fernando.abdalla@BancoJ.P.MorganS.A
LatAmFood&BeveragesandAgribusinessLucasFerreira
lucas.x.ferreira@BancoJ.P.MorganS.A.
EmergingMarketEconomics
KatherineMarney
katherine.v.marney@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
JessicaMurray
jessica.x.murray@J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
GlobalIndexResearch
JarradKLinzie
jarrad.k.linzie@J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
LydiaHarvey
lydia.harvey@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
RupertRink
rupert.rink@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
GlobalCreditResearch
EuropeanCredit
ElaKurtoglu
ela.n.kurtoglu@J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
USCredit
VirginiaChambless,CFA
virginia.chambless@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
KevinLKwan
kevin.l.kwan@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
TarekHamid
tarek.x.hamid@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
ArjunChandar
arjun.c.chandar@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
LatinAmericaCorporateResearchSeanViscount
sean.viscount@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
AlejandraAndrade
alejandra.andrade@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
AsiaCorporateResearch
SooChongLim
soochong.lim@
J.P.MorganSecurities(AsiaPacific)Limited
VarunAhuja,CFA
varun.x.ahuja@
J.P.MorganSecurities(AsiaPacific)Limited
QuantitativeCreditResearch
ShivamGhosh
shivam.ghosh@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
EuropeanCreditStrategyandDerivativesResearch
SaulDoctor
saul.doctor@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
FixedIncomeResearch
SecuritizedProductsResearch
JohnSim
john.sim@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
AkshitRJaisinghani,CFA,FRM
akshit.r.jaisinghani@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
AlexD.Kraus
alexander.d.kraus@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
NickMaciunas
nicholas.m.maciunas@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
AniGelashvili
ani.gelashvili@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
KaustubS.Samant
kaustub.s.samant@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
SanjanaPrasad
sanjana.t.prasad@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
ChongSin
chong.c.sin@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
CrystalLin
crystal.lin@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
RishadAhluwalia
rishad.ahluwalia@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
HeatherARochford
heather.a.rochford@J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
InternationalABSandCoveredBondsMeghanCKelleher
meghan.c.kelleher@J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
SurajDey,CFA
suraj.dey@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
USFixedIncomeStrategy
PhoebeAWhite
phoebe.a.white@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
HenryStJohn
henry.stjohn@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
ColinWPaiva
colin.w.paiva@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesLLC
WilliamWWade
william.walter.wade@
J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc
4
JoyceChang
GlobalStrategicResearch
(1-212)834-4203
J.P.MorganPerspectives
joyce.chang@
13May2021
KimberlyHarano
(1-212)834-4956
kimberly.l.harano@
TableofContents
Executivesummary
6
ESG2021:Goingfaster,broader,deeperafterBiden’sEarthDaySummit
7
Biden'sClimateSummitbringsalignmentofglobalgoals
Biden’sEnvironmental&Energypolicies:Onthewaytomeetinghiscampaignpledges
18
BoldpledgesbutnoroadmapfromBiden’sEarthDayClimateSummit
23
COVID-19acceleratessecularstagnationandraisesthesocialcostofcarbon
28
MainstreamingSustainableFinanceDisclosureRegulationintheEU–ArevolutionforESGinvesting
32
MajorinvestmentsforJapan’senvironmentalpoliciesandESGinvestingsetinmotion
38
HurdlesforEMSovereignESGStrategies:Conceptsandmisconceptionsinanunchartedworld
42
NavigatingGreenhouseGasEmissionsData:Buildingtrustinthedatasources
47
2030isthenew2050:IsHydrogenthesolutionfortheenergytransition?
Oil&Gas:ExtendingJPMEnergyTransitionScorecardtotheUSmajors
54
US:AlternativeEnergytobenefitfrompotentialgovernmentstimulus
58
Hydrogen:a(R)evolutioninneedofrealism
60
ChinaHydrogen:Potentialtoreplicatethesuccessofwind/solarpower
63
Korea:Hydrogentodrive2050carbonneutrality
67
Gazprom,CCSandEurope:Reversingflowsandsolvingproblems
70
‘E’becomingmorefinanciallymaterialandbroadeningbeyondclimatechange
EuropeanConsumerGoods&Beverages:Climatechangemitigationahottopic,gettinghotter
73
UKCapitalGoods–Astructuralwinnerwithanopportunitytocatch-up
76
Deforestation:Movingfromsustainabletofinancialmateriality
78
BrazilianWaterUtilities:Notallwaterisunderthebridge
82
ACOVID-19legacy:Theriseofthe'S'andthe'G'
ESGandActivism–Asignofchangingtimes
86
Danonecorporategovernanceunderthespotlight
89
ESGInvesting:Introducingthe‘HumanCapitalFactor’
90
CybersecurityDeepDive–Howthemarketunderestimatescyber-attackrisks
94
Internet:Mega-CapESG:RegulatoryHeadwindsOvershadowSubstantialInitiatives;AMZN,FB,GOOG/
LDrivingChange
100
ASEANTelcos:Improvingshareholderreturnsbyrealigningmanagementincentives
102
GenderEqualityinLatAmHealthcare:Lackinginseniorrepresentation
103
ManagementCompensationinLatAmHealthcare:Linkingtovalueforshareholder
105
SantanderBrasil:ESG–Microfinancedrivessocialimpactwithprofitability
107
ESGinvesting:OpportunitiesandChallenges
ESGQ:ESGInvesting–Shorttermvulnerabilities,longtermopportunities
108
ESGalphainDMcreditandgrowingmomentuminEM
116
ESGSecuritizedProducts:Demandoutstripssupply
128
Appendix
136
5
JoyceChang
GlobalStrategicResearch
(1-212)834-4203
J.P.MorganPerspectives
joyce.chang@
13May2021
KimberlyHarano
(1-212)834-4956
kimberly.l.harano@
Executivesummary
Biden'sClimateSummitbringsalignmentofglobalgoals
TheBidenClimateSummitsendsaclearmessagethattheUShasraiseditsambitionstojoinandleadaglobalalliancetoaccelerateclimateaction.
First100daysofBidenadministrationacceleratesclimateactionsatboththedomesticandgloballevelsbutlacksaroadmaporclearfinancingplansdespitethehighcostestimatesforUSinaction.
EUremainstheleaderininstitutionalizingESGwithSustainableFinanceDisclosureRegulation(SFDR)fosteringtransparencyinESGintegrationpractices.
EMisincreasingclimatechangeengagementbutfaceshugehurdlestoadaptationandmitigation,giventherelianceontheutilizationandexportoffossilfuels.
‘E’becomingmorefinanciallymaterialwithgrowinginterestinAltEnergy
COVID-19continuestoacceleratechangeas2030isthenew2050asDMcountriesaremovinguptimelinestodecarbonize,withgrowinginterestinAlternativeEnergy,especiallyHydrogen(H2)…
…butwecautionthatrealismisnecessaryonthedemandsidegiventhechallengestoH2adoption,particularlyrelatedtocost,transportationandstoragechallenges.
RegulationismovingfasterinallgeographieswithEuropeclearlyinthelead,asESGfundstherearelikelytobecomethemajorityoffunds,whileAsiaandtheUSarecatchingupthroughlocalizedinitiatives.
ESGreportinglagsmarketdemand,anddataqualityandthelackofaglobalreportingstandardforcorporatedisclosuresraisetheriskofgreenwashingandremainmajorconstraintstoinvestment.
ACOVID-19legacyistheriseofthe'S'andthe'G'
ESGadoptionisoccurringatthecompanylevelacrossallsectors,notjustthemacrolevel,asCOVID-19hasbroughtincreasedfocusonthe‘S’andthe‘G’andincreasedshareholderactivism.
Integrationofsustainabilityissuesintodisclosurescouldtransformbusinessmodels,andweextendanalysistothe‘humancapitalfactor’andcybersecurityrisks.
ESGinvesting:OpportunitiesandChallenges
LongexcessreturnsfromESGQcontinuetooutperform,andassetsbenchmarkedtotheJESGIndexSuiteincreasedby25%in1Q21alone,andnowexceed$30bn,despiteweakreturns.
DemandforESGfixedincomeproductexceedssupplywithbest-in-classESGissuersinDMcreditgeneratingalpha,butmixedperformancebyEMESGissuersandgreenbondsYTD.
WealsointroduceaJ.P.MorganGreen&SocialthematicscreenerandanAsiaex-JapanSecuritySoftwareScreentohelpinvestorsidentifycompaniesthatwillbenefitfromBiden’sgreenrecoveryproposalsandcompaniesthatgeneraterevenuefromcybersecurityproductsorservices.
J.P.MorganPerspectivesbringstogetherthematicandstrategicviewsacrossJ.P.Morgan’sGlobalResearchfranchise.Inthisreport,wediscussthelatestdevelopmentsinESGinvesting,includingthereturnofUSambitionstojoinandleadaglobalalliancetoaccelerateclimateactionandgrowinginterestinAltEnergy,mostrecentlyHydrogen.WeassesstheregulatorylandscapeandstandardizationanddatachallengesthatpersistasCOVID-19hasacceleratedtheriseofthe‘S’andthe‘G’pillars.Wehopethisserieswillbothinformandfosterdebateonevolvingeconomic,investmentandsocialtrends.
–JoyceChang,ChairofGlobalResearch
6
JoyceChang JanLoeys
(1-212)834-4203 (1-917)602-9440
joyce.chang@ jan.loeys@
KimberlyHarano
(1-212)834-4956
kimberly.l.harano@
ESG2021:Goingfaster,broader,deeperafterBiden’sEarthDaySummit
TheBidenClimateSummitsendsaclearmessage,ifnotadetailedroadmap,thattheUShasraiseditsambitionstojoinandleadaglobalalliancetoaccelerateclimateaction.
COVID-19continuestoacceleratechange,and2030isthenew2050asDMcountriesaremovinguptimelinestodecarbonize,withgrowinginterestinAltEnergy,especiallyHydrogen(H2)…
…butwecautionagainstover-optimismgiventhecost,storageandtransportationchallenges.
EUremainstheleaderininstitutionalizingESGwiththeSustainableFinanceDisclosureRegulation(SFDR)fosteringtransparency.
EMisincreasingengagementbutfaceshugehurdlesgivenitsrelianceontheutilizationandexportoffossilfuels.
Weextendanalysistothe‘humancapitalfactor’andcybersecurityrisksgiventheincreasedfocusonthe‘S’and‘G’pillars.
Regulationismovingfasterinallgeographies,withEuropeleading,whileAsiaandtheUSarecatchingupthroughlocalizedinitiatives.
AssetsbenchmarkedtotheJESGIndexSuiteincreasedby25%in1Q21aloneto$30bn,despitemixedperformancetostarttheyear,andshouldsurpass$45bnbyyear-end.
DemandforESGfixedincomeproductexceedssupplywithbest-in-classESGissuersinDMcreditgeneratingalpha,butmixedperformancebyEMESGissuersandgreenbondsYTD.
ESGfactorsarebecomingmorefinanciallymaterialandESGadoptionisoccurringatthecompanylevel,notjustthemacrolevel.
ESGdatasourcesaremovingawayfromdisclosingESGrisktowardscapturing‘intentionandbehavior,’andintegrationofsustainabilityissuescouldtransformbusinessmodelsacrossvaluechains,whichishighlightedbyourequityanalystsacrossregions,sectorsandcompanies.
/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/04/22/executive-summary-u-s-international-climate-finance-plan/
GlobalStrategicResearch
J.P.MorganPerspectives
13May2021
BidenClimateSummitbringsaglobalandsynchronizedapproachtoclimateaction
Americaisback.Culminatingthefirst100daysofhisadministration,theBidenEarthDayClimateSummit(April22-23,2021)sentaclearsignalthattheUSintendstoassumeagloballeadershiproleonclimatechangeactions—placingitatthecenterofeconomic,nationalsecurityandforeignpolicypriorities—forthenextfouryears.AfterrejoiningtheParisClimateAgreementearlierthisyear,theBidenadministrationisembarkingonagame-changingUSplatformthatincludessweepingpledges,suchasreducingcarbonemissionsbyatleasthalf(versus2005levels)by2030.TheUSgoalsarenowmoreinlinewithmeasuresthattheEuropeanUnionandUKputintolaw,withtheEUcommittingtoreducenetgreenhousegasemissionsbyatleast55%versus1990levelsby2030,whiletheUKwillreduceemissionsby78%versus1990levelsby2035.With40leadersacrosstheworldattendingthesummit,CanadaandJapanjoinedinacceleratingpledgestodecarbonize.Emergingmarketscountriesalsooutlinedclimateambitions,ifnottargets,withChinawelcomingtheUS’sreturntoamultilateralclimategovernanceprocessandreiteratingitspledgeforChina’semissionstopeakbefore2030andtoachievecarbonneutralityby2060.TheWhiteHousealsoasserteditsinternationalleadershiprole,notingthat85%ofglobalemissionscomefrombeyondUSborders,andoutlinedaUSInternationalClimateFinancePlanwiththegoaltodoubleitsannualclimatefinancingtoEMcountriesby2024,tobetterequipEMcountriestotackleclimatechangeissues,subjecttoCongressionalapproval
1
(seeHeckerandDubourgformoredetailsonBiden’s
EnvironmentalandEnergyagenda
andthe
Climate
Summit
).
TheBidenadministration’sannouncementsfollowayearofremarkablemomentumforESGadoption,acceleratedbythepandemic.Attheonsetofthepandemic,therewasariskthatthegreatercompetitionforresourceswoulddetractfromtheESGagendaassomecharacterizedESGasaluxuryappropriateforboomingeconomies(seeJ.P.MorganPerspectives:ESGandCOVID-19:FriendsorFoes?,J.Changetal.,18May2020).Lookingbackoverthepastyear,COVID-19actedasa‘reallife’stresstestthatdemonstratedtheresilienceofESGstrategiesthroughacrisisasthe
7
JoyceChang JanLoeys
(1-212)834-4203 (1-917)602-9440
joyce.chang@ jan.loeys@
KimberlyHarano
(1-212)834-4956
kimberly.l.harano@
pandemicendured.2020endedwiththeUSandChinamakingindividualpledgestoreach“NetZero,”joiningtheEuropeanUnion,andsignalingthatallmajoreconomieswouldtakeaglobalandsynchronizedapproachtoaddressingclimateaction.COVID-19alsobroughtoncollectivedemandforchangeandabroadeningoffocusbeyondthe“E”factor,andtowardspandemicresiliencyandstakeholdercapitalism,representedbythe“Sand“G”factors(seeJ.P.MorganPerspectives:BuildBackBettertoBoostESG,J.Changetal.,16December2020,J.P.MorganPerspectives:NotBusinessasUsual:TheRiseofStakeholderism,J.Changetal.,5October2020,andJ.P.MorganPerspectives:ESGandCOVID-19:FriendsorFoes?,J.Changetal.,18May2020).During2020,momentumforESGinvestingacceleratedwiththeestimateduniverseofESGassetsdoublinginsizetonearly$7.2trn,whileassetstrackingJ.P.Morgan’sJESGindicesalsodoubledtoreach$24bn,andtheJESGindicesoutperformedbaselineindicesby~40bps.In2021,themomentumforESGinvestingcontinuestoaccelerateasmajoreconomieshavemovedupthetimelinestodecarbonize,withstrongESGinflowsseenYTD.
However,thesimplisticESGtradesanddefinitionsforESGinvestingareoverasESGreachesanageofmaturityasHeckerandDubourgnote(see6thGlobalESGConference:Keytakeawaysfromtheagendasessions,30March2021).Theabsenceofaglobalstandardfornon-financialreportinghasraisedfearsthatgreenwashingcouldsetbackmaterialsustainabilityinitiatives.Corporatedisclosuresarestillvoluntaryandoftenbackward-looking,anddatalimitationsareraisingtheriskofgreenwashingasstandardizationandcontrolofESGreportinglagmarketdemand.Thedominanceofthe“E”willremaingiventhechallengestosourcingconsistentandreliable“S”and“G”datametrics.TheevidencethatESGconsiderationscanmakeadifferencetoacompany’scostoffundingandthatESGinvestingcanofferinvestorsasuperiorrisk-adjustedreturnremainsnascentandmixed,particularlyforemergingmarketsasESGdisclosureratesarehighestamonglarge-cap,developed-marketlistedcompanies.EMcountrieswillcontinuetolagDMpolicyinitiativesgiventheirrelianceontheutilizationandexportoffossilfuels.TheperformanceofESGindicesandstrategieshasbeenmixedtostarttheyear.WhileESGQ(JPM’sproprietarystockselectionmodelforpickingstocksinaresponsibleway)outperformedoverthepastyearthroughFebruary,withlongexcessreturnspostedoverthepast1,3,6and12-monthhorizons,forthepast6months,long/shortreturnshavestruggledasshortsbeatthelongs
GlobalStrategicResearch
J.P.MorganPerspectives
13May2021
(
Chaudhry)
.Similarly
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